UFC Betting Report: May 19th, 2020

The trio of UFC events in eight days in Jacksonville, Florida has concluded. The latter, UFC on ESPN 8 was an interesting card.

Initially, Dana White was planning a May 23rd event in Las Vegas, but combat sports aren’t approved in Nevada yet, so the event has been pushed back to May 30th. However, even that date hasn’t been confirmed yet, as the UFC is waiting to see if Nevada will open up by then.

White wants to start hosting events at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas.

However, White also has a back-up plan. White stated this week that Arizona is a target for the event on May 30th if Nevada hasn’t been opened back up by that point.

Fight Island” is still in the works as well. White recently told ESPN he hopes Fight Island will be up and running before the end of June, allowing UFC to start booking international fights again.

 


Dana White UFC on ESPN 8 Post-Fight Press Conference - MMA Fighting


 

Despite some uncertainty surrounding upcoming dates for UFC events, we do know that there are several fights scheduled for upcoming events and we’re going to take a look at the betting markets.

Upcoming UFC Events

Woodley vs. Burns Betting Report

Fight Odds: Tyron Woodley (-160) vs. Gilbert Burns (+140)

Woodley (19-4-1) and Burns (18-3) are expected to headline the next UFC fight card.

This is a fight fans have been wanting. Woodley is the #1 welterweight contender, but he’s coming off of a loss to Kamaru Usman (Decision) last March. Burns is on a 5-fight win streak with his latest win coming against Demian Maia by TKO in the opening round in March.

 


Demian Maia vs. Gilbert Burns - MMA Highlights


 

I’ve been surprised with the line movement on this fight.

Woodley opened up as a –145 favorite and Burns was a +125 underdog.

I would have thought this line would have moved the opposite way. Everything is setting up nicely for Burns to pick up his sixth consecutive win, which would put Burns squarely in line for a title fight at welterweight.

Here are the three other fights scheduled for the upcoming May 30th event:

Mackenzie Dern (-375) vs. Hannah Cifers (+305)

Jamahal Hill (-155) vs. Klidson Abreu (+135)

Augusto Sakai (-120) vs. Blagoy Ivanov (+100)

I’m looking forward to the heavyweight bout between Sakai vs. Ivanov. Ivanov is ranked #12 in the HW rankings, while Sakai is ranked #13. Sakai is 3-0 since joining the UFC in 2018 with two TKO/KO wins. Ivanov is 2-2 with all fights going the distance. He’s coming off a loss to Derrick Lewis.

Sakai opened up at +100 odds and this line is moving fast.

I could see Sakai being a –150 or bigger favorite by the end of the month, so jumping on the Brazilian now is the best bet.

Next UFC Championship Fight – Nunes vs. Spencer at UFC 250

Fight Odds: Amanda Nunes (-450) vs. Felicia Spencer (+350)

Nunes (19-4) will put her featherweight title on the line for the first time since defeating Cris Cyborg at UFC 232 in 2018. She’ll be fighting Spencer (8-1) at UFC 250, which is planned for June 6th.

Spencer is a past Invicta FC Featherweight Champion, but can she beat Nunes?

I wouldn’t be putting my money on it, but there’s also no value betting Nunes at these odds.

None of the prop betting odds are released yet, but we’ll make sure we have a prop or two once we post our UFC 250 predictions next month. Nunes will definitely be my banker bet on parlays, though.

Nunes is on a 10-0 run and she hasn’t lost since 2014 against Cat Zingano. She’s the UFC Women’s Bantamweight and Featherweight Champion. I can’t imagine she’ll lose against Spencer.

These two fighters have one recent opponent in common with each other. Nunes was able to KO Cyborg in the 1st round, while Spencer lost to Cyborg at UFC 240 by decision.

Here are the other fights currently scheduled for UFC 250 (Unofficial):

Cody Garbrandt (-172) vs. Raphael Assuncao (+147)

Alex Perez (-135) vs. Jussier Formiga (+115)

Gerald Meerschaert (-110) vs. Ian Heinisch (-110)

Charles Byrd (-160) vs. Maki Pitolo (+140)

Garbrandt (11-3) and Assuncao (27-7) are two fighters needing a win badly. Assuncao is ranked #5 in the bantamweight division, while Garbrandt has dropped to #9.

“No Love” is on a 3-fight losing streak, but two of those losses were against T.J. Dillashaw. However, in his last fight, he was knocked out in the first round by Pedro Munhoz. Garbrandt was a –175 favorite to win the fight. Is he ready to bounce back or will he look terrible again?

Assuncao lost both of his fights in 2019 against Marlon Moraes and Cory Sandhagen.

The flyweight bout between Perez vs. Formiga is interesting as well. Formiga is ranked #3 in the flyweight division, while Perez is ranked #9. We’ve seen a lot of movement on this fight.

Formiga opened up as the favorite (-130), but now Perez is favored to win the fight.

Both of these fighters have lost in the last two years against Joseph Benavidez by TKO. Formiga is coming off a loss to Brandon Moreno, while Perez has won his last two fights, however.

There’s a lot to look forward to over the next few weeks in the UFC.

We’re you’re one-stop source for the latest UFC betting news and predictions.

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.

 

Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.

 

Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.

 

He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.

 

His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.

 

Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.

 

Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.

 

When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.