NCAA Football Free Pick | LSU @ Texas

Another glorious week of college football is upon us and there are some great NCAAF matchups in Week 2. One of them takes place Saturday night in Austin, Texas, where sixth-ranked LSU faces ninth-ranked Texas. Last week was like kissing your sister when Notre Dame decided to win by exactly 18 points. This week, we go big or we go home.


Game: LSU Tigers (1-0, 1-0 ATS) at Texas Longhorns (1-0, 1-0 ATS)

When: 7:30 PM, Saturday, September 7th, 2019

Where: Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas 

Current Line: TEX +6.5 Total: 57.5

TV Coverage: ABC 


So, all the talk is about how LSU’s offense has advanced from the “three-yards-and-a-cloud-of-dust” to the modern day spread. Last week in a win over Georgia Southern, LSU QB Joe Burrow tied a school record with five touchdown passes … in the first half! Burrow would finish the day completing 23-of-27 passes for 278 yards and he didn’t throw an interception.

The problem for LSU is that the Texas defense is not Georgia Southern. The Longhorns forced three turnovers last week and held Louisiana Tech to just 73 rushing yards. Louisiana Tech is not LSU, but the Longhorns defense is good despite having to replace eight starters from a year ago.



There are several things that Texas head coach Tom Herman is very good at. One is offense. The Longhorns averaged an offensive snap every 22.8 seconds last week in putting up 45 points on Louisiana Tech. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger is the guy that makes the Longhorns go. He accounted for over 300 total yards last week and threw four touchdown passes.

The other thing Herman is really good at is coaching in big games.


As a head coach, Herman is 10-6 SU in games where his team has been the underdog and a whopping 13-2-1 ATS, giving confidence to college football bettors. On the other end, LSU is just 8-8 when playing as the favorite, as they are on Saturday night.

Texas is 5-1 SU in their last six games. The Longhorns are also 5-1 SU in their last six games played in September. Home field is a distinct advantage in college football and Texas is 6-1 SU in their last seven home games.

This week, it’s upset city! Take Texas on the moneyline.

NCAA Football Free Pick: Texas Moneyline +202

Pick by Rick

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