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Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers July 11th 2025
The Seattle Mariners will take on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Friday, July 11, 2025. The game starts at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on APLTV. Fans can expect a warm evening with a light breeze and some light rain.
Seattle comes into the game with a 48-45 record, sitting 7 games back in the AL West. On the road, the Mariners hold a 23-24 record. Luis Castillo will start for Seattle, bringing an ERA of 3.31. Detroit, with a 59-35 record, has been strong at home with a 32-15 record. Tarik Skubal will pitch for the Tigers, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.02.
Mariners vs Tigers Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
- Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners Moneyline +182, Tigers Moneyline -218, Mariners Runline +1.5 (-124), Tigers Runline -1.5 (+104), Total Over 7.0 (-101), Total Under 7.0 (-119)
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners recently played a close game against the New York Yankees, losing 6-5. Bryan Woo had a strong outing, pitching 7 1/3 innings and allowing just two hits. Jorge Polanco was a standout at the plate with a home run and three RBIs.
The Mariners have some key stats that could lead them to victory. They rank sixth in home runs with 125 this season. Their ability to hit the long ball can be a game-changer, especially with Cal Raleigh leading the league in home runs.
Seattle’s pitching can also make a difference in the game. Luis Castillo is set to start, and he has a solid ERA of 3.31. With his experience, he can keep the Tigers’ hitters in check and give the Mariners a chance to win.
The Tigers Can Win If…
The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 3-7 loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the loss, Zach McKinstry showed his skills with two doubles and an RBI. Spencer Torkelson also contributed with a run and an RBI, highlighting the team’s potential at the plate.
The Tigers’ pitching staff has been strong this season, with a team ERA of 3.50, ranking 3rd in the league. Tarik Skubal, the starting pitcher for the next game, boasts an impressive ERA of 2.02. His performance on the mound will be key to the Tigers’ success against the Seattle Mariners.
Detroit’s offense has been consistent, with a team batting average of .252, ranking 5th in the league. Key hitters like Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson can make a difference. Their ability to drive in runs and get on base will be important as they face Seattle’s pitching.
The Lean
The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -218 against the Mariners’ +182. The Tigers have a better batting average and earned run average, ranking 5th and 3rd, respectively. My model projects the Tigers to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 7.0 runs. The Tigers’ pitching ranks 3rd in ERA, and the Mariners have a mid-tier batting average. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given this, the recommendation is to take the over on the total of 7.0 runs.
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An All-Star Duel: Tarik Skubal, Tigers Host Luis Castillo and the Mariners
It is a marquee matchup and a potential playoff preview in Detroit on Friday night as two of the best pitchers in the American League go head-to-head. The first-place Detroit Tigers will send their ace, Tarik Skubal, to the mound as they open a three-game series against the visiting Seattle Mariners and their own top arm, Luis Castillo.
The Unbeatable Tarik Skubal
Tigers ace Tarik Skubal (10-2, 2.02 ERA) is putting together another spectacular season. The reigning AL Cy Young winner is on a 16-start unbeaten streak and has not allowed a run in his last 18 innings. He has been particularly dominant at home, where he is a perfect 8-0 with a 2.06 ERA. Even when his offense is quiet, he finds a way to keep his team in the game.
“That’s the job of pitching, when the offense isn’t finding their rhythm, you’ve got to keep the game close to allow them to establish a rhythm.”
-Tarik Skubal
Castillo is Dealing, Too
The Mariners will counter with their own ace in right-hander Luis Castillo (5-5, 3.31), who has been just as dominant lately. Castillo is coming off back-to-back quality starts where he has allowed just one total run, including seven shutout innings against the Pirates his last time out.
“As the season is progressing, I think I’m progressing pretty well, I think I can kind of locate my pitches where I want them at the velocity that I want.”
-Luis Castillo
A Demoralizing Loss for Seattle
While their starting pitcher is hot, the Mariners are coming off a devastating loss. On Thursday, they were six outs away from a combined no-hitter with a 5-0 lead against the Yankees, only to see their bullpen collapse in a heartbreaking 6-5 extra-inning defeat. How a team bounces back from such a demoralizing loss is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
A Playoff Atmosphere
This game between two of the best MLB teams in the American League has a distinct playoff feel, and the pitching matchup is the main event. The scores and odds for this ace-vs-ace duel will reflect a tight, low-scoring affair. To see which ace our experts think will lead his team to victory, check out our daily MLB picks.
