The month of January is flying by as all 30 NBA teams begin to cross the halfway point of their 82-game regular season schedule. The race for the eight playoff spots in both the Eastern and Western Conference have taken shape.
From a betting standpoint, the moneymakers have also separated themselves from the best NBA teams to go against.
Past trends, recent betting results and all-around team form are three excellent measures for betting the games.
Gaining an edge over the online sportsbooks can sometimes be as simple as digging a bit deeper into the numbers. The goal is to paint an accurate picture of every team in order to better predict their future results.
Some of the more general NBA betting trends include:
- Year-to-date, underdogs have won 51.1% of the games against the spread
- Over the past month, road favorites have covered ATS 54.1% of the time
- The total has gone OVER in 56.2% of the games in the past 30 days
- They total has gone OVER in 51.3% of the games this season
- The seven-day NBA betting trends favor road favorites at 55.6% and the OVER at 66%
General trends can provide some added support to handicapping individual matchups. However, there is no substitution for breaking down any matchup on face value.
A common betting strategy is to ride a hot team until it cools. Over the course of a six-month regular season, every team is going to have more than a few hot and cold streaks. Betting with a hot streak or against a cold streak makes sense on a very basic level.
Related: NBA Betting Power Rankings
The Milwaukee Bucks are once again setting the pace for the entire league. To the point where they could challenge Golden State’s record for the most wins in a season (73). Through their first 44 games, the Bucks are 38-6 SU with a profitable 25-19 record ATS. They have an eight-game lead over the Miami Heat for the top spot in the Eastern Conference.
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Since a road loss to Philadelphia on Christmas Day, Milwaukee has won 11 of its last 12 games. Saturday’s 117-97 victory against Brooklyn on the road extended the current SU winning streak to six games. The betting results ATS have been streaky to say the least. During the same 12-game span, three-straight covers were following by a 0-4 record ATS. The Bucks are a more reliable 4-2 ATS over their last six games.
The NBA team with the best overall betting record is the Oklahoma City Thunder at 28-15 against the closing number.
They are 24-19 SU through 43 games. They are another streaky betting team over the past few weeks. Starting with a 104-102 road win against Charlotte on Dec. 27 as one-point road favorites, the Thunder went on to cover in eight games in a row. That hot streak has turned into a 2-3 record ATS over their last five contests. OKC has posted ATS winning streaks of at least four games three separate times this season.
Two hot betting teams heading into the third full week of January would be the Toronto Raptors in the Atlantic Division and the New Orleans Pelicans in the Southwest. Each team has covered the spread in its last three outings. The Raptors are 28-14 SU overall with a 24-18 record ATS. The Pelicans have won 16 of 43 games SU. After covering in 12 of their last 15 games with one PUSH, they are 22-20-1 ATS overall.