Premier League Free Pick | Sheffield United vs. Tottenham

Sheffield United host Tottenham at Bramall Lane on Thursday afternoon at 1 PM ET.

In my first free pick in weeks for Chelsea vs. Manchester City, I ended up pushing U3 goals in Chelsea vs. Man City. I mentioned that Chelsea would be a live underdog, so hopefully some of you jumped on that.

My under bet was looking good until Willian scored a penalty kick at the 78-minute mark.

 


Game: Sheffield United (11-11-9) v Tottenham (12-9-10)

When: 1:00 PM ET, Thursday, July 2nd 2020

Where: Bramall Lane, Sheffield, South Yorkshire

1x2 Odds: Sheffield United (+247) / Tottenham (-102) / Draw (+196)

Handicap Odds: Sheffield United +½ (-118) / Tottenham –½ (-102)

Total: Over 2.5 Goals (+118) / Under 2.5 Goals (-138)

TV Coverage: DAZN + Sky TV


 

Sheffield United have really struggled since the Premier League resumed.

The Blades are 0-1-2 since returning to action and the problem is goal scoring again. Sheffield United have failed to score a single goal in the three matches they’ve played in June.

They drew against Villa (0-0), lost to Newcastle (3-0) and lost to Manchester United (3-0).

Tottenham are undefeated (1-1-0) since returning to play. They played to a 1-1 draw against Man Utd and then defeated West Ham (2-0). This match couldn’t be more important for either squad.

Hotspur are 7th on the table (45 Points) and the Blades are 8th on the table (44 Points).

Both teams are chasing Man Utd for sixth on the table (49 Points).

Blades vs. Hotspur Head-to-Head Trends

Sheffield United and Tottenham rarely play against each other.

 


Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Sheffield United | Extended Premier League highlights


 

They’ve only played five H2H matches throughout history and only one recent match. Earlier during the 2019/20 Premier League campaign, these two teams played to a 1-1 draw in North London. Check the entire Premier League schedule here.

Analyzing the Numbers

Sheffield United score 0.97 GPG and concede 1.00 GPG, while Tottenham score 1.61 GPG and concede 1.32 GPG. Hotspur have struggled in away matches, though. They score 1.33 GPG in away matches and concede 1.67 GPG. The Blades score 1.13 GPG at home and only concede 0.87 GPG.

The Blades are 7-3-5 at home, while Hotspur are 3-6-6 in away matches.

Bet on Tottenham to Win

Both teams need a win, but I’m backing the team that has played better since returning.

Tottenham have a lot more scoring depth too. Harry Kane (12 Goals), Son Heung-Min (9 Goals and 8 Assists) and Dele Alli (8 Goals) are a formidable trio upfront. Kane scored late in the Man Utd match (Assisted by Heung-Min), and I expect them to carry that form forward into this match.

While scoring has been the biggest problem for the Blades, I’m also concerned about the fact they’ve conceded three goals in both of their last two matches. Both matches were away and they’ve played better at Bramall Lane this season, but Tottenham should have the depth to win this match.

This is likely going to be a low-scoring match. There has only been an average of 2.00 GPG scored in the Blades home matches this season. If Tottenham can open the scoring and dictate the pace of play, they’ll be able to emerge with just their fourth away win of the season.

Best Bet: Tottenham to Win (-102) at America’s Bookie

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.

 

Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.

 

Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.

 

He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.

 

His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.

 

Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.

 

Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.

 

When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.