EverBank Field Jacksonville

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick & Prediction JAN 9TH 2022

NFL | FOOTBALL
TV: CBS
Logo Indianapolis Colts
VS
Logo Jacksonville Jaguars
0
OPENNER
44

-14.5 +103
CURRENT
44o -110

-1000
MONEYLINE
+650

11
SCORE
26

The Indianapolis Colts have one more shot at getting into the playoffs. It will take a little help from other teams, but they need a win over Jacksonville. They took a step back last week with their loss to the Raiders. Lucky for them, they end the season against the Jaguars, who are on an 8-game losing streak. They’re also 2-6 at home this year.

The Jaguars get the opportunity to ruin the Colts' chances at a playoff run. As always, the process of beating the Colts is a lot easier said than done. Jacksonville hasn’t had much luck beating anyone this season, and they come in as huge underdogs here. If they don’t win on the field, could they at least win at the sportsbook? Or are the Colts a better bet?

Colts vs. Jaguars Odds for NFL Week 18

TV: CBS

MONEY LINE: Colts (-1050) vs. Jaguars (+675)

SPREAD: Colts -16 (-105) vs. Jaguars +16 (-115)

GAME TOTAL: Over 44.5 (-110) vs. Under 44.5 (-110)

Colts at Jaguars Preview, Trends and Stats

The Colts have had one of the best rushing attacks all season long. They average 152.9 yards rushing per game and can use that offense to batter down the Jaguars. The Colts also have a top-ten scoring offense, powered by Jonathan Taylor. On average, the Colts put up 27.5 points per game. Their defense, on the other hand, could be slightly more resilient.

The good thing here is they’re playing the Jaguars, so they don’t have to worry much about the offense. Instead, the Colts can focus on controlling the clock and getting out of Jacksonville with a win. We don’t think it’s a stretch to say the Colts might rest some players on Sunday, mainly because they can beat the Jaguars with their running game.

The likelihood of the Jaguars winning this game is low, which is why the spread is so large. Jacksonville has the second-worst defense in the NFL, allowing 27.9 points per game. Their rush defense is among the worst in the league as well, allowing 127.06 yards per game. This week they face Jonathan Taylor, the league-leading rusher.

The real question is whether the Jaguars can cover the spread at home. When looking at how they’ve performed over the last few weeks, you’ll see their 0-7 ATS in their previous seven. A bizarre trend to note is they are 5-0 ATS record against Indianapolis when playing at home. This is something to consider when making your pick on Sunday.

Colts at Jaguars Pick (Against the Spread)

Colts 24 - Jaguars 13

After looking at all of the variables in this game, we like the Jaguars here. When the Colts hosted the Jaguars earlier this year, Indianapolis won 23-17. That’s only a six-point margin; now they’re being asked to cover 16-points. Even though the Colts have a great offensive and defensive combination, they struggle against Jacksonville.

Although we can’t pinpoint the reason for this trend, the Jaguars play great against the Colts. Jacksonville has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings at home. Not to mention, they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last ten games overall against the Colts. With the spread so large, we’ve got to take the more consistent team here.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Indianapolis is 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games against Jacksonville.

2. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Jacksonville's last 15 games.

3. The Colts are 5-2 when playing on the road this season.

Best Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars +16

PREDICTION
Indianapolis Colts
29
15
Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Recap JAN 9TH 2022

Trevor Lawrence capped a rocky rookie season with 223 yards passing and two touchdowns Sunday as the Jacksonville Jaguars earned a 26-11 upset victory over the visiting Indianapolis Colts, who missed out on a chance to clinch a playoff spot.

Lawrence completed 23 of 32 passes, including a 3-yard strike to a leaping Marvin Jones in the back right corner of the end zone with 3:08 left in the third quarter. Lawrence jumped to rescue a high snap and then avoided blitzing safety Khari Willis to make the game-breaking play.

Jones caught seven passes for 88 yards as Jacksonville (3-14) snapped an eight-game losing streak and gave interim coach Darrell Bevill his first win after replacing Urban Meyer last month.

Carson Wentz hit on 17 of 29 passes for 185 yards, including a 12-yard touchdown pass to Michael Pittman with 4:26 left in the game. But that was much too little, much too late for Indianapolis, which will need losses by the Pittsburgh Steelers and Las Vegas Raiders to qualify for the playoffs. Indianapolis would have advanced with a win or a tie.

NFL rushing leader Jonathan Taylor had 77 yards on 15 attempts but was stuffed for no gain on fourth-and-goal at the 1 early in the fourth quarter with the Colts trailing 23-3. He finished the regular season with 1,811 yards rushing.

Jacksonville put its stamp on the game immediately, driving 75 yards in 12 plays with its first possession of the game. Lawrence drilled a 2-yard touchdown pass to Laquon Treadwell at the 7:48 mark of the first quarter.

The Jaguars didn't let Taylor get going in first half, limiting him to 18 yards. They also mounted a consistent pass rush that kept Wentz from finding a rhythm in the passing game. Indianapolis' only points until late came on Michael Badgley's 41-yard field goal with 9:08 left in the half.

Jacksonville made it 13-3 before halftime on 22- and 20-yard field goals from Matthew Wright, both after 11-play, 71-yard drives. The latter came one play after Laviska Shenault dropped a potential touchdown pass with two seconds left.

Lawrence finished the first half 19 of 25 for 208 yards.

--Field Level Media

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