NFL Free Pick | Patriots @ Jets

The New England Patriots (6-0) have beaten the New York Jets in seven straight games. Will the return of Jets QB Sam Darnold make a difference? New England has already beaten the Jets once this season winning 30-14 in Week 3. The Patriots failed to cover as 21-point favorites. Can they cover as 9.5-point favorites on Monday night?


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Game: New England Patriots (6-0, 4-2 ATS) at New York Jets (1-4, 2-3 ATS)

When: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, October 21, 2019

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Current Line: NE -9.5    Total: 43.5

TV Coverage: ESPN


The only reason New England didn’t cover the first time around against the Jets was because of two mistakes. The Patriots muffed a punt near their own end zone. The Jets were fortunate enough to cover the loose ball in the end zone for a touchdown.



The second mistake was putting backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham in the game. Stidham threw an interception that was returned for the Jets other score.




We aren’t going to waste time with this one. The Jets are 16-36 against New England since 1994 when Patriots owner Robert Kraft bought the team. The Patriots have won the last seven games by an average margin of 19.3 points.

New England is 4-0 ATS in its last four night games and we haven’t even mentioned the New England defense that is on pace to destroy the single-season fewest points allowed record. The Patriots are on pace to allow just 128 points this season. That would crush the record set by the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They allowed 165.

Must read – NFL Roundup: Packers rout Raiders Behind Rodgers’ 6 TDs

New England is also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-2 ATS in the last six against the Jets. Yes, the Patriots have some wide receiver issues. Phillip Dorsett is out and Josh Gordon won’t play either, after he was ruled OUT on Saturday. Still, Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels will find a way.

Darnold starting for the Jets offers some hope, but that sliver of hope is so small the human eye can barely detect it. What it can detect though is another big Patriots victory.

NFL Free Pick:  New England -9.5

Pick by Rick

About the Author

A native of Western Pennsylvania, Rick, a Generation X-er, who now lives just north of the Motor City, Detroit, Michigan. A former high school, college, and professional football player, Rick now spends his time as a high school coach and as a personal quarterback trainer. An all-state high school quarterback, he went on to become an Academic All-American at Division II Indiana University of PA. He later coached at his alma mater helping lead the program to the 1990 NCAA Division II national championship game. Rick has also served as a high school head coach and as an assistant in Pennsylvania, New York, and Michigan.

His passion for sports writing started when he was the sports editor for his high school newspaper and continued when he worked as a sportswriter for the Jamestown (New York) Post-Journal in the early 1990s. A true sports fanatic, Rick enjoys all things Pittsburgh: Steelers, Pirates, and Penguins. The Immaculate Reception, the 1979 We Are Family Pirates, and the ’91-’92 Penguins are among his favorites. After working as an educator and athletic director for several years, he again took up sports writing and has contributed to several websites and publications, including Coach & Player magazine, X & O Labs, American Football Monthly, and many others.

When not consumed with coaching, watching, thinking about, or writing about football and other seasonal sports, he finds himself working out like he was still in college and reading everything from military history to Brad Thor novels. Rick has also been chasing rock god stardom as a drummer who has played with bands that have opened for the likes of Fuel, Days of the New, and Alien Ant Farm. He continues to play with his church worship group. Most importantly, Rick is married to the love of his life, Lisa, and has two beautiful daughters.