NCAA FB Free Pick | Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State

If you listen to Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy, you’ll learn that the Cowboys’ opponent Saturday night - rival Oklahoma - is simply a wishbone team. Remember the old Sooners? Thomas Lott, The Honorable J.C. Watts (yes, he served in the House of Representatives and yes, the J.C. stands for Julius Caesar!). How about Jamelle Holieway? You won’t be seeing the wishbone on Saturday night.

 

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Game: Oklahoma (10-1, 4-7 ATS at Oklahoma State 8-3, 9-2 ATS)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 30, 2019

Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Current Line: OSU +13    Total: 69

TV Coverage: FOX


 

Gundy pointed out recently that none of the aforementioned Sooners quarterbacks were a bigger part of the Oklahoma offense than current signal caller Jalen Hurts.

The graduate transfer from Alabama has completed 192 pass attempts and has run the ball 180 times. He leads the team in rushing with 1,156 yards and has thrown for 3184. He has accounted for an incredible 47 touchdowns.

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Oklahoma has won the last four in a row in the series and eight of the last 10. The Sooners are ranked No. 7 in the nation and still have an outside shot at getting back to the College Football Playoff.

So, is it that simple then? Do the high-flying Sooners just march into Stillwater with their do-it-all quarterback and beat the Cowboys? Not exactly.

The Sooners of the first half of the season are not the Sooners are the second half.

Similarly, the Cowboys of early 2019 are not the same Cowboys of late.

In their first seven games of the season, Oklahoma averaged over 50 points per game on offense and the defense, an issue a year ago, was giving up just 19.4 points a game.

Over their past four games, head coach Lincoln Riley’s squad has cooled off on offense - 36.3 points a game - and the defense has lost its way. The Sooners are giving up 36 points per game.


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Over the same last four games, Oklahoma State is 4-0 SU and ATS and has a favorable record when playing as the underdog. Dating back to 2016, the Cowboys have been the underdog 12 times. They are 9-3 SU in those 12 games and, more importantly, 11-1 ATS.

Oklahoma State has been the dog twice this season and has covered on both occasions. Gundy’s Cowboys lost 36-30 to Texas as 7-point underdogs and beat Iowa State outright despite being a 10.5-point dog.

 



 

Both teams put up points by the bunches.

Oklahoma is averaging over 45 a game and Oklahoma State checks in at just over 35. In four of the last five OU-OSU meetings, the Total has gone OVER. It would sure be easy to pick the Over again, but what seems more viable is this.

The Cowboys, with Heisman Trophy candidate RB Chuba Hubbard and his 1,800-plus rushing yards and a defense that has allowed just 13 points in each of its last two games, are going to battle the Sooners at home in Stillwater.

Gundy’s teams usually rise to the occasion in games like this. Considering the Sooners have won their last four games by 4, 3, 1, and 7 points; the Coach likes Oklahoma State +13.

NCAA FB Free Pick: Oklahoma State +13

Pick by Coach Rick