MLB PREVIEWS |

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Preview and Predictions 10-09-2019


The Atlanta Braves host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday in Game 5 of the National League Division Series, a fitting winner-take-all matchup after the teams split the opening four games in wild, dramatic fashion. The finale features a rematch of Game 2 starters Jack Flaherty for St. Louis and Mike Foltynewicz for Atlanta, and the Braves will look to jump-start an offense that squandered numerous chances to clinch the series in a 5-4, 10-inning loss in Game 4.

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Atlanta's middle of the lineup quintet of Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Nick Markakis, Matt Joyce and Brian McCann are a combined 10-for-70 in the series with one homer, three RBIs and 16 strikeouts. The Braves have survived offensively thanks in large part to three players: 21-year-old Ronald Acuna Jr. (8-for-16, three doubles and a 1.579 OPS), Dansby Swanson (7-for-14 with three doubles in his postseason debut) and Adam Duvall (five RBIs in seven at-bats after spending most of the season in the minors). The Cardinals have been outscored 16-13 in the series and have leaned heavily on Marcell Ozuna (two homers in Game 4, 8-for-17 in the series with four RBIs) and Paul Goldschmidt (1.563 OPS in the series with seven hits, four doubles and two homers). Among the Cardinals looking to break out in the series finale are Dexter Fowler (one hit in 17 at-bats), All-Star Paul DeJong (two hits with six strikeouts in 14 at-bats) and Kolten Wong, who is healed from a hamstring injury but is 3-for-17.

TV: 5:02 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Jack Flaherty (0-1, 3.86 ERA) vs. Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (1-0, 0.00)

Flaherty was outstanding despite taking the loss in Game 2, giving up a first-inning run and a two-run homer to Duvall in the seventh while finishing with eight hits allowed, one walk and eight strikeouts in his postseason debut. It marked only the second time the 23-year-old has surrendered more than two earned runs in his past 17 starts, with 58 hits, 25 walks and 138 strikeouts in 113 1/3 innings in that span. Flaherty, whose 117 pitches in Game 2 were the most by a St. Louis hurler in his playoff debut since 2001 (Woody Williams, 133), is 1-2 in three career starts at SunTrust Park (including Game 2) with 11 runs allowed in 17 2/3 innings.



Foltynewicz dominated the Cardinals in Game 2, striking out seven with no walks and three hits allowed in seven scoreless innings to earn his first career postseason victory and continue his revival since returning from a mid-summer trip to the minors. The 28-year-old is 5-1 with a 1.69 ERA in his past nine starts dating to Aug. 17, giving up 10 earned runs (11 total) on 35 hits in 53 1/3 innings with 13 walks and 48 strikeouts in that stretch. Foltynewicz, who went 0-1 with five runs allowed in six innings in two starts against the Dodgers in last year's NLDS, has surrendered eight hits with four walks and 16 strikeouts across 20 shutout innings in his past three home outings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Atlanta is 4-for-34 with runners in scoring position in the series and has left 30 runners on base, while St. Louis has stranded 27 runners while hitting 4-for-31 with runners on second and/or third.

2. Goldschmidt and Ozuna have combined for 11 of the Cardinals 16 extra-base hits in the series.

3. The Braves have not won a playoff series since the 2001 NLDS.

Prediction

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Stadium

SunTrust Park
Cumberland, Georgia, USA.
Capacity: 41,500

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Last Injuries

Atlanta Braves

  • Ender Inciarte

    Quadricep
    out for season | 10-day IL

    Incarte is on the 10-day injured list with a right quadriceps strain. He suffered a setback and is likely to miss the remainder of the postseason.

  • Jonny Venters

    Shoulder
    out for season | 60-day IL

    Venters has been moved to the 60-day injured list and is likely to miss the remainder of the season after having surgery to fix a torn capsule in his left shoulder.

  • Charlie Culberson

    Face
    out for season | 60-day IL

    Culberson has been placed on the 60-day injured list due to a fractured cheekbone and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Chris Martin

    Oblique
    Out indefinitely | out

    Martin is sidelined with left oblique tightness, and he is in jeopardy of missing the remainder of the National League Division Series versus the Cardinals.

  • Josh Donaldson

    Hip
    Prob Thurs | probable

    Donaldson is dealing with a hip contusion, but it is anticipated that he will suit up against the Cardinals in Game 1 of the NLDS.

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Brett Cecil

    Hand
    Late Oct | 60-day IL

    Cecil has been transferred to the 60-day injured list due to left hand Carpal Tunnel syndrome and is expected to be out of action until the latter part of October.

  • Kolten Wong

    Hamstring
    Prob Thurs | probable

    Kolten Wong has a Grade 2 left hamstring strain, but it is projected that he will return for Game 1 of the NL Divisional Series against the Braves.

  • Matt Carpenter

    Rest
    Ques Thurs | questionable

    Carpenter is not expected to be in the starting lineup for Game 1 of the NL Divisional Series against the Braves as he is likely to receive a day of rest.

atlanta-braves Stats 2019

Hitting Statistics
Player G GS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SB K CS Avg SP OBP
Player G GS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SB K CS Avg SP OBP
Ozzie Albies 157 154 626 102 187 43 8 24 86 318 15 108 4 .299 .508 .356
Freddie Freeman 155 154 587 112 174 34 2 38 121 326 6 123 3 .296 .555 .391
Nick Markakis 113 105 404 61 117 25 2 9 61 173 2 55 0 .290 .428 .359
Ronald Acuna Jr. 156 154 626 127 175 22 2 41 101 324 37 188 9 .280 .518 .365
Charlie Culberson 107 15 135 14 35 5 2 5 20 59 0 44 1 .259 .437 .294
Pitching Statistics
Player G GS OP ST HBPA HA HRA IWA RA SFA SHA SBSA WA PT
Player G GS OP ST HBPA HA HRA IWA RA SFA SHA SBSA WA PT
Luke Jackson 69 0 216 104 2 76 10 4 34 0 0 6 26 1245
Sean Newcomb 54 4 204 65 3 61 8 1 28 0 0 4 29 1177
A.J. Minter 36 0 88 35 1 36 3 5 23 0 0 6 23 588
Jacob Webb 36 0 97 28 1 24 4 0 10 0 0 1 12 536
Julio Teheran 33 33 524 162 14 148 22 3 81 0 0 15 83 3036
Field Statistics
Player GP GS CI SABC SCBC FE OA PB
Player GP GS CI SABC SCBC FE OA PB
Tyler Flowers 84 72 1 38 9 3 0 12
Brian McCann 83 77 2 36 7 3 0 7
Adam Duvall 39 25 0 0 0 2 2 0
Austin Riley 79 68 0 0 0 5 3 0
Charlie Culberson 107 15 0 0 0 2 2 0

st-louis-cardinals Stats 2019

Hitting Statistics
Player G GS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SB K CS Avg SP OBP
Player G GS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SB K CS Avg SP OBP
John Brebbia 61 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000
Ryan Helsley 23 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 .333 .333 .333
Lane Thomas 34 4 38 6 12 0 1 4 12 26 1 8 1 .316 .684 .409
Randy Arozarena 17 4 19 4 6 1 0 1 2 10 3 4 1 .316 .526 .409
Tommy Edman 89 72 314 57 94 16 6 11 33 155 14 60 1 .299 .494 .341
Pitching Statistics
Player G GS OP ST HBPA HA HRA IWA RA SFA SHA SBSA WA PT
Player G GS OP ST HBPA HA HRA IWA RA SFA SHA SBSA WA PT
Andrew Miller 71 0 161 68 7 42 11 1 28 0 0 1 26 948
John Brebbia 65 0 217 87 3 58 6 2 29 0 0 1 26 1201
Giovanny Gallegos 64 0 216 93 3 41 8 2 18 0 0 2 15 1103
John Gant 64 0 199 60 0 51 4 1 29 0 0 1 34 1107
Tyler Webb 64 0 159 47 2 33 7 3 23 0 0 3 23 870
Field Statistics
Player GP GS CI SABC SCBC FE OA PB
Player GP GS CI SABC SCBC FE OA PB
Yadier Molina 110 105 0 21 8 1 0 5
Matt Wieters 66 41 0 11 8 2 0 2
Andrew Knizner 18 13 0 1 3 1 0 0
Carlos Martinez 41 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Dakota Hudson 29 28 0 0 0 2 0 0