Are you excited for UFC 263 on Saturday night?
This is going to end up being one of the best fight cards of the year by the end of 2021. There are two title fights, but the action won’t be limited to these fights. There’s a lot to like on this card.
The main event will feature Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori in a rematch for the middleweight title and the co-main event features Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo for the flyweight title.
We’ll also get to see Nate Diaz and Demian Maia on the main card and both are big underdogs.
Our plan is to increase our UFC betting coverage during pay-per-view events the rest of the year.
For UFC 263 we have in-depth fight previews for three main card fights.
1. Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Prediction
2. Figueiredo vs. Moreno 2 Prediction
3. Edwards vs. Diaz Prediction
Click the links to access best bets for these three fights.
Everything You Need to Know About UFC 263
Here’s everything UFC bettors need to know about the upcoming PPV event on Saturday:
When Is UFC 263? Saturday, June 12th 2021 at 6:15 PM ET
Where Is UFC 263? Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona
How to Watch UFC 263? Watch the first-half of the prelims on ESPN+, second-half of the prelims on ESPN and then the PPV card on ESPN+. In Canada, the prelims will be available on TSN5.
UFC 263 Props Predictions
Here are my top three UFC 263 props picks:
Best Bet: Jamahal Hill By TKO/KO (-125)
Hill (8-0-0-1) will put his undefeated record on the line against Paul Craig (14-4-1).
Craig is 3-0-1 in his last four fights, including stoppage victories in his last two fights. He was able to tap out Antigulov in the first round and he knocked out Rua in the second round.
This fight isn’t expected to go the distance. Hill will have a 3” reach advantage (79” vs. 76”). He comes into the fight averaging an impressive 7.90 SLpM, while Craig only averages 2.40 SLpM.
Hill’s main concern should be avoiding the takedown. Craig averages 2.11 takedowns per 15 minutes and Hill only has 53% takedown defense. Despite this, Hill by TKO/KO is the best bet.
Craig has been knocked out three times in his career.
Best Bet: Drew Dober By TKO/KO (+310)
I’m backing Dober (23-10-0-1) to knockout Brad Riddell (9-1) this weekend.
Riddell is riding a six-fight win streak and he’s 3-0 in the UFC, but his wins in the UFC have come by decision. Prior to joining the UFC, Riddell had six wins and five of those were by TKO/KO.
Dober is a UFC veteran. He joined the promotion in 2013. Since 2017, Dober is 6-2 and four of those wins were by TKO/KO. He has been tapped four times, but Riddell has never submitted anyone.
That’s a huge benefit for Dober. In what should end up being a striking battle, Dober is the more powerful fighter. He isn’t the most accurate striker (40%), but when he connects, he ends fights.
Best Bet: Luigi Vendramini ITD (+210)
Vendramini (9-1) is coming off a first round TKO win against Ayari. He was knocked out in the fight before against Zaleski. All his fights have ended by stoppage and only one entered round three.
Fares Ziam (11-3) is 1-1 in the UFC with a decision win and decision loss. Ziam has avoided the action in most of his fights, but Vendramini isn’t the most active striker either at 2.26 SLpM.
This will be a close fight, but I like Vendramini to finish this fight. He only needs to land one big shot.
UFC 263 Parlay Picks
We’re going with a big parlay that’ll pay out huge money if it hits on Saturday.
Hill ML + Dober ML + Vendramini ML + Maia ML (12/1 Payout Odds)
I’ll be going with Hill, Dober and Vendramini, but I’ll be betting on them to simply win. If you want to gamble on Saturday, parlaying Hill by TKO/KO, Dober By TKO/KO and Vendramini pays 22/1.
For the moneyline parlay, I’m also adding Maia as an underdog to bump up the payout.
Maia (28-10) lost to Burns by knockout in his last fight, but Burns is a power striker. Prior to the loss, Maia had strung together three wins, including two submission victories.
He’s fighting Belal Muhammad (18-3-0-1) who last lost to Neal in 2019. Since then, Muhammad is on a 4-0-0-1 run. He’s coming off a no contest (accidental eye poke) against Edwards.
Muhammad is an excellent wrestler, but Maia can surprise just about anyone with his submissions.
Professional Sports Picks Services
UFC 263 Betting Lines for Every Fight
Israel Adesanya (-265) vs. Marvin Vettori (+225)
Deiveson Figueiredo (-225) vs. Brandon Moreno (+190)
Leon Edwards (-600) vs. Nate Diaz (+400)
Belal Muhammad (-230) vs. Demian Maia (+195)
Jamahal Hill (-300) vs. Paul Craig (+250)
Drew Dober (-145) vs. Brad Riddell (+125)
Aryk Anders (-146) vs. Darren Stewart (+126)
Joanne Calderwood (-141) vs. Lauren Murphy (+121)
Movsar Evloev (-225) vs. Hakeem Dawodu (+190)
Pannie Kianzad (-200) vs. Alexis Davis (+170)
Matt Frevola (-280) vs. Terrance McKinney (+240)
Steven Peterson (-123) vs. Chase Hooper (+103)
Fares Ziam (-115) vs. Luigi Vendramini (-105)
Carlos Felipe (-163) vs. Jake Collier (+143)
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