DTM’s NFL Pick Against the Spread | 2020 NFC Conference Championship

Dan Leach

@DanLeach971

2018 NFL ATS RECORD 62-40-1

2019 NFL ATS RECORD 40-29-3

3-1 LAST WEEK FOR THE SECOND WEEK IN A ROW

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - NFC TITLE GAME

6:40PM SUNDAY

LINE: SAN FRANCISCO -7

DTM PICK: SAN FRANCISCO -7 (Buy down to 6.5)

 

This is a rematch of a Week 11 game that did not go well for one of these squads, as the Packers lost 37-8 to the Niners in an absolute romp. Now these two teams get together for a trip to the Super Bowl in sunny Miami.

The Niners are simply the most balanced team in the NFL, and while the Pack ALWAYS have a chance with Aaron Rodgers under center, it is going to be a super tough proposition to take down the Niners at the friendly confines of Levi Stadium.


Predictions, Tips and Reviews for NFL Conference Championship Games


These numbers don’t help either. In the 14 times a team played a rematch with a team they beat by 20 or more points in the conference title game, the team that lost. The Packers in this scenario, are just 3-11 straight up and 2-12 against the spread.

Those are super daunting numbers, and add in that the Niners run game is number two in the league and absolutely DEVASTATING, even if Rodgers has a solid game, it just simply might not be enough.

Jimmy G has also really come into his own and is playing mistake free football, which will be a big part of this one in a safe, home environment. That run game is such a boon to his ability to play said safe, mistake free football.

 



 

The emergence of WR Deebo Samuel and the solid George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders duo have been a huge part of Jimmy G and that scary Niners offense as well.

Aaron Jones might the most important Aaron for the Packers as he can really help open up the Green Bay offense from not having to rely solely on Rodgers’ arm if the Pack get down.

The Niners have a way to combat that as well, as they have the number two rush defense in the NFL.

While Green Bay is in this game for a reason after a 14-3 season thus far, I just can't make the case for them to have enough to be in this game in the end against a San Fran behemoth.

Look for the Niners to grind the ARod’s and the Packers to a halt and win this one by double digits. 

2020 NFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP FINAL SCORE: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 31 - GREEN BAY PACKERS 20

 

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 Dan Leach is a nationally ranked Legend of Zelda gamer. Was the first journalist to interview Dracula, invented toaster strudel on a dare, was Tom Brady's backup in high school, and always believes in the dream. You can reach Dan at sportsedge2@gmail.com.

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