WNBA GAME PREDICTIONS, PICKS & BETTING TIPS

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WNBA Picks and Predictions

According to ESPN, viewership for the WNBA increased by 170% in the 2024 season, marking an all-time high for the league. 

As bettors start coming into the fold, you need the best picks, predictions, and game previews possible to get an edge. 

Our team covers the WNBA season in-depth with expert insights. You can check out our previews and pre-game predictions on our blog for 100% free.

Latest Picks and Predictions

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New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick & Prediction OCTOBER 18th 2023

The Las Vegas Aces will try to close out the WNBA Finals without starters Chelsea Gray and Kiah Stokes when the team takes the floor Wednesday night for Game 4 against the host New York Liberty. Gray, last year’s Finals MVP, suffered a left foot injury in the fourth quarter of Game 3 on Sunday. Stokes, who had started 30 straight games (regular season and playoffs) at center, also suffered a foot injury; neither will
21627297

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick & Prediction OCTOBER 15th 2023

If the New York Liberty are going to make a series of it against the defending WNBA champion Las Vegas Aces, now is the time to do it. Down 2-0 in the best-of-five WNBA Finals and absolutely humiliated Wednesday night in a 104-76 loss, New York comes home on Sunday for a win-or-else Game 3. “It’s about action now,” Liberty coach Sandy Brondello said. “No (bleeping) feelings anymore. We’re all disappointed, angry, embarrassed with how

Free WNBA Picks for Today

Want to start betting on the WNBA? Here’s a selection of some of our best WNBA picks for today, totally free. These picks are a mix of handicapper selections and computer/AI picks. 

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How to Get Expert WNBA Picks

If you’re looking for a wider range of WNBA picks, consider signing up for a membership at ScoresandStats.com. Our membership comes in a few tiers, starting at just $9 per month. With that tier, you have access to consensus data, scores and odds, as well as a range of picks from some of our top-rated handicappers. 

If you’re not interested in a subscription, you can log in with your free membership and purchase 1-time access to any handicapper on the site. 

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Choosing a WNBA Handicapper

When you’re looking to up your WNBA betting game, you want a handicapper that wins bets. That much is obvious, but here are a few other traits you should look for in your WNBA handicapper:

  • Track Record and Transparency: Look for a handicapper with a proven track record of success over multiple seasons. Transparency in win/loss percentages and betting units won/lost is crucial for evaluating their reliability.
  • Expertise in WNBA-Specific Analysis: A strong WNBA handicapper will demonstrate a deep understanding of the league, including team dynamics, player performance, and trends unique to the WNBA. Look for insights that go beyond basic stats and into league-specific nuances.
  • Data-Driven Approach: Handicappers who utilize advanced metrics, such as efficiency ratings or pace-adjusted stats, often provide more accurate predictions. A data-driven approach ensures that their picks are backed by objective analysis rather than just gut feelings.
  • Line Shopping and Value Identification: A good handicapper consistently looks for value in the betting lines, whether it’s spotting early inefficiencies or finding favorable odds across sportsbooks. This skill is key to long-term profitability.
  • Consistency and Discipline: Choose a handicapper who stays disciplined with their betting strategy, avoiding emotional or reckless bets after losses. Consistent, well-reasoned picks are a sign of a professional approach.

Our Best WNBA Handicappers

When the WNBA is in season, we have dozens of handicappers betting on it. Using the Leaderboard feature, you can narrow down what handicappers are betting on the WNBA and see their record. Here’s a look:

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Using this leaderboard, you can easily pick and choose which handicappers you choose to follow. 

Sports Hub has made the most money betting on the WNBA, but they’ve done so with volume. They’ve placed the most wagers on the league out of all other handicappers. 

But, Tonny Ricci has a pretty good record too, with a 73.68% win rate on his WNBA wagers. If you click on his name, you’ll see a list of his picks and previous performances. Below is a look at the wagers he placed on the WNBA:

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As you can see, the majority of his wagers were spreads. His win percentage for spread bets was 83%, much higher than his overall win rate. 

Compared to Sports Hub’s WNBA picks:

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You can see that Sports Hub has a much higher volume of wagers, but their moneyline wagers top the cake with a  72% win rate. 

Using this data, you can pick and choose what wagers from which handicappers you want to use. Based on historic performance, we’d say that betting WNBA spreads with Tonny’s picks and WNBA moneylines with picks from Sports Hub is a good strategy. 

How Our WNBA Handicappers Find Value 

The WNBA presents unique opportunities for savvy bettors and handicappers to find value due to its relatively smaller market size compared to other major sports leagues like the NBA or NFL. 

Because it often draws less attention from sportsbooks, there can be inefficiencies in the lines, allowing sharp bettors to exploit favorable odds. Here are some of the key ways our handicappers find value when betting on the WNBA:

In-Depth Player and Team Analysis

Our handicappers dive deep into individual player performances, team chemistry, and coaching strategies. Since WNBA rosters are smaller and rotations are tighter, the impact of a star player missing a game due to injury or rest is even more significant. Handicappers track injuries and player availability closely, especially for top-tier players like Breanna Stewart or A’ja Wilson, whose absence can shift the balance of power in a game. This detailed player analysis helps them spot mismatches or inefficiencies that casual bettors might overlook.

Line Movement and Market Reaction

Because the WNBA receives less betting volume compared to other sporting leagues, sportsbooks can sometimes overreact to early betting activity. Sharps monitor line movements to identify when odds shift too drastically due to public perception or early wagers from casual bettors. A significant move in the spread or total could present an opportunity for value if the initial adjustment was too aggressive. Handicappers also watch for “steam moves,” where sharp money drives a quick shift in the line, signaling where the professionals are placing their bets.

Undervalued Totals (Over/Under Bets)

The WNBA’s lower scoring games compared to the NBA often lead to discrepancies in total points lines (over/under bets). Handicappers find value by studying trends in pace of play, offensive and defensive efficiency, and how teams perform in different game situations (home/away, after a loss, etc.). For example, a matchup between two fast-paced teams with poor defense can be an opportunity to bet the over, while a game featuring two strong defensive teams could offer value on the under. Spotting these trends ahead of oddsmakers is key to success.

Public Perception and Bias

Handicappers often find value by fading public perception. Because the WNBA isn’t as heavily followed as men’s leagues, public bettors may not be fully aware of the league’s dynamics and trends. For example, the public might overvalue teams with big-name stars or heavily back popular teams based on reputation, leaving room for handicappers to capitalize on undervalued underdogs or teams that are quietly outperforming expectations. Knowing when to bet against the public can lead to profitable opportunities.

Advanced Statistical Models

Many professional handicappers utilize advanced metrics and data to create statistical models that predict game outcomes more accurately than traditional stats like points per game or shooting percentage. They may rely on metrics such as true shooting percentage (TS%), pace-adjusted metrics, player efficiency rating (PER), and offensive/defensive ratings to get a deeper understanding of a team’s strengths and weaknesses. By comparing their model’s projected outcome to the sportsbook’s line, handicappers can identify where they believe value lies.

WNBA Consensus Picks

Consensus data, which shows the percentage of bets placed on each team or total, can be a valuable tool for WNBA bettors. It allows bettors to see where the majority of the public is placing their money, providing insights into potential public biases or trends. For example, if a large percentage of bets are on a heavily favored team, it might signal that the line is influenced more by public perception than actual value, creating an opportunity for sharp bettors to wager on the underdog or an alternative line.

  • By analyzing consensus data, bettors can identify situations where the public may be overvaluing certain teams, especially in smaller markets like the WNBA, where public knowledge tends to be lower. This helps savvy bettors make more informed, contrarian wagers by betting against the public when the line moves too far in one direction, capitalizing on inefficiencies in the odds.
  • ScoresandStats has consensus data from our sportsbook partners available for games during the WNBA season. This data showcases the amount of money wagered on spreads, over/under point totals, and moneylines for each game. It also highlights where the sharp money is, so you can make more informed wagers. 

WNBA Odds and Prices

You can access the Scores and Odds section of the site from the sidebar when you’re logged in. This feature is available to members of all tiers (including free). 

During the WNBA season, you’ll be able to see the average odds on spreads, totals, and moneylines for each WNBA game, as well as scores updated in real time. This feature makes it easy for you to see what the most up-to-date odds are without needing to log into your sportsbook of choice. 

Start Hooping With the Pros Today

The WNBA is quickly growing in popularity, and so is betting on the league. Don’t miss out on your chance to line your betting account. Use our free picks and predictions to help you on your journey, and when you’re hungry for more, sign up to receive expert WNBA picks all season long. 

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