NFL Free Pick | Giants @ Eagles

So...the Giants. Ummm, yeah. New York is 2-10 and will play in Philadelphia on Monday night starting a 38-year-old quarterback who hasn’t played in three months and has not beaten the Eagles since 2016.

Yes, Eli Manning will be back under center for the Giants.

Eli’s record against Philly? A nice 10-20 overall. That might be our value clue.

 


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Game: New York Giants (2-10, 4-8 ATS) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7, 4-8 ATS)

When: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, December 9, 2019

Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Current Line: PHI -9.5   Total: 44.5

TV Coverage: ESPN


 

Despite being 5-7, Philadelphia can still win the NFC East and garner a coveted playoff spot by winning its last four games. It all starts on Week 14’s Monday Night Football game against the Giants.

The Eagles have won five straight over New York at home and need to make it six to keep their postseason hopes alive.

Philadelphia has struggled on offense recently.

Prior to last week’s loss to Miami, the Eagles scored 22, 10, and 9 points in the previous three games. Last week, QB Carson Wentz threw for 310 yards and three touchdowns and RB Miles Sanders rushed for 83 yards as the offense erupted for 31 points.

The problem against Miami was the Eagles defense.

As a 10.5-point favorite over the Dolphins, Philadelphia’s defense let Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick throw for 365 yards and three touchdowns. Miami scored 37 points in the 37-31 victory. Philadelphia cannot afford to allow the Giants offense to do the same.

This week, the Eagles are once again favorites of more than a touchdown. Philadelphia is giving 9.5 points.

In the Giants last 11 games where they have been an underdog of seven points or more, New York is just 5-5-1 against the spread. The problem in sorting this one out is that as bad as the Giants have been recently, they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. Hmmmm.

New York has lost eight games in a row. Part of the problem is the rookie quarterback Daniel Jones and his growing pains.

 



 

Another issue was losing RB Saquon Barkley for several weeks with a high ankle sprain. Barkley is back and having a two-time Super Bowl winner under center could benefit a Giants offense that has scored just 27 points in its past two games.

As a home favorite of seven or more points, the Eagles are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 such games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, but two of those losses were their last two home games.

From a Super Bowl to 5-7, the Eagles are only 2-5 in their last seven games. Still, they can get to the postseason and that begins on Monday night. Playing at home with their backs against the wall, it’s time for the Eagles to fly.

While the Eagles don’t inspire much confidence, the Giants never have.

Both teams have battled injuries that have had an effect on their seasons. On this Monday night though, I expect both teams to put up points against each other’s sub-par defenses. In the last seven Giants-Eagles games, the Total has gone Over six times.

NFL Free Pick: Giants-Eagles OVER 44.5

Pick by Coach Rick

About the Author

A native of Western Pennsylvania, Rick, a Generation X-er, who now lives just north of the Motor City, Detroit, Michigan. A former high school, college, and professional football player, Rick now spends his time as a high school coach and as a personal quarterback trainer. An all-state high school quarterback, he went on to become an Academic All-American at Division II Indiana University of PA. He later coached at his alma mater helping lead the program to the 1990 NCAA Division II national championship game. Rick has also served as a high school head coach and as an assistant in Pennsylvania, New York, and Michigan.

His passion for sports writing started when he was the sports editor for his high school newspaper and continued when he worked as a sportswriter for the Jamestown (New York) Post-Journal in the early 1990s. A true sports fanatic, Rick enjoys all things Pittsburgh: Steelers, Pirates, and Penguins. The Immaculate Reception, the 1979 We Are Family Pirates, and the ’91-’92 Penguins are among his favorites. After working as an educator and athletic director for several years, he again took up sports writing and has contributed to several websites and publications, including Coach & Player magazine, X & O Labs, American Football Monthly, and many others.

When not consumed with coaching, watching, thinking about, or writing about football and other seasonal sports, he finds himself working out like he was still in college and reading everything from military history to Brad Thor novels. Rick has also been chasing rock god stardom as a drummer who has played with bands that have opened for the likes of Fuel, Days of the New, and Alien Ant Farm. He continues to play with his church worship group. Most importantly, Rick is married to the love of his life, Lisa, and has two beautiful daughters.