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It’s U.S. Open week, and golf fans are in for a treat as the world’s best tee it up at Oakmont Country Club, one of the toughest tracks in the sport. Whether you’re betting on outright winners, group matchups, or looking for value in Top-10 finishes, this major presents tons of angles to attack from a punter’s perspective.

Before we dive into the best betting opportunities for this week’s tournament, be sure to check out our full slate of Golf Picks and our expert advice on how to bet on golf.

PGA Golf Picks This Week

Golf Picks For This Week

Let’s break down our top PGA Tour picks from the best sports betting sites :

Top 5 Finish

Jon Rahm might not be the hottest name entering the 2025 U.S. Open, but there’s a sneaky good case to be made for him to finish in the top 5. He’s still one of the most complete golfers in the world, and even in a “down” stretch by his standards, he’s been trending back into form. Rahm’s posted top-10 finishes in two of his last three majors, including a T8 at this year’s PGA Championship and a T14 at the Masters—solid if not spectacular, but a clear sign he’s still very much a threat.

From a stats standpoint, Rahm remains a monster off the tee, gaining +1.006 strokes in that category this season. Over his last five events, he’s averaging +0.423 Off-the-Tee and +0.274 Approach, showing that the key parts of his game are still humming. When his driver is working, Rahm becomes one of the most dangerous players on the planet, especially on a course like Oakmont where fairways and strategy matter more than just brute distance.

He’s also been putting at a decent clip, gaining nearly 0.2 strokes per round on the greens in recent events. That’s not elite, but it’s good enough when paired with his powerful tee-to-green game. His total strokes gained over his last five events sits at +1.156, which may not jump off the page like Scottie’s or Bryson’s, but it’s more than enough to put Rahm in the mix on Sunday if he cleans up a few loose swings.

Lastly, Rahm’s track record at the U.S. Open is rock solid. He finished T10 in 2023 and has consistently made cuts and contended in majors. He knows how to manage his emotions on tough setups, and if Oakmont turns into the grinder’s test we expect, Rahm has the temperament and game to surge into the top 5. At +225, it might not be what the top handicappers are going with but this bet hits the sweet spot between upside and value.

Bet: Jon Rahm (+225)

Top 10 Finish

• Scottie Scheffler (-350)
• Bryson DeChambeau (-125)
• Jon Rahm (+110)
• Rory McIlroy (+110)
• Xander Schauffele (+180)
• Collin Morikawa (+180)
• Joaquin Niemann (+225)
• Ludvig Aberg (+260)
• Tommy Fleetwood (+260)

Ludvig Aberg is one of the most exciting young players on the PGA Tour, and his game is tailor-made for a demanding venue like Oakmont. His driver is a weapon, and in U.S. Open setups, keeping it in play off the tee is half the battle. Aberg ranks 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and averages over 310 yards per drive, combining distance with precision. That’s exactly what you want when fairways get tighter and rough gets nastier. He’s gaining 0.436 strokes off the tee over his last five events, meaning he’s bringing elite control and power into the week.

What really makes Aberg an appealing top-10 bet at +260 is his consistency in elite fields. He’s cracked the top 20 in four of his last ten starts and finished 7th at the Masters in April, showing he can hang in majors. He also won The Genesis Invitational in February, beating a stacked leaderboard while finishing 12-under. That was a week where everything clicked, and if he brings even a portion of that form to Oakmont, he’ll be right there on Sunday.

His putting and around-the-green stats don’t look great, but they’re passable when paired with his ball striking. He’s 77th in overall Strokes Gained this season and gaining 0.176 total strokes over his last five events, so the all-around game is trending in the right direction. And let’s not forget: he finished T12 at last year’s U.S. Open. A year older, a year more experienced, and coming in with momentum, it’s easy to imagine Aberg improving on that.

With his length, poise, and rising comfort on the biggest stages, Aberg is the kind of guy who can handle the mental grind of a U.S. Open. At +260 to finish top 10, the price is fair, the profile is strong, and the ceiling is high. If you’re looking for a bet that blends form, value, and future superstar appeal, Aberg fits the mold.

Bet: Ludvig Aberg (+260)

Three Chances to Win

• Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau or Rory McIlroy to win (+120)
• Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau or Jon Rahm to win (+120)
• Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm or Rory McIlroy to win (+140)
• Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm or Xander Schauffele to win (+165)
• Scottie Scheffler, Shane Lowry or Jordan Spieth to win (+230)
• Bryson DeChambeau, Jon Rahm or Rory McIlroy to win (+275)
• Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy or Xander Schauffele to win (+330)

If you’re looking to back a winner at the 2025 U.S. Open without sweating a single name, the trio of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy at +140 is one of the smartest tickets on the board. These are three of the best ball strikers in the world, and all of them have legitimate win equity heading into Oakmont. This prop bet gives you elite win probability without having to land on the exact golfer, essentially hedging your pick with three guys who can each win this thing outright.

Let’s start with Scheffler. He’s in historic form right now, leading the PGA Tour in nearly every strokes gained metric, including Off-the-Tee, Approach, and Total. He’s won four times since March and has finished top 5 in seven of his last ten starts. His worst finish at a major this year? T2. If you’re betting on steady dominance, no one offers a higher floor than Scottie right now.

Rahm hasn’t had quite the same success in 2025, but he’s shown signs of heating up with a T8 at the PGA Championship and T14 at the Masters. He’s still gaining strokes across the board and carries a +1200 outright number on his own, which makes him a great addition to this prop. He’s also one of the best major grinders in the world, with elite driving and a proven short game. Those are two skills that will be essential at a brutal setup like Oakmont.

Then there’s McIlroy, who’s finished runner-up at each of the last two U.S. Opens. He’s coming off a win at Pebble Beach earlier this season and was also dominant at Augusta. He may not have the approach precision of Scheffler or the consistency of Rahm, but when Rory finds his rhythm, he can blitz any field. With all three players offering top-tier experience and proven U.S. Open resumes, getting them together at +140 feels like one of the safer value combos on the entire board.

Bet: Scheffler, Rahm, or McIlroy to win (+140)

Group C Winner

• Sepp Straka (+275)
• Patrick Cantlay (+280)
• Justin Thomas (+300)
• Viktor Hovland (+450)
• Hideki Matsuyama (+450)

Sepp Straka may not have the name value of Justin Thomas or Patrick Cantlay, but when it comes to current form and strokes gained data, he’s a legitimate contender to win Group C at the 2025 U.S. Open. Priced at +275, Straka offers sneaky value in a five-man pod that includes Thomas, Cantlay, Viktor Hovland, and Hideki Matsuyama—all of whom have been wildly inconsistent this season. Straka, meanwhile, is coming off a solo third at The Memorial and a dominant win at the Truist Championship just a month ago.

Statistically, Straka’s game is in elite company. He ranks 2nd on Tour in Total Strokes Gained and 3rd in Approach, where his +1.006 strokes per round edge out nearly everyone on Tour not named Scottie. He also leads the Tour in Greens in Regulation Percentage at 71.4%, which will be critical at Oakmont where missing greens is a recipe for bogeys. His putting has been rock solid, gaining 0.737 strokes per round over his last five event, tops among Group C contenders.

The big knock on Straka is off the tee, where he ranks outside the top 100 in driving distance. But his accuracy and elite iron play help compensate for the lack of length, especially on a course like Oakmont that demands precision over power. Unlike Cantlay and Hovland, who have struggled to string together consistent results, Straka has made the cut in seven of his last eight events and has three top-five finishes in that stretch.

In a group where every other player has shown flashes but not much consistency, Straka stands out as the sharp play. He’s gaining across the board, coming in hot, and thriving in the right categories for a U.S. Open test. At +275, he’s the best value in Group C and a very live pick to lead that pod.

Bet: Sepp Straka (+275)

Top 20 Finish Parlay

Xander Schauffele Top 5
Bryson DeChambeau Top 10
Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 (+1800)

If you’re looking for a high-upside top finish parlay, the trio of Bryson DeChambeau (Top 5), Xander Schauffele (Top 10), and Tommy Fleetwood (Top 20) at +1800 offers a compelling mix of recent form, U.S. Open success, and statistical consistency. All three players bring different strengths to the table, and the combination helps balance volatility with realistic finishing potential at a tough Oakmont setup.

DeChambeau is the anchor of this bet. He’s the defending U.S. Open champion and enters the week off a T2 at the PGA Championship and T5 at the Masters. Stat-wise, he’s gaining nearly a full stroke off the tee and more than 2.5 strokes total per round over his last five events. He’s also putting well, gaining 0.658 strokes per round with the flat stick. That combination of length and form makes him a true contender to finish inside the top 5.

Schauffele may not have a win in 2025, but he’s a consistent U.S. Open performer with top-10s in each of the last four editions. Even when he’s not in contention, he finds a way to hang around, and his approach play is elite, ranking 7th on Tour. His putting and off-the-tee numbers aren’t as sharp as others in the field, but his ability to grind out a strong finish makes him a safe pick for a top-10 leg in the parlay.

Fleetwood rounds it out as the sneaky value piece. He’s gained 1.608 total strokes per round over his last five tournaments and ranks 7th on Tour in that category for the season. He’s coming off a T4 at the Charles Schwab and a 7th-place finish at the Heritage, and while he hasn’t cracked the code to win a major yet, he’s consistently shown up in the top 20 on difficult courses. At +1800, this parlay pays off if these three guys just do what they’ve been doing—competing near the top without necessarily needing to win.

Bet: Schauffele top 5, DeChambeau top 10, Fleetwood top 20 (+1800)

Nationality of Winner

• United States (-175)
• UK and Ireland (+500)
• Continental Europe (+600)
• Any other (+2200)
• Asia (+3000)
• Canada (+3500)
• Australia (+3500)

The UK & Ireland +500 prop for nationality of the 2025 U.S. Open winner might be the sharpest longshot play on the board. It’s easy to default to the usual American favorites – Scottie, Bryson, JT – but the British and Irish contingent is quietly stacked with legit contenders who have the form, history, and skill sets to thrive at a tough venue like Oakmont.

Start with Rory McIlroy, who’s finished runner-up at each of the last two U.S. Opens. He’s already won once this season and ranks 2nd on Tour in Off-the-Tee and 11th in Putting – two key stats for surviving Oakmont’s tight corridors and slick greens. Rory may not be as consistent as Scottie Scheffler, but when he’s in contention, he has as much win equity as anyone in the field.

Then there’s Tommy Fleetwood, a player who’s often labeled a “non-winner” but has quietly been one of the steadiest performers in majors. He ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Total this season and is coming off a T4 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He’s gained over 1.6 total strokes per round in his last five starts and owns a strong U.S. Open track record, including a T5 at this event in 2023.

Add in Shane Lowry, a grinder who thrives on tough setups. He’s 26th in Bogey Avoidance and recently finished T6 at THE PLAYERS. His short game and mental toughness make him a great fit for a high-variance event like this. Even Tyrrell Hatton and Matt Fitzpatrick (a former U.S. Open champ) bring dark-horse upside with elite iron play and scrambling skills.

At +500, this prop doesn’t need a miracle – just one of these experienced, battle-tested Euro stars to peak at the right time. With five or more live bullets in the chamber, it’s a better value than backing any one of them outright.

Bet: UK and Ireland (+500)

End of Round 1 Leader

• Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
• Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)
• Rory McIlroy (+2200)
• Jon Rahm (+2500)
• Xander Schauffele (+3000)
• Ludvig Aberg (+3500)
• Collin Morikawa (+3500)
• Tommy Fleetwood (+4500)

Xander Schauffele at +3000 to lead after Round 1 is one of the more intriguing high-upside bets on the board. While his win equity may be questionable given his Sunday struggles, Schauffele’s Thursday performances have often been impressive, especially at majors and elevated events. He tends to come out of the gates strong before weekend volatility creeps in, making him a great candidate for a low opening round at a demanding Oakmont setup.

Statistically, Schauffele has the tools to go low early. He ranks 7th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and has averaged +0.266 strokes gained with his irons over his last five starts. That kind of precision will be vital at Oakmont, where tight landing zones and penal rough demand elite iron play. Add in his recent stretch of gaining over 0.7 total strokes per round, and the profile lines up for a player who can score early if conditions are relatively soft.

What makes this even more appealing is Schauffele’s history of performing well at the U.S. Open. He’s finished top 10 in each of the last four years, including a T7 just last year. His comfort with the setup and course conditions makes him a solid choice to get off to a hot start. At 30-1, you’re getting a proven early-round scorer with a U.S. Open pedigree—exactly the type of golfer you want in this market.

Bet: Xander Schauffele (+3000)