football | ncaaf

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Memphis Tigers Pick & Prediction NOV 21TH 2020

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Oddsmakers don't like the chances of FCS school Stephen F. Austin handing the host FBS Memphis Tigers a loss on Saturday, but it's not surprising that neither coach is expressing that sentiment.

The Lumberjacks (6-3) are riding a six-game winning streak as they come to town for the finale of a season that saw its Southland Conference cancel fall sports, but allowed football teams to line up nonconference schedules.

"They're coming in hot. This is the last game of their regular season. They're going to lay it all on the line. ... We know they're going to give us everything we can handle," Memphis coach Ryan Silverfield said Monday.

Stephen F. Austin coach Colby Carthel said his team is "going to go out there and swing for the fence. ... They're (big) favorites for a reason. If you're in that game in the fourth quarter, crazier things have happened."

The Lumberjacks are listed as a 30-point underdog.

Memphis (4-2) will be the fourth FBS team the Lumberjacks have faced. They began the season on the road against UTEP, UTSA and SMU. Stephen F. Austin lost all three, but were within two touchdowns in the first two, before a 50-7 walloping in the third.

Those uneven showings are why the Lumberjacks "want to come out and make a good showing," Carthel told the Daily Sentinel in Nacogdoches, Texas.

"We're playing this game for a reason and glad we're playing it, and to have an opportunity to see what a perennial Top 25 program looks like," he said, noting that Memphis tangled with Penn State in the Cotton Bowl last December. Despite a 14-point loss, the Tigers finished the season 12-2.

Stephen F. Austin's defense is allowing 18.6 points and 350.7 total yards per game, and perhaps especially noteworthy to Memphis, just 148.3 on the ground. The defense has harvested 22 turnovers.

The Tigers rushed for only 98 yards in squeezing out a 34-33 win over South Florida last time out on Nov. 7, and managed just 5 net yards rushing in getting crushed by then-No. 7 Cincinnati the week before, 49-10.

Part of the problem is teams loading up the front, daring Memphis to throw, Silverfield said. The Tigers trailed USF by 14 at the half and by 13 with 4:36 left in the game.

"We haven't been able to run the ball as well in the first half, and then we've gotten behind in some of these games, and so, with having to throw the ball more in the fourth quarter, that may have hurt our run game numbers," Silverfield said. "We try to be as balanced as we can, but sometimes the game is going to dictate that as well."

Memphis quarterback Brady White has completed 62 percent of his passes for 2,128 yards and 22 touchdowns, with five interceptions. Wide receiver Calvin Austin III has 36 catches for 647 yards and seven scores, while tight end Sean Dykes has 32 receptions for 435 yards and six touchdowns.

The Lumberjacks will be facing a defense that is allowing 37.7 points a game, with 374.8 yards passing.

SFA quarterback Trae Self has 1,884 yards passing and 14 touchdowns, with five interceptions. He has completed 59.8 percent of his passes.

Freshman running back Jaquarion Turner has 519 yards on 118 carries, including a 208-yard game two weeks ago at Eastern Kentucky.

--Field Level Media

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GAMES

Last 10

W 0% L 100%
0 10
  • @Memphis L 14 - 56
  • @Southern Methodist L 7 - 50
  • @Texas-San Antonio L 10 - 24
  • @Texas El Paso L 14 - 24
  • @Baylor L 17 - 56
  • @Mississippi State L 6 - 63
  • @Southern Methodist L 14 - 58
  • @Texas Tech L 17 - 69
  • @Texas Christian L 7 - 70
  • @Kansas State L 16 - 55
W 63% L 38%
5 3
  • Stephen F. Austin W 14 - 56
  • @Navy D 0 - 0
  • South Florida W 33 - 34
  • @Cincinnati L 10 - 49
  • Temple W 29 - 41
  • Central Florida W 49 - 50
  • @Southern Methodist L 27 - 30
  • Houston D 0 - 0
  • Arkansas St. W 24 - 37
  • @Penn State L 39 - 53

Last Meetings

  • Lumberjacks @ Tigers 14-56

Atlantic Coast

AtlanticWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Clemson Tigers71 0.8750.00.00.0 5-02-17-0-1
NC State Wolfpack63 0.6671.50.00.0 4-12-26-0-3
Boston College Eagles54 0.5562.50.00.0 3-22-25-0-4
Wake Forest Demon Deacons43 0.5712.50.00.0 3-11-24-0-3
Louisville Cardinals36 0.3334.50.00.0 3-20-43-0-6
Florida State Seminoles26 0.2505.00.00.0 2-20-42-0-6
Syracuse Orange18 0.1116.50.00.0 1-40-41-0-8
CoastalWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Miami Hurricanes71 0.8750.00.00.0 4-03-17-0-1
North Carolina Tar Heels62 0.7501.00.00.0 4-02-26-0-2
Pittsburgh Panthers54 0.5562.50.00.0 4-21-25-0-4
Virginia Cavaliers44 0.5003.00.00.0 4-10-34-0-4
Virginia Tech Hokies45 0.4443.50.00.0 2-22-34-0-5
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets25 0.2864.50.00.0 1-31-22-0-5
Duke Blue Devils26 0.2505.00.00.0 1-31-32-0-6

Big Ten

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Ohio State Buckeyes40 01.0000.00.00.0 3-01-04-0-0
Indiana Hoosiers41 0.8000.50.00.0 2-02-14-0-1
Maryland Terrapins21 0.6671.50.00.0 1-01-12-0-1
Michigan Wolverines23 0.4002.50.00.0 0-22-12-0-3
Michigan State Spartans13 0.2503.00.00.0 0-21-11-0-3
Rutgers Scarlet Knights14 0.2003.50.00.0 0-31-11-0-4
Penn State Nittany Lions05 0.0004.50.00.0 0-30-20-0-5

Conference USA

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Marshall Thundering Herd70 01.0000.00.00.0 5-02-07-0-0
Florida Atlantic Owls51 0.8331.50.00.0 4-01-15-0-1
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers46 0.4004.50.00.0 3-21-44-0-6
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders36 0.3335.00.00.0 0-33-33-0-6
Charlotte 49ers23 0.4004.00.00.0 1-01-32-0-3
Florida International Panthers05 0.0006.00.00.0 0-30-20-0-5

Mid-American

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bulls30 01.0000.00.00.0 1-02-03-0-0
Kent State Golden Flashes30 01.0000.00.00.0 2-01-03-0-0
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks11 0.5001.50.00.0 1-00-11-0-1
Ohio Bobcats11 0.5001.50.00.0 1-00-11-0-1
Bowling Green Falcons03 0.0003.00.00.0 0-20-10-0-3
Akron Zips03 0.0003.00.00.0 0-10-20-0-3

Southeastern

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Florida Gators61 0.8570.00.00.0 3-03-16-0-1
Georgia Bulldogs52 0.7141.00.00.0 3-12-15-0-2
Missouri Tigers33 0.5002.50.00.0 2-11-23-0-3
Kentucky Wildcats35 0.3753.50.00.0 2-21-33-0-5
Tennessee Volunteers25 0.2864.00.00.0 1-21-32-0-5
South Carolina Gamecocks26 0.2504.50.00.0 1-31-32-0-6
Vanderbilt Commodores07 0.0006.00.00.0 0-40-30-0-7

Sun Belt

EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers80 01.0000.00.00.0 5-03-08-0-0
Appalachian State Mountaineers62 0.7502.00.00.0 4-02-26-0-2
Georgia Southern Eagles63 0.6672.50.00.0 5-01-36-0-3
Georgia St. Panthers44 0.5004.00.00.0 2-22-24-0-4
Troy Trojans44 0.5004.00.00.0 2-22-24-0-4

Mountain West

MountainWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Boise State Broncos41 0.8000.00.00.0 2-12-04-0-1
Air Force Falcons22 0.5001.50.00.0 2-10-12-0-2
Colorado State Rams12 0.3332.00.00.0 1-00-21-0-2
Wyoming Cowboys12 0.3332.00.00.0 1-00-21-0-2
Utah State Aggies04 0.0003.50.00.0 0-20-20-0-4
New Mexico Lobos04 0.0003.50.00.0 0-10-30-0-4

Pacific-12

NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Oregon Ducks30 01.0000.00.00.0 2-01-03-0-0
Washington Huskies20 01.0000.50.00.0 2-00-02-0-0
Washington State Cougars11 0.5001.50.00.0 0-11-01-0-1
Oregon State Beavers12 0.3332.00.00.0 1-10-11-0-2
California Golden Bears02 0.0002.50.00.0 0-00-20-0-2
Stanford Cardinal02 0.0002.50.00.0 0-10-10-0-2
SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Southern California Trojans30 01.0000.00.00.0 1-02-03-0-0
Colorado Buffaloes20 01.0000.50.00.0 1-01-02-0-0
UCLA Bruins12 0.3332.00.00.0 1-00-21-0-2
Utah Utes01 0.0002.00.00.0 0-10-00-0-1
Arizona State Sun Devils01 0.0002.00.00.0 0-00-10-0-1
Arizona Wildcats02 0.0002.50.00.0 0-10-10-0-2

American Athletic

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Cincinnati Bearcats80 01.0000.00.00.0 6-02-08-0-0
Southern Methodist Mustangs72 0.7781.50.00.0 3-14-17-0-2
Tulsa Golden Hurricane51 0.8332.00.00.0 3-02-15-0-1
Memphis Tigers52 0.7142.50.00.0 5-00-25-0-2
Central Florida Knights53 0.6253.00.00.0 2-23-15-0-3
Tulane Green Wave55 0.5004.00.00.0 2-23-35-0-5
Houston Cougars33 0.5004.00.00.0 2-21-13-0-3
Navy Midshipmen34 0.4294.50.00.0 1-22-23-0-4
East Carolina Pirates26 0.2506.00.00.0 0-32-32-0-6
Temple Owls16 0.1436.50.00.0 1-20-41-0-6
South Florida Bulls17 0.1257.00.00.0 1-20-51-0-7

Big 12

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Oklahoma Sooners62 0.7500.00.00.0 4-12-16-0-2
Iowa State Cyclones62 0.7500.00.00.0 4-12-16-0-2
Oklahoma State Cowboys52 0.7140.50.00.0 3-12-15-0-2
Texas Longhorns52 0.7140.50.00.0 3-12-15-0-2
West Virginia Mountaineers53 0.6251.00.00.0 5-00-35-0-3
Kansas State Wildcats44 0.5002.00.00.0 2-22-24-0-4
Texas Christian Horned Frogs34 0.4292.50.00.0 1-32-13-0-4
Texas Tech Red Raiders35 0.3753.00.00.0 3-20-33-0-5
Baylor Bears15 0.1674.00.00.0 1-10-41-0-5
Kansas Jayhawks07 0.0005.50.00.0 0-30-40-0-7

Independents I-A

TeamsWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Brigham Young Cougars90 01.0000.00.00.0 6-03-09-0-0
Notre Dame Fighting Irish80 01.0000.50.00.0 5-03-08-0-0
Liberty Flames81 0.8891.00.00.0 5-03-18-0-1
Army Black Knights72 0.7782.00.00.0 6-01-27-0-2
Massachusetts Minutemen03 0.0006.00.00.0 0-00-30-0-3

Big Ten

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Northwestern Wildcats50 01.0000.00.00.0 3-02-05-0-0
Iowa Hawkeyes32 0.6002.00.00.0 1-12-13-0-2
Wisconsin Badgers21 0.6672.00.00.0 1-01-12-0-1
Purdue Boilermakers22 0.5002.50.00.0 1-11-12-0-2
Illinois Fighting Illini23 0.4003.00.00.0 0-22-12-0-3
Minnesota Golden Gophers23 0.4003.00.00.0 1-21-12-0-3
Nebraska Cornhuskers13 0.2503.50.00.0 1-10-21-0-3

Conference USA

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners64 0.6000.00.00.0 4-12-36-0-4
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs43 0.5710.50.00.0 3-11-24-0-3
UAB Blazers43 0.5710.50.00.0 3-11-24-0-3
North Texas Mean Green33 0.5001.00.00.0 2-31-03-0-3
Texas El Paso Miners34 0.4291.50.00.0 2-01-43-0-4
Southern Miss Golden Eagles27 0.2223.50.00.0 1-51-22-0-7
Rice Owls12 0.3331.50.00.0 0-11-11-0-2

Mid-American

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Western Michigan Broncos30 01.0000.00.00.0 1-02-03-0-0
Toledo Rockets21 0.6671.00.00.0 1-01-12-0-1
Central Michigan Chippewas21 0.6671.00.00.0 1-11-02-0-1
Ball State Cardinals21 0.6671.00.00.0 2-00-12-0-1
Eastern Michigan Eagles03 0.0003.00.00.0 0-10-20-0-3
Northern Illinois Huskies03 0.0003.00.00.0 0-20-10-0-3

Mountain West

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Nevada Wolf Pack50 01.0000.00.00.0 3-02-05-0-0
San Jose State Spartans40 01.0000.50.00.0 3-01-04-0-0
Fresno State Bulldogs31 0.7501.50.00.0 1-12-03-0-1
San Diego State Aztecs32 0.6002.00.00.0 2-11-13-0-2
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors23 0.4003.00.00.0 1-11-22-0-3
UNLV Rebels04 0.0004.50.00.0 0-20-20-0-4

Southeastern

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Alabama Crimson Tide70 01.0000.00.00.0 4-03-07-0-0
Texas A&M Aggies51 0.8331.50.00.0 3-02-15-0-1
Auburn Tigers52 0.7142.00.00.0 4-01-25-0-2
Louisiana State Tigers33 0.5003.50.00.0 1-12-23-0-3
Mississippi Rebels34 0.4294.00.00.0 1-32-13-0-4
Arkansas Razorbacks35 0.3754.50.00.0 2-21-33-0-5
Mississippi State Bulldogs25 0.2865.00.00.0 1-21-32-0-5

Sun Belt

WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns71 0.8750.00.00.0 3-14-07-0-1
Arkansas St. Red Wolves36 0.3334.50.00.0 2-11-53-0-6
South Alabama Jaguars36 0.3334.50.00.0 2-31-33-0-6
Texas State Bobcats29 0.1826.50.00.0 1-41-52-0-8
UL Monroe Warhawks08 0.0007.00.00.0 0-40-40-0-8

Last Injuries

Memphis Tigers

  • Rodrigues Clark

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Clark is dealing with an undefined injury, and it is unknown if he will dress for Saturday's contest against Navy.

  • Javon Ivory

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Ivory left the last game with an unspecified injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up versus Navy on Saturday.

  • T.J. Carter

    Undisclosed
    Prob Sat | probable

    Carter has sat out the previous three games due to an undefined injury, but he is likely to suit up Saturday against Stephen F. Austin.