Focusing on Big East college basketball the past few weeks, I have been able to cash in on a pair of winning tickets betting on Seton Hall as a road underdog. Two weeks ago, the Pirates knocked off Xavier straight-up as three-point underdogs ahead of last Wednesday’s eight-point upset over Butler getting 4.5 points on the road.
This Wednesday, No. 18 Seton Hall should be a solid favorite against Providence at home, so I am moving in a different direction for this week’s top underdog pick.
The No. 25 Creighton Bluejays have broke into the AP Top 25 with victories against Xavier on the road and Providence at home. Yet, I think they are going to have their hands full this Wednesday as possible slight road favorites against the DePaul Blue Demons as seen on NCAAB odds lists.
The spread in this one should be close either way but I like DePaul to win SU at home.
A previous four-game losing streak in conference play aside, the Blue Demons carry some solid momentum into this game after stunning Butler 79-66 on Saturday as four-point underdogs at home. They also covered as 9.5-point road underdogs in last Wednesday’s 79-75 loss to Villanova.
Top Underdog Bet- Take the Blue Demons over Creighton
DePaul often times gets lost in the mix when it comes to the Big East. This year’s squad made some early noise with a SU nine-game winning streak that included upsets against Iowa, Minnesota and Texas Tach as an underdog.
Heading into Wednesday’s game, the Blue Demons are 13-5 SU with a pedestrian 9-8-1 record against the spread. While they are 4-6-1 ATS in 11 games closing as favorites, they improve to 5-2 ATS in seven games getting points.
This has been a very streaky betting team all season long. As part of that previous nine-game winning streak, DePaul was able to cover in the final six wins. It has covered in its last two games coming off a 0-4-1 record ATS to close out December.
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The Blue Demons are 9-3 SU at home this season. They are averaging a respectable 75.3 points per game with Charlie Moore leading the way with 16.1 points a night. The junior guard scored 29 points in the recent game against Villanova and he posted 14 points with 12 assists on Jan. 11 in a seven-point road loss to St. Johns.
Creighton has gained some national attention at 14-5 SU while going an even 8-8-2 ATS. The Bluejays are an even 3-3 SU in Big East play with that recent victory against Providence. They failed to cover as 6.5-point home favorites in that 78-74 win. This dropped them to 2-3-1 ATS against the conference.
With three different players averaging at least 13 PPG, Creighton brings some solid balance to its 77.3-point scoring average. It is shooting 46.3 percent from the field and 36.8 percent from three-point range. While the Bluejays have moved into the national spotlight, each of these teams matchup extremely close to one another.
From a betting standpoint, Creighton has an overwhelming edge in the past 10 meetings at 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS. Despite these results as a legitimate deterrent to this underdog pick, I still like DePaul’s current form heading into this contest. The motivation is high to finally end the SU losing streak and playing the first of this season’s two-game series at home is a major plus.