The Thanksgiving Holiday is one of the best sports betting weekends of the year. Traditional NFL games in Detroit and Dallas on Thursday get things to start. Yet, this is just an appetizer for a full meal of sports betting over the next four days.
We are late in the football season to add even more importance in the year-to-date and recent betting trends. These are excellent indicators of where the money might be going in this week’s matchups. Basketball trends on early-season results are also helpful in determining which direction bettors may turn in both the NBA and college hoops.
The lean has been towards underdogs against the spread all season long with a winning percentage of 55.8. Breaking that down over the last month of games, things have been much tighter with that edge dropping to just 50.75%. Over the entire NFL season, home teams have only covered 42 percent of the time ATS. That trend has moved to a positive 52.2% over the past 30 days.
The total has stayed UNDER in 52.2% of NFL games this season but they have gone OVER 50.7% of the time over the last 30 days.
Best bets for individual teams have Buffalo and Arizona at the top of the list with 7-3-1 records ATS. The Bills are 8-3 straight-up overall with the Cardinals at 3-7-1.
Rivalry Week in college football marks the final round of games in the regular season. Year-to-date trends have remained tight all season long. The slight edge goes to road underdogs ATS at 51.6%. Betting trends over the past 30 days have shifted to the favorites playing on the road with a 54.8 winning percentage ATS. Trends betting the total line have remained balanced the entire season.
One of the best bets this season has been the Big 12’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at 8-3 SU with a 9-2 record ATS. They are 13-point home underdogs against Oklahoma in Saturday’s annual rivalry game. The 10-1 Sooners are 4-7 ATS.
With all 30 teams approaching the 20-game mark of the season, the slight edge goes to the underdogs ATS at 51.9%. The total has stayed UNDER in 51.5% of the games.
One of the hottest betting teams in the NBA so far has been the Miami Heat at 12-5 SU and 11-4-2 ATS. Out in the Pacific Division, Sacramento is 7-10 SU with an 11-6 record ATS.
The early betting trends in the nonconference portion of the college basketball schedule have leaned slightly towards underdogs as the home team at 52.2% against the closing spread. The total has stayed UNDER in 53.4% of the games.
Clemson has one of the top football teams in the nation and the Tigers’ basketball program is off to a 5-2 SU start with a profitable 6-1 mark ATS. Ohio State has also posted a hot start at 6-0 SU with a 5-1 record ATS.
Top Week 13 NFL Consensus Betting Picks
Week 13 ushers in the first round of “must-wins” for a number of teams trying to remain in the playoff race. Early betting money for Sunday’s games has gone towards Green Bay at 73% with the Packers listed as 6.5-point road favorites against the New York Giants.
Another heavily bet team has been Tampa Bay as a one-point road favorite against Jacksonville. The early consensus is at 68%.
A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites. I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.
It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.
My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.
I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.