Dogs Ready to Bite the Books: LSU at Alabama

I have been focusing on SEC football the past few weeks for my underdog pick of the week with mixed results. After cashing in big on Kentucky as a home underdog two weeks ago, I came up just short on Florida as a 6.5-point home underdog in a seven-point loss to Georgia.

I was going to move in a different direction this week, but I decided to turn my attention to possibly the biggest game of the college football regular season.

In another SEC clash, the No. 1 LSU Tigers go on the road as 6.5-point underdogs against the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide. The total line for this 3:30 p.m. start on CBS has been set at 65 points. You can see a full preview with prediction by clicking right here when it is posted (approx. Thursday).

Each of these national powers have won their first eight games straight-up. Alabama is 5-0 SU in the SEC West Division standings with the Tigers winning their first four conference games. With the next best teams posting at least two losses so far, this showdown should decide the West Division title.

LSU has outscored its first eight opponents by a combined score of 374-160 as one of the most complete teams in the nation on both sides of the ball. The Crimson Tide have been equally impressive by winning their first eight games by a combined 267 points.

Top Underdog Bet- Take the Tigers (+6.5) against Alabama

These teams are closely matched in a number of different categories but the primary comparison between the two is at the quarterback position. The LSU Tigers’ Joe Burrow has the edge when it comes to winning this year’s Heisman Trophy as the most outstanding college player of the year as a -110 favorite in the current betting odds.

The Tide’s Tua Tagovailoa is third on the list at +375 at top online sportbooks. Ironically enough, former Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts is second at +250 in the midst of a stellar season for the Oklahoma Sooners.


See what Alabama Coach Saban says about their matchup versus LSU


Burrow has thrown for 2,805 yards and 30 touchdowns against just four interceptions. He is completing 78.8 percent of his passing attempts. The top target in the passing game has been Justin Jefferson with 55 receptions for 819 yards and nine scores, but Burrow has seven other players with at least 100 receiving yards on the year. The Tigers have added 1,266 yards and 17 scores running the ball on 279 rushing attempts.

The stats for Tagovailoa are highlighted by 27 touchdown passes against just two interceptions. He has thrown for 2,166 yards in just five starts. An ankle injury has kept him out of the lineup the past three games and he will be a game-time decision for Saturday’s contest.


Even if Tagovailoa can go, I would still give the edge at this position to LSU. Burrow is a big-play quarterback and you get the feeling a few big pass plays on offense could be the difference in this game.

LSU has been the more profitable betting team with a 5-2-1 record against the spread. Heading into last week’s bye, it did fail to cover in a tight three-point win against Auburn as an 11.5-point home favorite. The Tigers are 3-0 ATS in three previous road games.

Related Link: No. 2 Alabama opens as TD favorite over No. 1 LSU

Alabama is an even 4-4 ATS coming off a bye as well. The Tide have closed as high double-digit favorites in all eight games. They haven’t been a bettor’s favorite at an even 3-3 ATS in six home games this year.

Head-to-head in this West Division showdown, Alabama has won four of its last five home games against LSU SU. The Tide also have a 4-1-1 edge ATS in the last six meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games between the two.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.