Great American Ball Park Cincinnati

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick & Prediction JUL 28TH 2022

MLB | BASEBALL
TV: Bally Sports Network | MLBN
Logo Miami Marlins
VS
Logo Cincinnati Reds
9.5
OPENNER
-125

9.5o 102
CURRENT
-1.5 +145

+123
MONEYLINE
-133

7
SCORE
6

Two teams that figure to be busy at the MLB trade deadline will conclude the business of their four-game series Thursday when the Cincinnati Reds host the Miami Marlins.

Following an emotional win for Luis Castillo Wednesday night, the Reds send right-hander Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.70 ERA) to the mound to make his 12th career start in Thursday's matinee. The rookie pitcher is coming off his first post-All Star break outing in which he allowed four runs and seven hits over 4 2/3 innings, falling one out shy of qualifying for the win in Cincinnati's 9-5 victory last Friday against St. Louis.

In the game against the Cardinals, he labored on a hot, humid night, throwing a career-high 112 pitches while getting just two outs deep into the fifth.

 

Ashcraft is also looking for his first win since June 24 when he held San Francisco to two runs on six hits over a season-best eight innings. Since then, Ashcraft is 0-1 with three consecutive no decisions. Ashcraft will be making his first career start against Miami.

The Marlins have not announced a starter for Thursday's series finale.

Miami, like Cincinnati, has a starting pitcher that has generated significant trade interest and rumors as the MLB trade deadline of Aug. 2 approaches.

Pablo Lopez matched a career-best with 11 strikeouts over seven innings in Tuesday's 2-1 win over the Reds. If he stays on schedule, Lopez would pitch again Sunday in Miami against the New York Mets.

"I don't really know how any of that works," Lopez said of trade rumors. "So, I think in my mind, I'm already just preparing to come (in) for my Day 1 routine and just get ready for the next one. I just have to be in the moment."

Both ace Sandy Alcantara and Lopez -- who isn't a free agent until after the 2024 season -- were acquired by the Marlins in 2017 trades.

Against the Reds Tuesday, Lopez (7-5, 3.03) was able to mix his pitches while not walking a batter for the first time since May 24.

"That's as good as stuff probably we've seen all year," Reds manager David Bell said. "Good fastball (and we) didn't really know which direction was going to cut it. He had a good sinker, great changeup, some good curveballs."

Lopez was 4-1 with a 1.05 ERA over his first seven starts. But in his last 12 before Tuesday, Lopez struggled to a 2-4 record with a 4.50 ERA.

The Reds moved backup catcher Aramis Garcia to the 10-day injured list from COVID IL, filling out Cincinnati's 40-man roster.

In another roster move Wednesday, Cincinnati sent outfielder Albert Almora to Triple-A Louisville to begin a rehab assignment. Almora hasn't played since July 10 but has been regaining his strength after dealing with an illness that affected him for several days. Almora is hitting .234 with five home runs and 26 RBIs in 48 games this season.

--Field Level Media

PREDICTION
Miami Marlins
4
6
Cincinnati Reds

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Recap JUL 28TH 2022

Jesus Sanchez hit a pinch-hit home run to tie the score in the ninth and Joey Wendle followed with a go-ahead RBI double as the Miami Marlins rallied to defeat the host Cincinnati Reds 7-6 on Thursday afternoon.

Jesus Aguilar went 3-for-4 with four RBIs to lead Miami's offense. He followed Wendle's double with a sacrifice fly that proved to be the winning run. He also blasted a two-run homer measured at 419 feet and added an RBI double.

Marlins reliever Zach Pop (2-0) pitched a perfect eighth, and closer Tanner Scott pitched out of a jam in the ninth to earn his 14th save.

With two outs in the bottom of the ninth, Tommy Pham's RBI single off Scott closed Cincinnati's deficit to 7-6. But with runners on first and second, Scott struck out Joey Votto swinging at a high, 97-mph fastball.

Marlins starter Daniel Castano lasted just two-thirds of an inning after he was hit in the face by a 104-mph line drive off the bat of Donovan Solano. The ball struck Castano's forehead and landed in the glove of third baseman Wendle for an out.

Castano, who allowed two hits and one run, was likely helped from further physical damage by his cap. The Marlins said he suffered a forehead contusion and a mild concussion.

Reds starter Graham Ashcraft left with a lead but settled for a no-decision. He allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits and two walks in 6 2/3 innings.

Reliever Hunter Strickland (2-3) took the loss, allowing three runs in the ninth and failing to get an out.

Cincinnati opened the scoring in the first. With one out, Brandon Drury smashed a line-drive double past a diving Wendle. Drury raced home when the next batter, Pham, drove a double to right-center.

Miami took a 2-1 lead in the third as Jacob Stallings singled and Aguilar homered on a 97-mph fastball.

The Marlins used a pair of singles to stretch their lead to 3-1 in the fourth. Lewin Diaz's single started the rally, and he moved to second on a passed ball. Miguel Rojas had the RBI single.

Cincinnati tied the score in the bottom of the fourth as consecutive one-out singles by Matt Reynolds and Nick Senzel started the rally. Tyler Naquin got a run-scoring groundout, and Mark Kolozsvary drove an RBI double to right-center.

The Reds took a 4-3 lead in the fifth on singles by Pham, Votto and Solano. Cincinnati made it 5-3 in the sixth on Naquin's 417-foot homer.

Miami cut its deficit to 5-4 in the seventh on doubles by Stallings and Aguilar.

The Marlins completed their rally in the ninth. Sanchez led off with his 361-foot homer to right. Luke Williams walked and Stallings was hit by a pitch, knocking Strickland out of the game. Buck Farmer entered and allowed Wendle's double and Aguilar's sacrifice fly.

--Field Level Media

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