The nation’s top-two military academies have the college football betting stage to themselves this weekend in their annual rivalry game this Saturday afternoon at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
Game time on CBS is set for 3 PM ET and the Black Nights come into this year’s showdown as heavy 10.5-point underdogs.
The total line for the game has been set at 41.5 points.
Army is 5-7 both straight-up and against the spread this season. Navy is currently ranked No. 23 in country at 9-2 SU with a 8-3 record ATS.
To say that Army has its work cut out for itself on Saturday is an understatement. However, this is the ultimate rivalry game that is driven as much by emotion as it is by talent. The Black Knights have won the last three meetings SU with all three contests decided by a combined 12 points.
This tells me that this year’s meeting will stay closer than the 10.5 points in the current spread. I especially like the half point in Army’s favor in a potential 10-point game.
Army still plays as one of six Independents in Division IA (FBS) college football. This sets up a very challenging schedule that includes Michigan in the Big Ten. The Black Knights almost won that game at home in early September in a tight 24-21 loss as heavy 22-point underdogs.
A mid-season five-game losing streak SU while going 1-4 ATS sunk their season but they did manage to win two of their final three games with a 3-1 record ATS in their final four outings. The total stayed UNDER in seven of the 12 games.
Kevin Hopkins was the leading passer for a run-oriented Army offense with 570 total passing yards. He was also the team’s leading rusher with 706 yards and seven touchdowns on 137 carries.
On the year, the Black Knights had a grand total of 120 passing attempts with 56 completions. If someone is going to have a big game catching the ball, it should be Camden Harrison with 23 catches for 415 yards and three scores.
Army goes seven deep in players with at least 150 rushing yards this year. Expect another heavy dose of the ground game against Navy.
The Midshipmen are coming off a very successful campaign with road losses to Memphis and Notre Dame as the only SU blemishes in the 9-2 record. They managed to cover ATS in six of their final eight games of the year. After Army, they will face Kansas State on New Year’s Eve in the Liberty Bowl.
Navy plays out of the ACC which has three teams ranked in the AP Top 25. Memphis is ranked No. 17 as the conference champion and Cincinnati is No. 21. Navy’s loss to Memphis was its only conference setback.
This is another team that loves the run the ball.
The Midshipmen also have a quarterback as their leading rusher.
Malcolm Perry threw for 1,027 yards and six scores while rushing for 1,500 yards and 19 touchdowns. The edge goes to Navy when you compare both quarterbacks, but this game is going to be won (or lost) on the ground.
A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites. I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.
It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.
My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.
I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.