The big story on the betting board this weekend is the 10 conference championship games in college football. The Pac-12 title game between Utah and Oregon is set for Friday night with the other nine games filling Saturday’s slate.
The early betting consensus for these games is fairly even across the board. LSU gets the 62% lean as a seven-point favorite over Georgia in the SEC. Wisconsin is drawing some early interest as a heavy 16.5-point underdog at 66% against Ohio State in the Big Ten.
Current Betting Trends
Betting trends should be broken down into year-to-date results as well as the last seven days to get the best idea of where they are heading. This helps bookies review the big picture as well as the latest results against the spread.
NFL Underdogs at 55.1% have set the pace all season long with an even heavier lean toward dogs on the road with a 58.8 winning percentage. Their numbers were boosted with last week’s results where underdogs won 56.3% of the games. Over the last month, the total has stayed UNDER in 52.6% of the games which is slightly higher than the 51.8% YTD trend.
Buffalo and Tennessee have been two AFC teams to go with lately, covering ATS in their last three games. Seattle has been the hot betting team in the NFC at 4-0 ATS over its last four outings.
Bettors are down to the final 11 games before the start of the college bowl season. The last game on Dec. 14 is the annual Army vs. Navy game. The betting trends from rivalry weekend leaned towards road favorites with a winning rate of 55.%. Favorites overall covered in 51.6% of last weekend’s games.
Both Clemson (-28.5) in the ACC and the Big Ten’s Buckeyes are heavy favorites in Saturday’s title game. The Tigers are 9-3 ATS with Ohio State matching that record over 12 games. Utah is the hottest betting team playing this weekend with an eight-game winning streak both SU and ATS.
The NBA has wrapped up the first quarter of its regular-season schedule and the best bet ATS has been home underdogs at 55%. Underdogs overall have a slight edge at 51.5%. Over the past week of games, favorites bounced back at 56.3% ATS with home favorites covering in 56.7% of the games.
The hottest betting team in the NBA is the Dallas Mavericks. They moved to 13-8 ATS overall after covering in their last four games. The Milwaukee Bucks have the best SU record at 19-3 and they have covered in their last three contests.
The nonconference portion of the college basketball season was highlighted this week by the annual ACC/Big Ten Challenge. No.1 Louisville was a big winner over No. 4 Michigan SU and ATS. Duke made a statement as well by beating Michigan State 87-75 to cover as a 6.5-point road underdog.
Overall, the betting trends have remained balanced across the board. The biggest edge ATS at 52.9% goes to home underdogs. Over the last week, that winning percentage increased to 54.1%.
Top Week 14 NFL Consensus Betting Picks
There are some big showdowns on the Week 14 slate with early bettors jumping on San Francisco at 65% as a 2.5-point road underdog against New Orleans. The betting public likes Baltimore at 64% as a six-point road favorite over Buffalo.
Kansas City will be on the road this Sunday against New England in another big matchup. The Patriots are two-point favorites at home with a slight 52% edge.
A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites. I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.
It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.
My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.
I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.