NRG Stadium Houston

Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans Pick & Prediction OCT 25TH 2020

NFL | FOOTBALL
TV: FOX
Logo Green Bay Packers
VS
Logo Houston Texans
0
OPENNER
56

56o -110
CURRENT

-138
MONEYLINE
+118

35
SCORE
20

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers performed with such precision in the opening four games of the season that when Green Bay experienced a dip in productivity last Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, queries on how the offense could reclaim its form inevitably followed.

 

Rodgers amassed 1,214 passing yards and 13 touchdowns against zero interceptions while posting a 126.9 passer rating and completing 70 percent of his attempts as the Packers averaged 38 points and 445.5 yards per game in racing to a 4-0 start.

 

In their 38-10 road loss to the Buccaneers, Green Bay managed only 201 yards as Rodgers finished 16 of 35 for 160 yards with two picks.

 

In advance of the Packers' matchup with the Houston Texans (1-5) Sunday at NRG Stadium, Rodgers offered some perspective on what proves especially critical as teams evaluate their performance and script a game plan that provides the best chance for success.

 

"Self-scouting is very important when you review games and also when you're putting plans together," Rodgers said. "And then looking at yourself playing as well, whether you're a receiver, lineman, quarterback, running back -- it doesn't matter. I think self-scouting is very important."

 

In theory, the Packers (4-1) should encounter easier sledding offensively against a Texans defense that ranks 30th with 2,538 yards allowed, a unit that surrendered 607 yards to the Tennessee Titans in a 42-36 overtime loss last Sunday.

 

Houston has proved feeble against the run and in the fourth quarter, facts that should enable the Packers to rediscover their rhythm.

 

A more pressing concern for the Packers is a defense that has forced just three turnovers, tied for last in the NFL. Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has excelled in two games under interim coach Romeo Crennel, passing for 694 yards and seven touchdowns with a 73.6 completion percentage. Without any takeaways, the Packers might stumble into a shootout.

 

Green Bay forced 25 turnovers last season, finishing tied for seventh in the league in that category.

 

"I think it's more we've had some opportunities that we have not cashed in on and it's just about finishing plays," Packers coach Matt LaFleur said. "You've got to maximize those when they present themselves. We had two opportunities just last week and we've got to make sure we capitalize when those opportunities present themselves."

 

Defending Rodgers is a daunting challenge for every team, but the Texans are especially vulnerable when taking into account their 32nd-ranked run defense combined with their inability to force turnovers (four in five games).

 

The Texans have been repeatedly gashed in the running game, but loading the box against Rodgers would leave a scuffling secondary more susceptible.

 

Only six teams have allowed a higher percentage of drives to end in an offensive score than the Texans' 48.4 percent.

 

"That's one where you pick your poisons," Crennel said. "So, what we have to do is we have to mix it up -- not show him the same thing all the time, show him some different looks. Then when we show the different look, hopefully they don't have a play called that matches that look. Then if that's the case, we have to rally and hustle to the football and try to get the guy on the ground before he gets in the end zone."

 

--Field Level Media

 

PREDICTION
Green Bay Packers
29
27
Houston Texans

Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans

Aaron Rodgers tossed four touchdown passes, including a pair to Davante Adams, as the Green Bay Packers rolled to a 35-20 win over the Houston Texans on Sunday at NRG Stadium.

Rodgers and the Packers offense enjoyed a bounce-back effort following the poor showing last Sunday in Tampa Bay. Rodgers went 23-of-34 for 283 yards as the Packers (5-1) amassed 22 first downs and went 7-for-12 on third down against Houston (1-6) and its 30th-ranked defense.

Adams notched his second 150-plus-yard, two-touchdown game on the road this season, recording a career-high 13 receptions for 196 yards and touchdowns of 3 and 45 yards.

Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson passed for 309 yards and two touchdowns but was sacked three times. Houston kicker Ka'imi Fairbairn missed a 41-yard field goal in the second quarter after a holding penalty on Nick Martin erased a 16-yard gain to the Green Bay 5-yard line and snuffed any shot the Texans had for generating momentum prior to the intermission.

The Packers wasted little time asserting themselves offensively, covering 75 yards over 10 plays on their opening possession, a drive aided by a pair of Houston defensive penalties. Rodgers and Adams posted the first of their two scoring connections as Green Bay grabbed a 7-0 lead.

After the Texans punted on their opening possession for the seventh time, the only team to do so in every game, Rodgers hit Jace Sternberger on a 3-yard scoring pass for a 14-0 lead with 13:33 left in the first half. The Packers responded to the Fairbairn missed kick with a 9-play, 69-yard drive that culminated in a Rodgers scoring pass to Malik Taylor with 14 seconds left.

Even when the Texans found a measure of rhythm offensively, their defense responded by surrendering a scoring drive. Watson tossed a 3-yard touchdown pass to David Johnson with 8:55 left in the third quarter that cut the deficit to 21-7 only for Adams to snag a 45-yard touchdown on third down on the ensuing Packers possessions.

Houston followed by squandering a blocked punt by Buddy Howell that yielded possession at the Green Bay 22 and settled for a second consecutive sub-40-yard field goal. Packers safety Adrian Amos sacked Watson on the previous Texans possession to thwart a potential touchdown march for Houston.

--Field Level Media

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