Dogs Ready to Bite the Books: Seton Hall at Butler

I cashed in on the Big East’s Seton Hall Pirates in last week’s top underdog pick. They beat Xavier 83-71 last Wednesday night closing as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Pirates have won their last six games both straight-up and against the spread as part of an overall record of 12-4 (SU and ATS).

One of the most basic betting strategies is to stick with the hot team until it cools.

Seton Hall is knocking on the door of a spot in the AP Top 25 and it has moved into the 25th spot of the Coaches’ Poll for its recent efforts.


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This Wednesday night, the Seton Hall Pirates have a chance to really shake things up on the road in a 6:30 p.m. start on FOX Sports 1 against the No. 6 Butler Bulldogs.

Butler should be a solid home favorite its next time out after running its current SU winning streak to six games with Saturday’s 70-58 victory against Providence as a slight 1.5-point road favorite. The Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS during this same span as part of an 11-4-1 record ATS. They are 15-1 SU overall with the only loss coming against Baylor on Dec. 10. The final score was 53-52 with Butler closing as a six-point underdog.

Top Underdog Bet- Take the Pirates over Butler

The risk/reward for this week’s top underdog pick runs a bit higher given the step up in competition. The Pirates started their current winning streak with a big upset against the Big Ten’s No. 12 Maryland Terrapins as seven-point home favorites on Dec. 19.

This past Saturday, Seton Hall hammered Marquette at home 69-55 to easily cover the closing 5.5-point spread.

The Pirates are 7-1 ATS at home this season and 3-2 ATS in five road games. I still think this team has what it takes to keep things close against the Bulldogs on the road this Wednesday.

 



 

Myles Powell has been the difference the past few games. He leads the team in scoring with 21.5 points per game and he has been able to exceed that average with 24 points against Xavier and 23 points against Marquette.

Overall, the Pirates are averaging 75.1 PPG behind a trio of players scoring in double figures. They are shooting a solid 45.1 percent from the field and 34.2 percent from three-point range. As an added plus, Seton Hall is holding opposing teams to 64.1 PPG.

Butler is starting to establish itself as the top team in the Big East this season. Villanova tumbled in the rankings to No. 16 with a loss to Marquette earlier this month. The Bulldogs jumped five spots in the latest AP Top 25 with their current winning streak.

Going against this team at home adds to the risk in this bet, Butler is 6-2-1 ATS in nine previous home games this season and it has an 8-4-1 record ATS closing as a favorite. Nonetheless, the Bulldogs will be in for a battle against the vastly underrated Pirates come Wednesday night.

The hot hand for Butler this season has been Kamar Baldwin with 14.8 PPG. The senior guard has exceeded that average in each of his last three games with a combined 56 points. He shot a blazing 55.6% in Saturday’s win against Providence.

Head-to-head, this series has been very tight over the past 10 meetings. Butler has the slight 6-4 edge SU and the teams are tied 5-5 ATS. The Pirates have been able to cover in five of the last six meetings to close the gap with the total going OVER in two of the last three games.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.