Arrowhead Stadium Kansas City

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick & Prediction JAN 16TH 2022

TV: Peacock | NBC
Logo Pittsburgh Steelers
Logo Kansas City Chiefs

46.5o -110
-11.5 -110



The Pittsburgh Steelers come in as massive underdogs to the Kansas City Chiefs. The odds definitely make sense in this one, but is there a surprise waiting for us? Could the Steelers really get a win over a team that went on an 8-game win streak? Well, they have some experienced players on the roster that will definitely help. The question is, will it be enough to beat the Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs are used to being the favorites and perform well under pressure. Mahomes’ ability to extend the life of a broken play is unparalleled in the NFL. Still, it’s tough to overcome such a large spread. They’ll be exposed to the elements on Sunday with 26-degree weather. Anyone will tell you how hard it is to have a lot of points on the board in the cold.

Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting Odds


MONEY LINE: Steelers (+550) vs. Chiefs (-750)

SPREAD: Steelers +12.5 (-110) vs. Chiefs -12.5 (-110)

GAME TOTAL: Over 46.5 (-110) vs. Under 46.5 (-110)

Steelers at Chiefs Preview for Wild Card Round

The Steelers sort of snuck their way into the playoffs without many paying attention. Once they got in, people noticed who they’d be matched up against. This led to Ben Roethlisberger saying, “just go in and play and have fun,” to his team. Now, we aren’t saying the Steelers don’t have confidence, just that they know who they’re playing. They also know how hard it is to beat them.

The Steelers had a few wins this season that was rather impressive. One of the most notable was their regular-season opener against the Bills. Buffalo has an offense similar to the Chiefs, and Josh Allen shares similarities with Patrick Mahomes. The Steelers can use this knowledge to formulate a plan to stop Patrick. However, plans don’t always go the way you want them to.

The king of improvising during plays is back in the playoffs, looking for another title. The Chiefs first opponent is the Pittsburgh Steelers, quite the lackluster matchup. However, the Chiefs can’t afford to underestimate the Steelers here. Pittsburgh earned a spot in the playoffs, so the Chiefs will still have to put together a good game plan. Defense is what will win them this game easily.

The Chiefs’ secondary allows a lot of passing yards per game, 251.35 yards, to be exact. To avoid giving up that many yards, they need to put bodies on Roethlisberger. Roethlisberger can barely move around in the pocket and doesn’t pose a running threat. This means that different blitz packages can get to him easily and force him to take a sack.

Steelers at Chiefs Prediction

Steelers 13 - Chiefs 20

Although we think the Chiefs will win this game, it’s the 12.5-points that’s troubling. Both the Steelers and the Chiefs finished the year with an 8-9 record against the spread. The Chiefs are 7-2 at home but have an ATS home record of 4-5. Needless to say, the Chiefs haven’t been too trustworthy against the spread.

For this reason, although it may be shocking, we’ll take the Steelers +12.5. This game is going to be cold, 26-degrees, to be exact. The score isn’t going to be too outrageous in this one, so pair it with the under as well.


1. The Steelers are 6-4 against the Chiefs in their last ten meetings.

2. The Steelers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games.

3. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last nine games against Pittsburgh.

Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers +12.5

Pittsburgh Steelers
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