Our number has Louisville by 11.1. The market has come down to -3.5. Take Louisville.
Friday 9 October
Free picks and predictions for every game
Free sports predictions with the line, our number and the call, posted before the game starts. Every pick shows its work: the price, how we built our number, and how far apart the two are. When they are close, we say no bet. This week: NFL, MLB, CFB and NHL.
49ers at SeahawksSeahawks -3Read the predictionFree picks and predictions for every upcoming game
These are our free picks and predictions for every game still to play, soonest first, across the NFL, college football, MLB, the NBA, the NHL and soccer. Each card gives you the point spread, the total and the moneyline, with our call on the game. Open it for the full prediction: how our number is built, how far it sits from the price, and the bet worth making, or a plain no bet when there is none. Choose a league to see only its games and its best bets today.
Our NFL predictions cover every game of the week, each with the spread, the total, the moneyline and our call, or a plain no bet when the line is right. All NFL predictions
Our MLB picks put a chance of winning on each team and set it against the moneyline. When the two are close, the page says no bet. All MLB predictions
College football predictions for the games we cover, built from how each team has done at home and on the road, and set against the spread. All college football picks
Our NHL predictions turn each team’s home and road record into a chance of winning, and bet only when the price is clearly wrong. All NHL predictions
Our number has Iowa by 1.3. Washington is a 3-point favorite. Take Iowa +3.
Our number has BYU by 8.6. The line is BYU -10, too close to bet: no bet on BYU -10.
Our number has Utah State by 12.2. At -5.5, take Utah State.
No bet on San José State -6. Our number has San José State by 3.9, and the line sits 2.1 points from it.
No bet on the Ducks at +105. Either side turns into a bet at +123 or longer, and neither is there.
No bet on the Red Wings at -142. Detroit turns into a bet at -109 or better, Seattle at +166 or longer.
Bet the Penguins at +105. The edge clears our threshold by a tenth of a point.
No bet on the Capitals at -142. Washington turns into a bet at -107 or better, New York at +162 or longer.
Back the White Sox to win Game 5 in Cleveland. Our number gives them 49.8%; the market gives them 43.6%.
No bet on the Blue Jackets at +105. Our number has this game level, and Columbus needs +123 or longer to be a bet.
Seattle was 125 points better than San Francisco last season and lays only 3 at home. Take the Seahawks.
Take Green Bay +2.5. Last season's rates make the Packers the favourite at home, and the market has them as underdogs.
Take Miami +7. The market has Cincinnati winning in Miami by more than either season's scores say it should.
Take the over 44.5. Both seasons' scoring puts this game above the number, and last season's by more than a field goal.
Jacksonville went from getting 1.5 to laying 7, and my number is Jaguars by 4.9. No bet on this game.
No bet on Game 1 in Milwaukee. Our number gives the Brewers 53.2%, the market 50.5%, and that gap is too small to back.
Latest analysis and odds
Odds and predictions for the season’s biggest events, week-by-week NFL and college football picks, and the results that follow them. The newest and most recently updated articles come first.
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Read the full articleHow we make a prediction
Every prediction starts from results, not opinions. We take what each team has scored and allowed, at home and on the road, and turn it into our own number for the game: a margin for the point spread, a chance of winning for the moneyline.
Then we read the price at a US sportsbook and name the book and when we read it. The price carries the book’s margin, so we take that out before comparing. What is left is the market’s view of the game, set beside ours.
The gap between the two is the pick. When it is wide enough, the page makes the call and states the price it is good to. When it is not, the page says no bet. A free betting pick is only worth having at the right price, and most games do not offer one.
The prediction stays on its page after the game, as published, so every call can be checked against the result.
Learn the bets
How to read betting odds, what the point spread, the moneyline and the total mean, and how much to stake: our betting guides explain each market in plain words, with a guide for every major sport.
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Read the full articleFrom the line to the call
Scores and Stats publishes free predictions for the games people bet on most: the NFL and college football, the NBA and college basketball, MLB, the NHL, the WNBA and the biggest soccer leagues. Every prediction has its own page, posted before the game, with the spread, the total and the moneyline, our own number for the game, and the call.
There is no subscription and no sign-up wall in front of the pick. You get the whole argument: the price, the number we set against it, and the gap between the two. When the gap is too small to bet, the page says no bet, which is often the most useful thing a pick can tell you.
Every NFL game gets a prediction, from Thursday night to Monday night. We turn both teams’ results into a number of points and set it against the spread. When the two are far enough apart we take a side; when the total looks wrong we take the over or the under. The prices are updated before kickoff.
The college slate is huge and its lines move more than most. Each team’s results against FBS opponents, at home and on the road, sit behind our number, and a pick needs it to disagree with the line by a field goal or more.
The NBA, college basketball and the WNBA are long seasons with small edges. Each prediction gives the spread, the total and the moneyline, and the call or a clear no bet.
Baseball is priced on the moneyline, so our number is a chance of winning for each team, set against the price at a named sportsbook with its margin taken out. The run line and the total are on every page, through the postseason too.
Hockey games are often close to even, which is why the price matters so much. Each team’s record at home and on the road becomes a chance of winning, and a bet needs that chance to beat the moneyline by a clear margin.
A soccer game has three results, so each prediction prices all three, with the total goals line beside them. The draw can be the pick when the draw is the value.
The best bets on any day are the games where our number sits furthest from the market. Most games are priced about right, and saying so is part of the job.
The point spread asks a favorite to win by more than a number of points. The moneyline asks only who wins, with the price telling you how likely the book thinks it is. The total asks whether both teams together score over or under a number. Our guide to the moneyline shows how to read the odds.
Every prediction stays on its page after the game, exactly as published. The pick is never rewritten once the result is in, so you can judge us on the record, winners and losers alike.
Questions and answers
Quick answers about our free picks, the best bets today, and how to use a prediction.
Are your picks free?
Yes. Every prediction on Scores and Stats is free to read.
What sports do you cover?
The NFL, college football, the NBA, MLB, the NHL and soccer. Each sport has its own page, listing its games as they come up.
What is in a prediction?
The point spread, the total and the moneyline where they are posted, our own number for the game, and the call.
When are predictions published?
Before the game starts. Each one carries the date of its game, and the prices on it carry the date and time they were read.
What are the best bets today?
The games where our number sits furthest from the market. Each prediction sets our number beside the price, and the wider the gap, the stronger the pick. The next games are listed above.
Why do some predictions say no bet?
Because the price is close to our number. A pick with no edge is a guess, and we do not publish guesses as picks.
How do I read betting odds?
A minus price is what you stake to win 100; a plus price is what 100 wins. Our moneyline guide shows how to turn either into a chance of winning.
Do you guarantee winners?
No one can. Betting carries risk. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and only where it is legal for you.
Bet responsibly
Betting is entertainment, not a way to make money. Set a budget you can afford to lose and stick to it. If betting stops being fun, take a break. Help is free and confidential: call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ only, and only where it is legal for you.