Premier League Free Pick: Chelsea vs. Manchester City

Sports are continuing to resume and one of the biggest leagues back is the Premier League.

There are matches being played throughout the week in the Premier League, but one of the best matches is this Thursday, June 25th, between Manchester City and Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.


Game: Chelsea (15-6-9) v Manchester City (20-3-7)

When: 3:15PM ET, Thursday, June 25th, 2020

Where: Stamford Bridge, Fulham, London

1x2 Odds: Chelsea (+295) / Manchester City (-118) / Draw (+250)

Handicap Odds: Chelsea +½ (-102) / Manchester City –½ (-118)

Total: Over 3 Goals (+103) / Under 3 goals (-123)

TV Coverage: DAZN, BT Sport


Chelsea will host Manchester City at Stamford Bridge on Thursday.

The Blues won away to Aston Villa (2-1) on Sunday and now have a five-point lead on Man United and Wolverhampton for fourth place on the table. Aston Villa actually held a lead at halftime after a late 1H goal, but Christian Pulisic and Olivier Giroud both scored to give Chelsea the three points.

Manchester City dominated Arsenal on Wednesday (June 17th) by a score of three to nil. City played Burnley on Monday (June 22nd) and they were able to pick up another victory (5-0). Take a look at the complete PL standings.

Both wins for Man City were at the Etihad Stadium.

City haven’t been nearly as good away this campaign. City are 9-1-5 in away matches. They score 2.73 GPG and concede 0.80 GPG, while they score 2.33 GPG and concede 1.27 GPG in away matches.

Chelsea are just 7-3-5 at Stamford Bridge. They play great defense at home (1.00 GPG conceded), but the team is only scoring 1.47 GPG at home compared to 2.07 GPG in away matches.

Expect a Low Scoring Match

We’re getting a nice price on under 3 goals (-123) in this match at America’s Bookie.

City are a deep squad and they were able to rest multiple starters against Burnley, and they still came out with a big win. However, Chelsea are still fighting for a top four position on the table. I expect them to play tight defensively and they’ll be content playing to a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.

Premier League Scores and Odds

Could City explode like they have been in their first two matches back from COVID-19? Absolutely, but my money is on City getting slowed down a bit by a strong opponent.


PREVIEW: Chelsea v Man. City | Premier League


A Look at Recent H2H Trends

Five of the last six head-to-head matches have had three goals or fewer. Three of those matches finished with under 3 goals. At the very least, there’s a good chance we’ll push at worst.

Chelsea are 2-0-1 in the last three home games against City dating back to 2017. The final scores in those three matches were 2-1 Chelsea, 1-0 Manchester City and 2-0 Chelsea.

The Blues aren’t a team that have struggled against City when playing at home.

Bet on Under 3 Goals in Chelsea v Man City

There’s going to be a ton of money coming in on City and the over in this match.

My best bet in this match is under 3 goals, but Chelsea are a live underdog at home as well. If you bet on Chelsea, though, make sure you bet the handicap or draw no bet market.

Premier League Free Pick: Under 3 Goals (-123) at America’s Bookie

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.


Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.


Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.


He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.


His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.


Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.


Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.


When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.