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Central Florida Knights vs. South Florida Bulls Pick & Prediction NOV 27TH 2020

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"The War on I-4" in-state rivalry will be renewed when the UCF Knights play host to the South Florida Bulls on Friday afternoon in Orlando.

South Florida leads the series 6-5, and scheduling UCF was paused for a few years after winning a 64-12 blowout in 2007.

Fast forward to 2020, and it's the Knights who are dominating the series and going for their fourth straight win. In the past two years, the Knights have outscored the Bulls by a combined 72-17.

This year, the Bulls (1-7, 0-6) have lost seven straight games, and they are the only winless team in American Athletic Conference play.

UCF (5-3, 4-3) is seventh in the AAC standings. They lead the league in scoring (42.6), first downs (28.4 per game), third-down conversion rate (50 percent), turnover margin (plus-11), total offense (586.6 yards per game) and passing offense (377.6).

The Bulls are 10th in the league in scoring (20.2). Their rushing offense is last in the league, suggesting they may struggle to run clock and shorten the game. And they are last in points allowed (37.6).

The Bulls postponed last week's game against Navy due to injuries/illness. The Bulls started the season with 40 scholarship defensive players but were down to just 16 -- and only two healthy tackles and two cornerbacks.

A bright spot for the Bulls has been junior slot receiver Bryce Miller, a former walk-on who leads the team with 22 receptions, often taking some punishing hits.

"The quarterbacks trust me to catch it," Miller said. "Taking the hits doesn't really bother me. I just focus on the ball and try to protect myself."

UCF, coming off a 36-33 loss to seventh-ranked Cincinnati, has scored at least 24 points in 47 straight games. That's the second-longest active streak in the nation.

Even so, this season has not gone as planned for the Knights.

"We're disappointed in that result," UCF coach Josh Heupel said after the loss to Cincinnati. "We resemble a darned good football team. We just have to do the little things to win. We're not that far off."

The Knights are led by quarterback Dillon Gabriel and wide receiver Marlon Williams.

Gabriel, who has passed for at least one touchdown in 21 consecutive games, leads the nation in passing yards, total offense and passing yards per game (377.1).

Williams ranks among the top 10 in UCF history in career catches (157), yards (2,260) and TDs (18). This season, he ranks second in the nation in reception yards (1,039), fifth in catches per game (8.9) and fourth in yards per game (129.9).

The Knights can also run the ball. Greg McCrae and Otis Anderson rank 1-2 in program history in yards per carry (6.7 and 6.2 respectively).

UCF's defense, meanwhile, leads the nation in turnovers forced, with 20, and the Knights are 5-0 this season when they've posted more takeaways than their opponent.

--Field Level Media

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Central Florida Knights

South Florida Bulls

alignments not yet available

Central Florida Knights

South Florida Bulls

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
    • Passer: Dillon Gabriel
    • Pass Receiver: Jake Hescock
  • MIN 5
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 27 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
    • Rusher: Bentavious Thompson
  • MIN 7
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 23 Yards
    • Passer: Jordan McCloud
    • Pass Receiver: DeVontres Dukes
    • Conv Kicker: Spencer Shrader
  • Period 2
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 23 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Daniel Obarski
  • MIN 2
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 5 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Bryce Miller
    • Conv Kicker: Spencer Shrader
    • Passer: Jordan McCloud
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 25 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Jacob Harris
    • Passer: Dillon Gabriel
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
  • MIN 13
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 20 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
    • Pass Receiver: Jacob Harris
    • Passer: Dillon Gabriel
  • Period 3
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 12 Yards
    • Rusher: Dillon Gabriel
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
  • MIN 2
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 14 Yards
    • Passer: Jordan McCloud
    • Conv Kicker: Spencer Shrader
    • Pass Receiver: DeVontres Dukes
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 47 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
    • Passer: Dillon Gabriel
    • Pass Receiver: Jacob Harris
  • MIN 7
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 3 Yards
    • Rusher: Jordan McCloud
    • Conv Kicker: Spencer Shrader
  • Period 4
  • MIN 0
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 19 Yards
    • Conv Rusher: Jordan McCloud
    • Passer: Jordan McCloud
    • Pass Receiver: Bryce Miller
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 2 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
    • Rusher: Bentavious Thompson
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 20 Yards
    • Rusher: Greg McCrae
    • Conv Kicker: Daniel Obarski
  • MIN 10
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 1 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Spencer Shrader
    • Rusher: Brian Battie
  • MIN 12
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 30 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Jared Sackett
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 60% L 40%
6 4
  • @Brigham Young L 23 - 49
  • @South Florida W 58 - 46
  • Cincinnati L 36 - 33
  • Temple W 13 - 38
  • @Houston W 44 - 21
  • Tulane W 34 - 51
  • @Memphis L 49 - 50
  • Tulsa L 34 - 26
  • @East Carolina W 51 - 28
  • @Georgia Tech W 49 - 21
W 0% L 100%
0 8
  • Central Florida L 58 - 46
  • Navy D 0 - 0
  • @Houston L 21 - 56
  • @Memphis L 33 - 34
  • Tulsa L 42 - 13
  • @Temple L 37 - 39
  • East Carolina L 44 - 24
  • @Cincinnati L 7 - 28
  • @Florida Atlantic D 0 - 0
  • @Notre Dame L 0 - 52

Last Meetings

  • Knights @ Bulls 58-46
  • Bulls @ Knights 7-34
  • Knights @ Bulls 38-10
  • Bulls @ Knights 42-49
  • Knights @ Bulls 31-48
  • Bulls @ Knights 44-3
  • Knights @ Bulls 16-0
  • Bulls @ Knights 20-23
  • Bulls @ Knights 31-24
  • Knights @ Bulls 12-64

Atlantic Coast

AtlanticWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Clemson Tigers101 0.9090.00.00.0 6-04-19-0-1
NC State Wolfpack83 0.7272.00.00.0 5-13-27-0-3
Boston College Eagles65 0.5454.00.00.0 4-22-35-0-5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons44 0.5004.50.00.0 3-11-34-0-4
Louisville Cardinals47 0.3646.00.00.0 4-20-53-0-7
Florida State Seminoles36 0.3336.00.00.0 3-20-43-0-6
Syracuse Orange110 0.0919.00.00.0 1-50-51-0-9
CoastalWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Miami Hurricanes82 0.8000.00.00.0 4-14-18-0-2
North Carolina Tar Heels83 0.7270.50.00.0 5-13-27-0-3
Pittsburgh Panthers65 0.5452.50.00.0 4-22-35-0-5
Virginia Cavaliers55 0.5003.00.00.0 5-10-45-0-5
Virginia Tech Hokies56 0.4553.50.00.0 3-32-34-0-6
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets37 0.3005.00.00.0 2-41-33-0-7
Duke Blue Devils29 0.1826.50.00.0 1-41-52-0-8

Big Ten

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Ohio State Buckeyes60 01.0000.00.00.0 4-02-06-0-0
Indiana Hoosiers61 0.8570.50.00.0 3-03-16-0-1
Penn State Nittany Lions45 0.4443.50.00.0 2-32-24-0-5
Rutgers Scarlet Knights36 0.3334.50.00.0 0-53-13-0-6
Maryland Terrapins23 0.4003.50.00.0 1-11-22-0-3
Michigan Wolverines24 0.3334.00.00.0 0-32-12-0-4
Michigan State Spartans25 0.2864.50.00.0 1-31-22-0-5

Conference USA

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Marshall Thundering Herd72 0.7780.00.00.0 5-22-07-0-2
Florida Atlantic Owls53 0.6251.50.00.0 4-01-35-0-3
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers56 0.4553.00.00.0 3-22-45-0-5
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders36 0.3334.00.00.0 0-33-33-0-6
Charlotte 49ers24 0.3333.50.00.0 1-11-32-0-4
Florida International Panthers05 0.0005.00.00.0 0-30-20-0-5

Mid-American

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bulls51 0.8330.00.00.0 3-12-05-0-1
Kent State Golden Flashes31 0.7501.00.00.0 2-01-13-0-1
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks21 0.6671.50.00.0 1-01-12-0-1
Ohio Bobcats21 0.6671.50.00.0 2-00-12-0-1
Akron Zips15 0.1674.00.00.0 1-20-31-0-5
Bowling Green Falcons05 0.0004.50.00.0 0-20-30-0-5

Southeastern

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Florida Gators83 0.7270.00.00.0 4-24-17-0-3
Georgia Bulldogs72 0.7780.00.00.0 3-14-17-0-2
Missouri Tigers55 0.5002.50.00.0 4-21-35-0-5
Kentucky Wildcats46 0.4003.50.00.0 3-21-44-0-6
Tennessee Volunteers37 0.3004.50.00.0 1-42-33-0-7
South Carolina Gamecocks28 0.2005.50.00.0 1-41-42-0-8
Vanderbilt Commodores09 0.0007.00.00.0 0-50-40-0-9

Sun Belt

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers110 01.0000.00.00.0 6-05-010-0-0
Appalachian State Mountaineers83 0.7273.00.00.0 5-13-27-0-3
Georgia Southern Eagles75 0.5834.50.00.0 6-11-46-0-4
Georgia St. Panthers54 0.5565.00.00.0 3-22-25-0-4
Troy Trojans56 0.4556.00.00.0 2-33-34-0-6

Mountain West

MountainWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Boise State Broncos52 0.7140.00.00.0 2-13-15-0-2
Air Force Falcons33 0.5001.50.00.0 2-11-23-0-3
Wyoming Cowboys24 0.3332.50.00.0 1-11-32-0-4
New Mexico Lobos25 0.2863.00.00.0 2-10-42-0-5
Colorado State Rams13 0.2502.50.00.0 1-00-31-0-3
Utah State Aggies15 0.1673.50.00.0 1-30-21-0-5

Pacific-12

NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Stanford Cardinal42 0.6670.00.00.0 0-14-14-0-2
Oregon Ducks42 0.6670.00.00.0 2-02-24-0-2
Washington Huskies31 0.7500.00.00.0 3-10-03-0-1
Oregon State Beavers25 0.2862.50.00.0 2-30-22-0-5
California Golden Bears13 0.2502.00.00.0 1-10-21-0-3
Washington State Cougars13 0.2502.00.00.0 0-11-21-0-3
SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Southern California Trojans51 0.8330.00.00.0 2-13-05-0-1
Colorado Buffaloes41 0.8000.50.00.0 2-12-04-0-1
Utah Utes32 0.6001.50.00.0 2-11-13-0-2
UCLA Bruins34 0.4292.50.00.0 2-21-23-0-4
Arizona State Sun Devils22 0.5002.00.00.0 0-12-12-0-2
Arizona Wildcats05 0.0004.50.00.0 0-30-20-0-5

American Athletic

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Cincinnati Bearcats90 01.0000.00.00.0 7-02-09-0-0
Memphis Tigers73 0.7002.50.00.0 6-01-37-0-3
Southern Methodist Mustangs73 0.7002.50.00.0 3-14-27-0-3
Tulsa Golden Hurricane62 0.7502.50.00.0 3-03-26-0-2
Central Florida Knights63 0.6673.00.00.0 2-24-16-0-3
Tulane Green Wave65 0.5454.00.00.0 3-23-35-0-5
Houston Cougars34 0.4295.00.00.0 2-21-23-0-4
East Carolina Pirates36 0.3336.00.00.0 1-32-33-0-6
Navy Midshipmen37 0.3006.50.00.0 1-42-33-0-7
Temple Owls16 0.1437.00.00.0 1-20-41-0-6
South Florida Bulls18 0.1118.00.00.0 1-30-51-0-8

Big 12

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Oklahoma Sooners82 0.8000.00.00.0 5-13-18-0-2
Iowa State Cyclones83 0.7270.50.00.0 5-23-18-0-2
Oklahoma State Cowboys73 0.7001.00.00.0 4-13-27-0-3
Texas Longhorns63 0.6671.50.00.0 3-23-16-0-3
Texas Christian Horned Frogs64 0.6002.00.00.0 3-33-16-0-4
West Virginia Mountaineers54 0.5562.50.00.0 5-00-45-0-4
Kansas State Wildcats46 0.4004.00.00.0 2-32-34-0-6
Texas Tech Red Raiders46 0.4004.00.00.0 4-20-44-0-6
Baylor Bears27 0.2225.50.00.0 2-20-52-0-7
Kansas Jayhawks09 0.0007.50.00.0 0-40-50-0-9

Independents I-A

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Brigham Young Cougars101 0.9090.00.00.0 7-03-19-0-1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish101 0.9090.00.00.0 6-14-09-0-1
Liberty Flames91 0.9000.50.00.0 6-03-19-0-1
Army Black Knights92 0.8181.00.00.0 8-01-28-0-2
Massachusetts Minutemen04 0.0006.50.00.0 0-00-40-0-4

Big Ten

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Iowa Hawkeyes62 0.7500.00.00.0 3-13-16-0-2
Northwestern Wildcats62 0.7500.00.00.0 4-02-26-0-2
Wisconsin Badgers33 0.5002.00.00.0 2-11-23-0-3
Minnesota Golden Gophers34 0.4292.50.00.0 1-22-23-0-4
Nebraska Cornhuskers35 0.3753.00.00.0 1-22-33-0-5
Purdue Boilermakers24 0.3333.00.00.0 1-31-12-0-4
Illinois Fighting Illini26 0.2504.00.00.0 0-32-32-0-6

Conference USA

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners74 0.6360.00.00.0 5-12-36-0-4
UAB Blazers63 0.6670.00.00.0 3-13-26-0-3
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs54 0.5561.00.00.0 3-12-35-0-4
North Texas Mean Green45 0.4442.00.00.0 2-42-14-0-5
Texas El Paso Miners35 0.3752.50.00.0 2-11-43-0-5
Southern Miss Golden Eagles37 0.3003.50.00.0 2-51-23-0-7
Rice Owls23 0.4002.00.00.0 0-22-12-0-3

Mid-American

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Ball State Cardinals61 0.8570.00.00.0 3-03-16-0-1
Western Michigan Broncos42 0.6671.50.00.0 2-12-14-0-2
Toledo Rockets42 0.6671.50.00.0 2-12-14-0-2
Central Michigan Chippewas33 0.5002.50.00.0 1-22-13-0-3
Eastern Michigan Eagles24 0.3333.50.00.0 1-21-22-0-4
Northern Illinois Huskies06 0.0005.50.00.0 0-30-30-0-6

Mountain West

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
San Jose State Spartans70 01.0000.00.00.0 5-02-07-0-0
Nevada Wolf Pack62 0.7501.50.00.0 4-02-26-0-2
San Diego State Aztecs44 0.5003.50.00.0 3-11-34-0-4
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors44 0.5003.50.00.0 3-21-24-0-4
Fresno State Bulldogs33 0.5003.50.00.0 1-12-23-0-3
UNLV Rebels06 0.0006.50.00.0 0-30-30-0-6

Southeastern

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Alabama Crimson Tide110 01.0000.00.00.0 5-06-010-0-0
Texas A&M Aggies81 0.8892.00.00.0 4-04-18-0-1
Auburn Tigers64 0.6004.50.00.0 4-12-36-0-4
Louisiana State Tigers55 0.5005.50.00.0 2-23-35-0-5
Mississippi Rebels45 0.4446.00.00.0 2-32-24-0-5
Arkansas Razorbacks37 0.3007.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
Mississippi State Bulldogs37 0.3007.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7

Sun Belt

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns91 0.9000.00.00.0 3-16-09-0-1
South Alabama Jaguars47 0.3645.50.00.0 2-42-33-0-7
Arkansas St. Red Wolves47 0.3645.50.00.0 3-21-54-0-6
Texas State Bobcats210 0.1678.00.00.0 1-51-52-0-8
UL Monroe Warhawks010 0.0009.00.00.0 0-50-50-0-10

Last Injuries

Central Florida Knights

  • Tre'Quan Smith

    Ankle
    Prob Sun | probable

    Smith has been activated from the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list due to an ankle injury, and is likely to make his return in the NFC divisional round versus the Buccaneers.