College basketball bettors are still six weeks out from the opening round of the 2020 men’s college basketball NCAA Tournament. However, this is the time of the season when it pays dividends to pay close attention to what is going on in the current betting action.
How a team plays in big games, the overall potential to win the conference tournament, the health of its roster and its overall record both straight-up and against the spread in February are all contributing factors for formulating your March Madness betting strategy.
March Madness Betting Strategy
You should be taking a two-prong approach to this process.
The first covers the NCAA Tournament bracket picks and the other covers betting on the actual games.
The first part of the process weighs heavily on a team’s current playing form and its overall SU record. This will go a long way towards determining the potential seed in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
THE ABSURD ODDS OF PICKING THE PERFECT NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET
It can also help to determine just how deep you might want to take that team in the field of 68.
High profile teams from the major conferences are always going to get the benefit of the doubt when it comes to the seeding process.
Don't Let Seeding Be a Major Factor
The Atlantic 10’s Dayton Flyers are currently ranked No. 6 in both national polls. Yet, even if they can hold onto that lofty position heading into their conference tournament, the fact that they are not in a power conference will work against their position in whatever regional bracket they end up in.
This has been a tough season for the ACC with just three teams in the national polls right now. Yet, a few other teams will still get into the tournament field that probably do not deserve to occupy a spot.
A general rule of thumb is that really good teams outside the majors like Dayton will enter the tournament with a massive chip on their shoulder. This has a way of carrying them deeper than most basketball experts expect.
Speaking of all the bracketology experts out there, bettors should put them on the backburner for now. They may offer a few solid tips when it comes to actually filling out this year’s bracket but right now all they are adding is more noise to the current situation.
Six weeks out, your role is like the NFL scout tracking the combines. You are simply looking for upside potential in all the top college basketball teams.
Pay Attention to Head-to-Head Matchups
The second prong in preparation of your March Madness betting strategy is looking for solid betting teams for March’s actual head-to-head game bets. The goal here is to try and find a handful of teams that have proven themselves with big SU upsets and a steady string of covers ATS.
The annual conference tournaments held during the first two weeks of March provide the best opportunity to cash in some winners. All the teams should be familiar with their opponents going through the conference tournament bracket.
Some teams might be facing one another for the third time this season. Familiarity does lead to a higher level of predictability, so pay close attention to a team’s form over the stretch run of the regular season conference schedule heading into the conference tournament.
Running the table as a middle seed to win that tournament carries some huge weight when it comes to betting them in the opening round of the NCAA tournament.
You should always take note of a team’s overall health. A few key players might get hurt over the next few weeks with an injury that can carry over into March. On the other hand, a few teams might be getting a key player back from injury heading into the postseason push.
A big part of the services that my
marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for
sports betting websites.I have
been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years
following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely
fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports.
I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in
sports. It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try
and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability
in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and
recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over
the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no
such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing
style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics
that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there
are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still
enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every
pick I make.
My love of sports started a long
time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I
was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the
Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would
honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games during quite a few
pretty dismal seasons. I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’
games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert
Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to
their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 37 years later and am I
still waiting patiently for my favorite team to bring home the Super Bowl title
my dad never got to celebrate.