NFL Free Pick | Patriots @ Jets

The New England Patriots (6-0) have beaten the New York Jets in seven straight games. Will the return of Jets QB Sam Darnold make a difference? New England has already beaten the Jets once this season winning 30-14 in Week 3. The Patriots failed to cover as 21-point favorites. Can they cover as 9.5-point favorites on Monday night?


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Game: New England Patriots (6-0, 4-2 ATS) at New York Jets (1-4, 2-3 ATS)

When: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, October 21, 2019

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Current Line: NE -9.5    Total: 43.5

TV Coverage: ESPN


The only reason New England didn’t cover the first time around against the Jets was because of two mistakes. The Patriots muffed a punt near their own end zone. The Jets were fortunate enough to cover the loose ball in the end zone for a touchdown.



The second mistake was putting backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham in the game. Stidham threw an interception that was returned for the Jets other score.




We aren’t going to waste time with this one. The Jets are 16-36 against New England since 1994 when Patriots owner Robert Kraft bought the team. The Patriots have won the last seven games by an average margin of 19.3 points.

New England is 4-0 ATS in its last four night games and we haven’t even mentioned the New England defense that is on pace to destroy the single-season fewest points allowed record. The Patriots are on pace to allow just 128 points this season. That would crush the record set by the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They allowed 165.

Must read – NFL Roundup: Packers rout Raiders Behind Rodgers’ 6 TDs

New England is also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-2 ATS in the last six against the Jets. Yes, the Patriots have some wide receiver issues. Phillip Dorsett is out and Josh Gordon won’t play either, after he was ruled OUT on Saturday. Still, Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels will find a way.

Darnold starting for the Jets offers some hope, but that sliver of hope is so small the human eye can barely detect it. What it can detect though is another big Patriots victory.

NFL Free Pick:  New England -9.5

Pick by Rick