When Is Best Time To Bet Football Games, Early or Late?

Finding winners for sports bettors in hard enough. Going through the numbers and being subjective about particular teams you like and dislike makes the work hard enough.

But another aspect that pops up is line moves on football, both college, and pro and when you should be ready to fire on a team you want to bet?

How often have you saw a favorite on Monday and thought, "that's a low number" but because you don't wager until the weekend that number jumps two maybe three points against you, and the value decreased? The same could be true of an underdog at +6 to start the week but by Friday, it's down to +3 and that pooch is not nearly as attractive.

Betting Football, It's Just Not About the Quarterback, It's In the Trenches Too!

It used to following betting lines during the week was like reading a watch, you always knew what time it was. If sharp bettors saw what they perceived was a weak number, they jumped and online sportsbooks quickly adjusted it. Towards the weekend, favorites would go higher as the betting public began laying down their cash, leading to familiar patterns.

Today, because of some normal bettors what to mimic experts and convince themselves they are sharp action bettors, they hop on early line moves to start the week and sometimes artificially inflate spreads.

Another aspect that's altered lines are betting syndicates, who not every time, but often enough, wager vast amounts of money to adjust lines on certain games to force sportsbooks to react, only to take the opposition on a game on the weekend on a number that is more palatable to them and in their mind enhances their chances of winning.

If this sounds complicated, it is. So what should you as the football bettor do and decided when to bet? Be smarter.

Reasons To Bet Early

If you are looking over the lines for weekend football games on Monday or Tuesday and something really jumps out at you, why wait until Thursday or later? If you are serious about winning, why potentially give value (the right number is your mind) away?

Make the time that day to study just those select contests and see if what your head tells you matches up with your method of analysis. If so, make your NFL picks or college football picks immediately with the knowledge you have the best number you can and have completed the work.

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This would be particularly true of more public teams who are favored because as chances are, their numbers will only rise.

Reasons To Bet Later

If you are an astute bettor who has a good understanding of key numbers (3, 6 and 7 in particular) in football. This could be a reason to take a wait and see approach. If you would see an underdog that is at +2.5, +3, +6.5 or +7 and your knowledge tells you that possibility that you could catch a +3.5 or +7.5 or higher, don't be in a hurry, chances are you could always settle for the original release.

The same situation would be true of a favorite at -3, -3.5, -7 and 7.5. Watch and see if the numbers come to you. The sharpest of all bettors don't just wager on a game, they bet numbers in their favor.

As stated, become a smarter bettor and snatch the numbers at the right time whether it's early, late or the middle of the week, since the idea of betting is to make money. Stack the odds in your favor as best you can.

About the Author

Doug Upstone has been involved in sports handicapping in some form or another his entire adult life. NOBODY watches and studies games more than he does. Whether it is live or going back and watching later, Doug has game notes and observations dating back two decades. (Yes, somehow he’s still married to his original wife.)

Doug is process person, meaning he’s developed his own power ratings in different sports to determine if the lines are accurate from his perspective, yet always follows the fundamentals when handicapping games.

Doug has been heard on various sports radio talk shows (Tony George Radio Show on Sirius radio the latest) around the country for years and never has a shortage of opinions. Plus, his Line Moves article is one of the most consistently viewed pieces among sports bettors on Facebook and Google Plus.

Doug has been writing articles for over a decade and doing videos nearly as long at several websites, which are among the most viewed in any particular week.

His articles have been in the New York Post.com, Sportsbookreview.com, RantSports.com, Covers.com, Playbook.com, Daily Racing Form, StatFox.com and Sportsbook.ag on a daily basis, along with being seen at many different websites on the internet and is pleased to become part of the ScoresandStats.com team also in various capacities.

He also does work on some of the most popular football newsletters in the country, something he has done since 2006.

Doug has had 21 No. 1 rankings at documented sports monitors in a multitude of sports and over 80 Top 10 finishes and consistently delivers HUGE profits.


Doug Upstone's Most Recent Top Awards

#1 2016 NFL at The Sports Eye

#1 2015 NFL at Cappers Monitor

#1 2014-15 NHL at Cappers Monitor, Cappers Watchdog & The Sports Eye

#1 2013-14 NHL at Cappers Monitor & The Sports Eye

#1 2014 NFL Playoffs at The Sports Eye Monitor

#1 2013 NFL at Cappers Monitor

#1 2013 NHL at Cappers Monitor, Cappers Watchdog & The Sports Eye

#1 2009-10 CBB at Cappers Monitor

#1 2009 MLB at The Sports Eye and Free Sports Monitor