The month of January is flying by as all 30 NBA teams begin to cross the halfway point of their 82-game regular season schedule. The race for the eight playoff spots in both the Eastern and Western Conference have taken shape.
From a betting standpoint, the moneymakers have also separated themselves from the best NBA teams to go against.
Past trends, recent betting results and all-around team form are three excellent measures for betting the games.
Gaining an edge over the online sportsbooks can sometimes be as simple as digging a bit deeper into the numbers. The goal is to paint an accurate picture of every team in order to better predict their future results.
Some of the more general NBA betting trends include:
- Year-to-date, underdogs have won 51.1% of the games against the spread
- Over the past month, road favorites have covered ATS 54.1% of the time
- The total has gone OVER in 56.2% of the games in the past 30 days
- They total has gone OVER in 51.3% of the games this season
- The seven-day NBA betting trends favor road favorites at 55.6% and the OVER at 66%
General trends can provide some added support to handicapping individual matchups. However, there is no substitution for breaking down any matchup on face value.
A common betting strategy is to ride a hot team until it cools. Over the course of a six-month regular season, every team is going to have more than a few hot and cold streaks. Betting with a hot streak or against a cold streak makes sense on a very basic level.
The Milwaukee Bucks are once again setting the pace for the entire league. To the point where they could challenge Golden State’s record for the most wins in a season (73). Through their first 44 games, the Bucks are 38-6 SU with a profitable 25-19 record ATS. They have an eight-game lead over the Miami Heat for the top spot in the Eastern Conference.
TOP 10 GREATEST NBA TEAMS EVER
Since a road loss to Philadelphia on Christmas Day, Milwaukee has won 11 of its last 12 games. Saturday’s 117-97 victory against Brooklyn on the road extended the current SU winning streak to six games. The betting results ATS have been streaky to say the least. During the same 12-game span, three-straight covers were following by a 0-4 record ATS. The Bucks are a more reliable 4-2 ATS over their last six games.
The NBA team with the best overall betting record is the Oklahoma City Thunder at 28-15 against the closing number. They are 24-19 SU through 43 games. They are another streaky betting team over the past few weeks.
Starting with a 104-102 road win against Charlotte on Dec. 27 as one-point road favorites, the Thunder went on to cover in eight games in a row. That hot streak has turned into a 2-3 record ATS over their last five contests. OKC has posted ATS winning streaks of at least four games three separate times this season.
Two hot betting teams heading into the third full week of January would be the Toronto Raptors in the Atlantic Division and the New Orleans Pelicans in the Southwest.
Each team has covered the spread in its last three outings. The Raptors are 28-14 SU overall with a 24-18 record ATS. The Pelicans have won 16 of 43 games SU. After covering in 12 of their last 15 games with one PUSH, they are 22-20-1 ATS overall.
A big part of the services that my
marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for
sports betting websites.I have
been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years
following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely
fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports.
I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in
sports. It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try
and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability
in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and
recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over
the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no
such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing
style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics
that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there
are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still
enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every
pick I make.
My love of sports started a long
time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I
was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the
Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would
honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games during quite a few
pretty dismal seasons. I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’
games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert
Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to
their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 37 years later and am I
still waiting patiently for my favorite team to bring home the Super Bowl title
my dad never got to celebrate.