Who has been enjoying the first seven episodes of Survivor 40: Winners at War?
Old school fans of the reality TV series may be slightly disappointed that the old school players are decimated already, but everyone still has a chance to win the $2 million first-place prize.
Well, everyone except Sandra Diaz-Twine, the self-appointed “Queen of Survivor”, as she quit.
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For those unaware, we’re heading to the merge at the start of Episode 8 this Wednesday.
Unfortunately, Yul was the last casualty prior to the merge. He was the last old school player to be voted off to the Edge of Extinction (EoE), which shows how much this game has changed.
Player Still in Survivor 40 (Updated Betting Odds)
Here are the players that made it to the merge:
Tony Vlachos (+115) - 1 Fire Token
Kim Spradlin-Wolfe (+500) - 1 Fire Token + 1 Immunity Idol
Michele Fitzgerald (+600) - 3 Fire Tokens
Sophie Clarke (+750) - 2 Fire Tokens + 1 Immunity Idol
Sarah Lacina (+900) - 1 Fire Token + 1 Steal a Vote
Nick Wilson (+1600) - 2 Fire Tokens
Wendell Holland (+1600) - 2 Fire Tokens
Adam Klein (+2000) - 1 Fire Token
Ben Driebergen (+2000) - 1 Fire Token
Jeremy Collins (+2000) - 1 Fire Token + 1 Safety without Power
Denise Stapley (+5000) - 1 Fire Token
This entire season has been entertaining and for the most part unpredictable.
What’s going to happen after the merge is anyone’s guess.
*SPOILER ALERT*: There has been a rumor circulating online this week that the final three will have two females and one male with the male’s name starting with a “T”.
I have no idea if the rumor has any credibility, but that’s why Tony is nearly the odds-on favorite. Tony is also a fan favorite because of his antics, such as spying on his tribemates.
However, even prior to the merge, his Dakal tribemates were voicing their concerns about how he is a big threat to win and they were discussing making a move on him if they had to attend tribal.
Kim is next up in the market, but I’m worried about her at the merge. She has been getting closer to Denise, but that may not be ideal, as Denise is a big target after deceiving Sandra.
Kim likely won’t be a target the next few weeks, but I don’t think she wins either.
Michele is in a tough position too. Can her and ex-boyfriend Wendell work together? They’ll need to if they want to survive, but I don’t see it working out long-term. I don’t like Wendell’s style at all and he’ll likely be a big target after the merge. Him and Adam are both in trouble moving forward.
Survivor 40 Picks - Best Bets to Win
My two picks are Sophie (+750) and Sarah (+900) from the Yara tribe.
Both players have advantages heading into the merge, and both of them are smart enough to get the most value out of them. I don’t see either of them wasting their advantage, giving them a thought when betting on Survivor.
Sophie and Sarah are both working together right now. If they can stay solid they could both end up making the final three, but there’s definitely a chance one stabs the other in the back.
Sarah is a police officer and she’s great at siphoning information from her tribemates. Sophie is quietly playing the best early game and no one is viewing her as a threat yet.
With so many other perceived bigger targets in the game, these two should be able to fly under the radar these next weeks while working the social angle and building alliances.
Edge of Extinction
Here are the eight players on the EoE:
Natalie Anderson - 4 Fire Tokens
Rob Mariano - 3 Fire Tokens
Amber Mariano - 1 Fire Token
Danni Boatwright - 1 Fire Token
Ethan Zohn - 1 Fire Token
Tyson Apostol - 1 Fire Token
Parvati Shallow - 0 Fire Tokens
Yul Kwon - 0 Fire Tokens
The EoE is a new Survivor twist. The first time this twist appeared was in Survivor: Edge of Extinction (Season 38) and this is now the second time we’ve seen this twist implemented.
In Season 38, Chris Underwood went on to win the season after being sent to the EoE.
Will that happen again? My money is on no, but the bookies still believe in Natalie. Natalie has the most fire tokens on the EoE and she is priced up at +600, making her a favorite to win still.
I wouldn’t recommend betting on Natalie at that price. Even if she comes back, she’s going to have a big target on her back. Even if she made the final three, would she get the necessary votes?
I would rather see an old school player come back into the game, but we’ll have to wait and see.