Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres Pick & Prediction MAY 21st 2023

Stadium: Petco Park San Diego
Logo Boston Red Sox
VS
Logo San Diego Padres
9.5
OPENER
-120

9o -113
CURRENT
-1.5 +120

+155
MONEYLINE
-165

0
SCORE
7

Here's a combination of disturbing facts to ponder before Sunday's game against the Boston Red Sox if you are a fan of the spiraling San Diego Padres.

Padres starting pitchers have given up four or more runs in four straight games and six of the past seven. The Padres have scored a total of 10 runs in those four games, all losses. They have dropped eight of their past nine and 11 of their past 12.

Now, here's the silver lining.

On Monday, in his most recent start, right-hander Michael Wacha allowed one hit in seven shutout innings. He issued one walk with 11 strikeouts. And he didn't allow a hit until Kansas City's Michael Massey -- the last hitter Wacha faced -- opened the eighth with a line-drive single to right ending the no-hit bid.

On Sunday, Wacha (4-1, 4.06 ERA) starts the finale of a disastrous Padres homestand against a Boston team for which he was 11-2 last season with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts.

And as if to rub salt in the wounds, the Red Sox will counter with 37-year-old right-hander Corey Kluber (2-5, 6.41).

Kluber was originally a fourth-round draft pick of the Padres in 2007 and quickly became a top prospect. But on July 31, 2010, the Padres sent Kluber to Cleveland in a three-way trade that brought outfielder Ryan Ludwick to San Diego. Kluber won two Cy Young Awards with Cleveland. Ludwick hit .228 with 17 homers and 90 RBIs in 160 games with the Padres.

Padres fans still talk about the Kluber-for-Ludwig trade. Maybe a Wacha win Sunday would reduce some of the sting of 2010 as well as the latest loss of 2023, a 4-2 decision to the Red Sox on Saturday. A three-run home run in the second inning by Enmanuel Valdez off Padres starter Joe Musgrove was all the offense Boston would need.

"Joe made one bad pitch and it beat us," Padres manager Bob Melvin said Saturday night after the team's slide escalated.

The Padres had only three hits Saturday. They were 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position and are 0-9 for the two games against Boston, lowering their MLB-worst RISP average for the season to .191.

They did have two homers Saturday as Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis Jr. hit solo shots. But Padres infielders Ha-Seong Kim and Jake Cronenworth both failed to make tags. Although the plays were ruled outs, both were reversed on appeals by Boston manager Alex Cora -- and both runners scored, accounting for half the Boston runs.

Now it's Sunday and the Padres are facing a sweep and a potential 1-5 homestand. Overall, they are 11-15 at home.

For Kluber, the Padres offensive woes represent an opportunity to turn a corner. Over his three starts in May, Kluber has given up 10 runs on 19 hits and seven walks in 15 1/3 innings for a 5.87 ERA.

"His command wasn't sharp, there was a lot of traffic, but he battled and gave us five innings," Cora said after Kluber's most recent start against the Cardinals last Sunday, a 9-1 loss.

For Wacha and Kluber, it's the ninth start of the season for each. Wacha has worked 44 1/3 innings and the Padres are 6-2 when he pitches. Kluber has worked 39 1/3 innings and the Red Sox are 3-5 in his starts.

--Field Level Media

PREDICTION
Boston Red Sox
5
8
San Diego Padres

Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres Recap MAY 21TH 2023

Left-hander Chris Sale held the Padres to two solo homers over seven innings and Enmanuel Valdez gave Boston a quick 3-0 lead with a three-run, second-inning homer Saturday night as the visiting Red Sox scored a 4-2 victory in San Diego.

Sale allowed three hits and a walk with eight strikeouts. He threw 111 pitches (73 strikes) to improve to 4-2. Kenley Jansen, who blew his last two save opportunities, retired Brandon Dixon on a game-ending pop out to third after putting the tying runs on base with walks. It was Jansen's 10th save.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox scored four runs on six hits, a walk and a hit batter against Padres starter Joe Musgrove, who had six strikeouts in five innings. Musgrove fell to 1-2.

Raimel Tapia triggered the Red Sox second-inning rally with a one-out single and moved to second when Musgrove hit Kike Hernandez with a pitch. With Valdez at the plate, Tapia and Hernandez ran on a double steal. Tapia was originally called out at third for the second out in the inning. But Boston manager Alex Cora appealed and Tapia was ruled safe.

Valdez then launched a high, 374-foot drive to right on Musgrove's third pitch for his third homer of the season.

Boston's second successful appeal led to its fourth run in the fourth. Hernandez doubled leading off the inning, although he was originally called out on a throw by Jose Azocar. But the Red Sox appealed and Hernandez was ruled safe at second. He moved to third on a single by Connor Wong and scored on Alex Verdugo's one-out single.

Juan Soto reduced Boston's lead to 3-1 in the bottom of the second on his eighth homer of the season -- a 409-foot drive to right center.

Fernando Tatis again reduced the Padres' deficit to two runs with his seventh homer of the season on a full-count, 440-foot drive to left center in the sixth. Tatis' homer was the ninth straight solo homer by the Padres.

Ha-Seong Kim followed the Tatis homer with a double -- the Padres' third and final hit.

--Field Level Media