Today’s NHL Free Total Pick | Sabres vs. Avalanche

The Buffalo Sabres take on the Colorado Avalanche tonight. Both teams come into this game on winning streaks, the Sabres have won two in a row, while the Avs are on a three-game win streak.


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Game: Buffalo Sabres (29-25-8, 35-27 ATS) vs. Colorado Avalanche (36-18-7, 34-27 ATS)

When: 8:00PM ET, Wednesday, February 26th, 2020

Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado

Current Line: Sabres (+180) vs. Avalanche (-220)

Total: Over 6 (-110) vs. Under 6 (-110)

TV Coverage: NBCSN, SportsNet


 

The Sabres are trying to make a late push into the playoffs. Buffalo have won five of their last six games with recent wins over PIT (5-2) and WPG (2-1). The team’s lone loss was against OTT (7-4). These two last met on February 4th, when the Avs won 6-1.

 


NHL Highlights | Avalanche vs Sabres – Feb. 4, 2020


 

As we stand, the Sabres are ten points out of a wild card spot in the East. Buffalo still have a small chance to make the playoffs, but I wouldn’t get overly excited about the team’s recent form.

Colorado have won three consecutive games against NYI (3-1), ANA (1-0) and LAK (2-1). Prior to the current win streak, the Avs were on a three-game losing streak, so their form has been shaky.

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The Avs are third in the Central with 79 points, only three points behind the Blues for first. With first place still up for grabs, you can bet the Avalanche are going to be motivated down the stretch.

Trade Deadline Additions

Colorado had a quiet trade deadline. They added Michael Hutchinson from the Maple Leafs to play back-up, while Philipp Grubauer remains injured. They also traded for Vladislav Namestnikov.

Namestnikov is a nice lowkey addition that’ll help the penalty-kill. Namestnikov leads the NHL this season in short-handed goals (4) and points (6). The Avs rank #18 on the penalty-kill (79.8 PK%).

Buffalo made two moves at the deadline. They traded for Wayne Simmonds from the Devils and they received Dominik Kahun from the Penguins in exchange for Conor Sheary and Evan Rodrigues.

Will the Avs Continue to Trend Under?

Nine of the Avs last ten games have remained under the total. During their current three-game win streak, the Avalanche have scored six goals (2.0 GPG) and allowed two goals (0.66 GA/G).

On the season, Colorado are scoring 3.46 GPG (4th) and allowing 2.70 GA/G (6th).

However, scoring has been at a premium lately. In the Avs last ten games they’re averaging 2.4 GPG, which is over a full goal less than they’ve been averaging throughout the regular season.

Injuries To Watch

Injuries have decimated this team. Cale Makar, Mikko Rantanen and Nazem Kadri are all on the IR and they rank #3, #4 and #5 in points on the Avs this season, so they’ve lost a lot of production.

They could also be without Andre Burakovsky who is their second leading scorer (45 Points), as he’s day-to-day (illness). Nathan MacKinnon is being leaned on heavily and he can’t do it all himself.

Apart from the Sabres most recent win against the Jets, the Sabres have been scoring a lot of goals lately. Four of the team’s last five games have gone over the total.

However, the Sabres struggle against the Avs. The Avs have won the last four head-to-head games and while three of those went over the total, two of them finished with the Avs winning 6-1.

With the injuries to the Avs and the way they’ve been playing, I don’t expect them to come close to scoring six goals in this game and that’s why I’m betting on under 6 goals as my best bet.

Today’s NHL Free Total Pick: Sabres vs. Avalanche Under 6 Goals (-110)

Pick by Scott J

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.

 

Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.

 

Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.

 

He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.

 

His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.

 

Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.

 

Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.

 

When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.