This is the time of the year where bookmakers are trying to balance the board across five major betting leagues. The NFL, NBA and NHL are the top three professional leagues and basketball joins football in the college ranks.
While private bookies tend to profit the most with the right pay per head service by their side, paying close attention to the daily action coming in remains as important as ever. By working closely with your pay per head site, you can increase revenue while also increasing your net profit.
One way to stay ahead of the curve is by paying close attention to the current betting trends. They can help you anticipate which way bettors may be leaning for this weekend’s big games.
Underdogs have been the big story in the NFL this season, as well as the UNDER. Heading into Week 11, underdogs have won 58.6 percent of the time against the spread. Underdogs on the road have been the best bet with a winning percentage of 61.1. The total line has balanced out in recent weeks with it now staying UNDER in 51.4 percent of the games.
The best betting teams have been Green Bay and Arizona with 7-3 records ATS in the first 10 weeks. Going against Tampa Bay has also been profitable with a 2-7 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of the Buccaneers’ first nine games.
Kansas City received the most picks last week (1750) in the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest and the Chiefs went on to lose to Tennessee 35-32 as 5.5-point road favorites.
The betting trends for college football have been far more steady with no clear edge one way or the other ATS or on the total line. The slight edge on the closing spread goes to road favorites (51.7%). The overall results on the total line leans slightly towards the UNDER (51.2%). Check out our college football scores and odds page.
The Big Ten’s Ohio State Buckeyes are ranked No. 2 in the nation at 9-0 SU with an 8-1 record ATS. The ACC’s No. 3 Clemson Tigers (10-0) are another good betting team at 7-3 ATS.
LSU, out of the SEC, is now the top team in the CFP rankings at 9-0 coming off the big upset against Alabama. The Tigers moved to 6-2-1 ATS with that win.
The early betting trends in the NBA give the slight edge to road underdogs ATS at 52.1 percent. Home favorites have won 70.7 percent of their games SU. The total has stayed UNDER in 51.7 percent of the games.
The Phoenix Suns are off to a solid 6-4 start SU with a profitable 8-2 record ATS. Boston has been the big story in the Eastern Conference at 9-1 SU in its first 10 games while going 6-2-2 ATS.
The first week of action betting on college basketball has been favorable for home underdogs ATS with a winning percentage of 57.7. Betting the UNDER has also been profitable with 56.6 percent of the games staying UNDER the closing line.
Consensus Betting Picks
The early money for Week 11 in the NFL has gone towards New England (64%) as a 3.5-point road favorite against Philadelphia as one of the top plays. The money is also trending towards the UNDER 44.5 points in that game at 64%.
One of the top consensus picks for college football’s Saturday slate favors Alabama (67%) as a 17.5-point road favorite against Mississippi State. One of the biggest leans at 74% is Troy as a seven-point favorite on the road against Texas State.
The early betting consensus has jumped all over the UNDER 55.5 points at 98% for Saturday’s TCU at Texas Tech game.
A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites. I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.
It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.
My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.
I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.