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Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones Pick & Prediction SEPTEMBER 24th 2022

Logo Baylor Bears
Logo Iowa State Cyclones

2.5 -105
45o -105



The Big 12 Conference football race should once again be fun to follow and there is a big game in week 4 of the season. The Iowa State Cyclones host the Baylor Bears on Saturday and the winning team will pick up a huge victory.

Baylor comes into this game as the 17th-ranked team in the country, and they are 2-1 on the year. The Bears suffered an overtime loss to BYU, but they have been dominant in their two wins.

Iowa State is a perfect 3-0 on the year and that includes a big win over in-state rival, Iowa. The Cyclones are not yet in the top 25, but an impressive performance in week 4 will allow them to crack into the polls.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds (CFB Week 4)


MONEY LINE: Baylor (+125) vs. Iowa State (-145)

SPREAD: Baylor +2.5 (-105) vs. Iowa State -2.5 (-115)

GAME TOTAL: Over 45.5 (-115) vs. Under 45.5 (-105)

Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones Preview

Baylor is no longer just dropping back and throwing it deep, as they are doing most damage on the ground this season. The Bears are averaging 234 rushing yards per game and that attack is going to be tough for the Cyclones to manage.

Even in the overtime loss to BYU, the Bears were able to hold an explosive team to just 26 points. The defense tends to get overshadowed by the offensive talent, but Baylor is good enough to completely shut down any opponent.

Iowa State comes into week 4 allowing just nine points per game and they have completely shut down the run this season. The Cyclones are allowing just 60 rushing yards per game and that defensive front will have to play well in this game.

Quarterback Hunter Dekkers isn’t afraid to throw the deep ball for Iowa State and he has thrown eight touchdowns this season. Iowa State can’t afford any mistakes in this one, though and Dekkers must limit his turnovers.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction

Big 12 Conference games are usually won on the offensive end of the field and that is where Baylor seems to have a pretty clear advantage. The Bears are lighting up the scoreboard and that rushing attack is going to wear down the Cyclones in this game.

Iowa State does have the advantage of playing this game at home, but that’s just not going to be enough to get the job done in this one. The Cyclones will fail to score enough points to win and they will suffer their first loss of the season.

Final Score: Baylor Bears 31 - Iowa State Cyclones 28


1. Baylor holds a slim 11-9 lead in the all-time series standings.

2. Baylor picked up a 31-29 win over Iowa State in 2021.

3. Cyclones are 6-4 all-time against the Bears at home.

Best Bet: Baylor Bears ML (+125)

Baylor Bears
Iowa State Cyclones

Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones Recap SEP 24TH 2022

No. 17 Baylor surged to a 31-14 lead, then held off a late Iowa State rally to score a 31-24 win in the Big 12 Conference opener for both teams in Ames, Iowa.

The Bears (3-1, 1-0 Big 12) dominated the initial 20 minutes of the second half with Christian Morgan and Devin Neal snagging interceptions of Cyclones quarterback Hunter Dekkers on two of Iowa State's first four possessions in the second half. Baylor forced punts on the other two possessions.

Baylor's offense, meanwhile, pushed the lead to three scores when Richard Reese capped a 93-yard Bears drive with a 19-yard touchdown run in the third quarter and Blake Shapen found Gavin Holmes on a 38-yard scoring strike in the fourth quarter.

Shapen went 19-of-26 passing for 238 yards with three touchdowns spread to three receivers. Ben Sims scored on a 12-yard catch in the first quarter and Shapen found Dillon Doyle for a goal-line score in the second quarter.

Iowa State (3-1, 0-1) cut into the deficit, scoring the first points the Baylor defense allowed in a fourth quarter this season when Jirehl Brock's 37-yard run ending on a fumble near the goal line was called a touchdown upon review.

The Cyclones defense forced a quick punt, and Dekkers' 50-yard connection with Jaylin Noel on a third-and-7 deep in Iowa State territory led to a 28-yard Jace Gilbert field goal with 55 seconds left.

Baylor recovered Iowa State's ensuing onside-kick attempt to snuff the comeback attempt and preserve the Bears' first win in Ames since 2016.

Dekkers finished 23-of-36 for 284 yards with the two picks and two touchdowns. He found Dimitri Stanley for a touchdown just before halftime to pull the Cyclones to within three points by intermission. Noel caught seven passes for a game-high 120 yards.

Holmes finished with 92 yards on three receptions for Baylor. Bryson Jackson recorded two sacks for the Bears defense.

--Field Level Media

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