Toluca vs. Atl San Luis Pick & Prediction AUG 21st 2022

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Atletico San Luis vs. Toluca

An excellent Mexican league match awaits us this Sunday 8/21, since the needy Atlético San Luis led by André Jardine will face off against the leading Toluca led by Ignacio Ambriz. Both teams desperately need the 3 points but for very different reasons, and that is that San Luis needs to win at home to escape from the last positions while Toluca must win if they plan to settle in the first position.

The context that surrounds these Mexican clubs gives a special seasoning to the match because it indicates that nothing will be saved and the chances of seeing a boring 0-0 are really low. The truth is that Toluqueños are more likely to win, but as we will see later, the bets indicate just the opposite.

Last 10 Atletico San Luis matches

The 10 most recent matches played by Atlético San Luis show a really weak level of those led by Jardine. Of their last 10 officials they were able to win only 1 time, and we are talking about the 0-1 away win against Chivas de Guadalajara with a goal by Waller. Since 07/09 they haven't got 3 points, covering a total of 7 games without winning and instead tied 5 and lost 4. Their worst defeats were against Pachuca by 3-2, 0-1 against Monterrey at home and the recent 1-2 against Necaxa also at home. With very few goals they tied 4 games in a row, against: Mazatlán (1-1), Cruz Azul (0-0), Puebla (0-0) and Juárez 1-1. In their most recent match, they were unable to beat bottom-of-the-table Querétaro, as they ended the match in a 1-1 draw with a goal from José Angulo in extremis at minute 94'.

Due to their great drought of victories they are currently in the lower part of the table, and the Liga México predictions clearly show that they could finish last if they do not manage to straighten the course quickly. In all their last 10 matches they scored just 8 goals, suffering 11. This leaves a negative balance of -3 goals.

Last 10 Toluca matches

A very different reality is going through the Toluqueños and that is that, of the 10 most recent matches they played, they won 6, tied 3 and lost just 1. The defeat was contrary to what the sports bets indicated since they fell to America 1-0 with a goal at 93' by midfielder Richard Sánchez. However, this stumble did not affect their performance in the least, because they quickly raised their heads and beat Santos Laguna 2-1. His best victories were achieved in 1-3 against Necaxa, 3-2 against Atlas, 3-1 against Tijuana and the exciting 2-3 against Cruz Azul with a goal at 98' by Camilo Sanvezzo from a penalty. In the most recent match they tied at 1 against Monterrey.

They scored a total of 18 goals and conceded 11, which leaves a positive balance of +7 goals in favor.

Background between both

To talk about the history between both clubs, we will take the time when Atlético San Luis was called Veracruz. Having clarified that, we must say that they faced each other in a total of 18 opportunities, with 9 of them going to the Toluca side, 6 to San Luis and in the remaining 3 they tied. They never played a final or a knockout match.

If we excluded the games in which they were called Veracruz, the history would be limited to 5 matches, with 3 won by Toluca, one by Atlético and the other without differences.

The magnifying glass on...

The Red Devils players will have to be very careful with the speed of striker Abel Hernández, a very experienced Uruguayan footballer capable of overflowing from the wings or standing out for his movements in the central zone of the attack. But despite being fast, he is not the most agile of the team, since that position is occupied by the young Venezuelan Jhon Murillo, a right winger who is very difficult to mark. Rubens Sambueza is another good player to keep in mind but more for his passes and quality when dealing with the ball.

Toluca will come to this match with one of the 3 current scorers in the championship: the Uruguayan Leonardo Fernández. This 22-year-old star has an excellent mid-range punch and has scored 4 goals so far in the tournament, which is why sports forecasts show that he could score against San Luis. Camilo Sanvezzo is in charge of penalties, and that is why he also has a good chance of converting Toluca if they charge him a penalty.

Sports bets

Surprisingly, sports betting indicates that Atlético San Luis has more chances of winning, since their winning odds pay 2.55, Toluca's 2.6 and a draw is quoted at approximately 3.5. The reality is that these values are not consistent with the current situation that both institutions are going through, which is why it is an excellent opportunity to select "bet without a tie" or "0 handicap" in favor of Toluqueños, since that fee pays 1.9 and we are talking about a confrontation between the first in the league and one of the last that, at home, got just 1 point in 4 games.

As the Liga México predictions show a fairly important favoritism towards Toluca, you could also choose “double chance Toluca-tie” that pays 1.5, being an excellent combination to add to a low pick with high probability of success.

Upcoming matches

The next matches that Atlético San Luis will play are: Santos Laguna (V), Tijuana (L), América (V), Atlas (V), Pachuca (L), and they will conclude their participation in this Liga MX against Tigres as local.

On the Toluqueños side, they will compete against: Pachuca (L), Guadalajara (L), Tigres (V), Pumas (L), Mazatlán (V), and local Querétaro.

Television and schedules

Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Uruguay: 7:00 p.m. Star+.

Bolivia, Paraguay, Peru and Venezuela: 6:00 p.m. Star+.

Colombia and Ecuador: 5:00 p.m. Star+.

United States: 6 p.m. TUDN.com, TUDN App, TUDN USA.

Mexico: 5:00 p.m. Star+, ESPN2 Mexico.

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