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Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans Pick & Prediction OCT 25TH 2020

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Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers performed with such precision in the opening four games of the season that when Green Bay experienced a dip in productivity last Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, queries on how the offense could reclaim its form inevitably followed.

 

Rodgers amassed 1,214 passing yards and 13 touchdowns against zero interceptions while posting a 126.9 passer rating and completing 70 percent of his attempts as the Packers averaged 38 points and 445.5 yards per game in racing to a 4-0 start.

 

In their 38-10 road loss to the Buccaneers, Green Bay managed only 201 yards as Rodgers finished 16 of 35 for 160 yards with two picks.

 

In advance of the Packers' matchup with the Houston Texans (1-5) Sunday at NRG Stadium, Rodgers offered some perspective on what proves especially critical as teams evaluate their performance and script a game plan that provides the best chance for success.

 

"Self-scouting is very important when you review games and also when you're putting plans together," Rodgers said. "And then looking at yourself playing as well, whether you're a receiver, lineman, quarterback, running back -- it doesn't matter. I think self-scouting is very important."

 

In theory, the Packers (4-1) should encounter easier sledding offensively against a Texans defense that ranks 30th with 2,538 yards allowed, a unit that surrendered 607 yards to the Tennessee Titans in a 42-36 overtime loss last Sunday.

 

Houston has proved feeble against the run and in the fourth quarter, facts that should enable the Packers to rediscover their rhythm.

 

A more pressing concern for the Packers is a defense that has forced just three turnovers, tied for last in the NFL. Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has excelled in two games under interim coach Romeo Crennel, passing for 694 yards and seven touchdowns with a 73.6 completion percentage. Without any takeaways, the Packers might stumble into a shootout.

 

Green Bay forced 25 turnovers last season, finishing tied for seventh in the league in that category.

 

"I think it's more we've had some opportunities that we have not cashed in on and it's just about finishing plays," Packers coach Matt LaFleur said. "You've got to maximize those when they present themselves. We had two opportunities just last week and we've got to make sure we capitalize when those opportunities present themselves."

 

Defending Rodgers is a daunting challenge for every team, but the Texans are especially vulnerable when taking into account their 32nd-ranked run defense combined with their inability to force turnovers (four in five games).

 

The Texans have been repeatedly gashed in the running game, but loading the box against Rodgers would leave a scuffling secondary more susceptible.

 

Only six teams have allowed a higher percentage of drives to end in an offensive score than the Texans' 48.4 percent.

 

"That's one where you pick your poisons," Crennel said. "So, what we have to do is we have to mix it up -- not show him the same thing all the time, show him some different looks. Then when we show the different look, hopefully they don't have a play called that matches that look. Then if that's the case, we have to rally and hustle to the football and try to get the guy on the ground before he gets in the end zone."

 

--Field Level Media

 

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Green Bay Packers

Houston Texans

Player Position Lineup
Davante Adams primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Jaire Alexander primary: Cornerback Starter
Adrian Amos primary: Safety Starter
Kenny Clark primary: Nose Tackle Starter
Josh Jackson primary: Cornerback Starter
Elgton Jenkins primary: Left Guard Starter
Corey Linsley primary: Center Starter
Dean Lowry primary: Defensive End Starter
Lucas Patrick primary: Right Guard Starter
Aaron Rodgers primary: Quarterback Starter
Preston Smith primary: Outside Linebacker Starter
Za'Darius Smith primary: Outside Linebacker Starter
Chandon Sullivan primary: Cornerback Starter
Robert Tonyan primary: Tight End Starter
Billy Turner primary: Left Tackle Starter
Marquez Valdes-Scantling primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Jamaal Williams primary: Runningback Starter
Rick Wagner primary: Right Tackle Starter
Will Redmond primary: Safety Starter
Marcedes Lewis primary: Tight End Starter
Kamal Martin primary: Inside Linebacker Starter
Krys Barnes primary: Inside Linebacker Starter
Montravius Adams primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Tim Boyle primary: Quarterback Substitution
Hunter Bradley primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Oren Burks primary: Linebacker Substitution
Mason Crosby primary: Kicker Substitution
Rashan Gary primary: Linebacker Substitution
Raven Greene primary: Safety Substitution
Ka'dar Hollman primary: Cornerback Substitution
Kingsley Keke primary: Defensive Linesman Substitution
Yosh Nijman primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
JK Scott primary: Punter Substitution
Equanimeous St. Brown primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Jace Sternberger primary: Tight End Substitution
Ty Summers primary: Linebacker Substitution
Dexter Williams primary: Runningback Substitution
Malik Taylor primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Darrius Shepherd primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Randy Ramsey primary: Linebacker Substitution
AJ Dillon primary: Runningback Substitution
Jon Runyan primary: Guard Substitution
Vernon Scott primary: Safety Substitution
Jonathan Garvin primary: Linebacker Substitution
Henry Black primary: Safety Substitution
John Lovett primary: Tight End Substitution
Billy Winn primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
David Bakhtiari primary: Offensive Tackle Not active
Aaron Jones primary: Runningback Not active
Kevin King primary: Cornerback Not active
Tyler Lancaster primary: Defensive Linesman Not active
Darnell Savage primary: Safety Not active
Tyler Ervin primary: Runningback Not active
Jordan Love primary: Quarterback Not active
Ben Braden primary: Guard Did not play
Player Position Lineup
Tyrell Adams primary: Linebacker Starter
Zach Cunningham primary: Linebacker Starter
Darren Fells primary: Tight End Starter
Will Fuller V primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Zach Fulton primary: Right Guard Starter
Tytus Howard primary: Right Tackle Starter
Senio Kelemete primary: Left Guard Starter
Nick Martin primary: Center Starter
Whitney Mercilus primary: Linebacker Starter
Justin Reid primary: Safety Starter
Bradley Roby primary: Cornerback Starter
Laremy Tunsil primary: Left Tackle Starter
Carlos Watkins primary: Defensive End Starter
Deshaun Watson primary: Quarterback Starter
J.J. Watt primary: Defensive End Starter
Brandon Dunn primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
David Johnson primary: Runningback Starter
Eric Murray primary: Safety Starter
Vernon Hargreaves III primary: Cornerback Starter
Brandin Cooks primary: Wide Receiver Starter
P.J. Hall primary: Defensive Tackle Starter
Pharaoh Brown primary: Tight End Starter
Bryan Anger primary: Punter Substitution
Cornell Armstrong primary: Cornerback Substitution
DeAndre Carter primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Dylan Cole primary: Inside Linebacker Substitution
Keion Crossen primary: Cornerback Substitution
Ka'imi Fairbairn primary: Kicker Substitution
Phillip Gaines primary: Cornerback Substitution
Cullen Gillaspia primary: Fullback Substitution
Buddy Howell primary: Runningback Substitution
Duke Johnson primary: Runningback Substitution
Lonnie Johnson Jr. primary: Cornerback Substitution
Roderick Johnson primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Jacob Martin primary: Outside Linebacker Substitution
Charles Omenihu primary: Defensive End Substitution
Brennan Scarlett primary: Outside Linebacker Substitution
Max Scharping primary: Guard Substitution
Kenny Stills primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Jon Weeks primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Brent Qvale primary: Guard Substitution
Randall Cobb primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Ross Blacklock primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Jonathan Greenard primary: Outside Linebacker Substitution
Michael Thomas primary: Safety Substitution
C.J. Prosise primary: Runningback Substitution
Kyle Emanuel primary: Inside Linebacker Substitution
Jordan Akins primary: Tight End Not active
Keke Coutee primary: Wide Receiver Not active
Peter Kalambayi primary: Inside Linebacker Not active
AJ McCarron primary: Quarterback Did not play
Charlie Heck primary: Offensive Tackle Not active
John Reid primary: Cornerback Not active

Green Bay Packers

Houston Texans

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 9
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 3 Yards
    • Passer: Aaron Rodgers
    • Pass Receiver: Davante Adams
    • Conv Kicker: Mason Crosby
  • Period 2
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 1 Yards
    • Passer: Aaron Rodgers
    • Pass Receiver: Malik Taylor
    • Conv Kicker: Mason Crosby
  • MIN 13
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 3 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Jace Sternberger
    • Conv Kicker: Mason Crosby
    • Passer: Aaron Rodgers
  • Period 3
  • MIN 4
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 45 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Mason Crosby
    • Passer: Aaron Rodgers
    • Pass Receiver: Davante Adams
  • MIN 8
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 3 Yards
    • Passer: Deshaun Watson
    • Pass Receiver: David Johnson
    • Conv Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
  • Period 4
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 6 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Will Fuller V
    • Conv Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
    • Passer: Deshaun Watson
  • MIN 3
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 1 Yards
    • Rusher: Jamaal Williams
    • Conv Kicker: Mason Crosby
  • MIN 9
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 29 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
  • MIN 14
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 38 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Ka'imi Fairbairn
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 80% L 20%
8 2
  • Tampa Bay L 31 - 26
  • L.A. Rams W 18 - 32
  • @Chicago W 35 - 16
  • Tennessee W 14 - 40
  • Carolina W 16 - 24
  • @Detroit W 31 - 24
  • Philadelphia W 16 - 30
  • Chicago W 25 - 41
  • @Indianapolis L 31 - 34
  • Jacksonville W 20 - 24
W 30% L 70%
3 7
  • Tennessee L 41 - 38
  • Cincinnati L 37 - 31
  • @Indianapolis L 20 - 27
  • @Chicago L 7 - 36
  • Indianapolis L 26 - 20
  • @Detroit W 41 - 25
  • New England W 20 - 27
  • @Cleveland L 7 - 10
  • @Jacksonville W 27 - 25
  • Green Bay L 35 - 20

Last Meetings

  • Packers @ Texans 35-20
  • Texans @ Packers 26-28
  • Texans @ Packers 13-21
  • Packers @ Texans 42-24
  • Texans @ Packers 24-21

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-29-0-1
Miami Dolphins106 0.6253.00.00.0 5-35-37-0-3
New England Patriots79 0.4386.00.00.0 5-32-65-0-5
New York Jets214 0.12511.00.00.0 1-71-72-0-8
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-36-0-4
Cleveland Browns115 0.6881.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Baltimore Ravens115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Cincinnati Bengals411 1.2677.50.00.0 3-51-63-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Indianapolis Colts115 0.6880.00.00.0 6-25-37-0-3
Tennessee Titans115 0.6880.00.00.0 5-36-26-0-4
Houston Texans412 0.2507.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars115 0.06310.00.00.0 1-70-81-0-10
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs142 0.8750.00.00.0 6-28-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders88 0.5006.00.00.0 2-66-25-0-5
Los Angeles Chargers79 0.4387.00.00.0 4-43-55-0-5
Denver Broncos511 0.3139.00.00.0 2-63-53-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Washington Football Team79 0.4380.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
New York Giants610 0.3751.00.00.0 3-53-55-0-5
Dallas Cowboys610 0.3751.00.00.0 4-42-64-0-6
Philadelphia Eagles411 1.2672.50.00.0 3-41-73-1-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers133 0.8130.00.00.0 7-16-28-0-2
Chicago Bears88 0.5005.00.00.0 3-55-33-0-7
Minnesota Vikings79 0.4386.00.00.0 3-54-46-0-4
Detroit Lions511 0.3138.00.00.0 1-74-42-0-8
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints124 0.7500.00.00.0 6-26-28-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers115 0.6881.00.00.0 5-36-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers511 0.3137.00.00.0 2-63-52-0-8
Atlanta Falcons412 0.2508.00.00.0 2-62-63-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Seattle Seahawks124 0.7500.00.00.0 7-15-37-0-3
Los Angeles Rams106 0.6252.00.00.0 6-24-46-0-4
Arizona Cardinals88 0.5004.00.00.0 4-44-44-0-6
San Francisco 49ers610 0.3756.00.00.0 1-75-33-0-7

Last Injuries