EPL: Aston Villa vs. Manchester United Prop Predictions

Aston Villa host Manchester United at Villa Park on Thursday afternoon (ET time). The Red Devils are huge favorites in the 1x2 market and they’re listed at –1.5 in the Asian handicap market.

I’m not interested in either of those markets at the current prices.

Today, I’m going to share my best bets in the game/player prop markets for this match.

The betting odds are from Bodog (Canada), but BetOnline (USA) also releases a lot of soccer props, but not until closer to game time. The odds are likely to be very similar, though.

I lost my Premier League free pick last week, as Sheffield United defeated Tottenham.


Game: Aston Villa (7-6-20 – 27 Points) v Manchester United (15-10-8 – 55 Points)

When: 3:15PM ET, Thursday, July 9th, 2020

Where: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

1x2 Odds: Aston Villa (+850) / Manchester United (-315) / Draw (+425)

Handicap Odds: Aston Villa +1.5 (-120) vs. Manchester United –1.5 (+100)

Total: Over 3 Goals (+108) / Under 3 Goals (-128)

TV Coverage: DAZN + Sky Sports


The Red Devils have been in great form since returning to play. They’re undefeated (3-1-0) and they have outscored opponents 12-3 in those matches. They’re on a three-match winning streak.


Seven goals shared | Manchester United 5 - 2 AFC Bournemouth


United are only two points behind Chelsea for fourth and just three points behind Leicester for third on the EPL table. I’d be shocked if they didn’t defeat Villa, but I’m not betting them at –315 odds.

Villa have gone winless (0-2-3) since the English Premier League returned. They’ve only been able to score two goals in those five matches. They’re currently 18th on the table and facing relegation.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester United Head-to-Head Trends

These two teams haven’t played each other a lot recently. They played once this season in January at Old Trafford and the match finished in a draw (2-2). Prior to the match this season, the last time they played each other was in 2016. The last time Villa defeated United in the EPL was back in 2009.

That brings me to my first best bet for Aston Villa vs. Manchester United.

Premier League Prop Best Bets

Game Prop: Manchester United to Win + Both Teams to Score (+220)

The Red Devils need to win this match. They can’t afford losing to a relegation team.

I also expect Villa will be able to find the scoresheet. United just defeated Bournemouth (19th) by a score of 5-2. Villa (36 Goals) have scored more goals than Bournemouth (32 Goals) this season.

Villa are averaging 1.19 GPG at home compared to 1.00 GPG in away matches.

Villa vs. Red Devils Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Best Bet: Anthony Martial (-110) to Score Anytime

If Martial is starting upfront for United, he’s the best bet to score anytime.

Martial scored a hat-trick in the win against Sheffield United. He was held scoreless in the win against Brighton and Hove Albion, but netted a goal last time out against Bournemouth.

If Martial doesn’t end up starting, I’m going to shift my focus to Mason Greenwood (+187).

Greenwood has scored three goals in the Red Devils last two matches. He’s offering up some nice value at this price, but I’m sticking with Martial as long as he ends up playing.

Realistically, you could bet on both United players to score anytime. With the way United are scoring right now, they could end up netting another five goals against Villa on Thursday.

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.

 

Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.

 

Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.

 

He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.

 

His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.

 

Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.

 

Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.

 

When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.