Golf Picks This Week: Ghim +1400 Leads Austin Championship Skip to content
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Golf Picks This Week: Ghim +1400 Leads Austin Championship

PGA Golf Picks This Week: 2026 Masters Tournament

Golf picks this week start with the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, a PGA Tour event played Thursday, November 12 to Sunday, November 15, 2026 on the Fazio Canyons Course at Omni Barton Creek Resort & Spa in Austin, Texas. On Bovada’s winner board, read at 22:55 UTC on Monday, November 9, Doug Ghim is the favorite at +1400, ahead of Jackson Koivun at +1600 and Blades Brown at +1800. Brown won last week’s World Wide Technology Championship.

Austin Championship at a glance

  • Rounds: Thursday, November 12 to Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Course: Fazio Canyons Course, Omni Barton Creek Resort & Spa, Austin, Texas
  • Par 72, 7,451 yards (four par 3s, four par 5s)
  • Purse: $6,000,000; 500 FedExCup Fall points to the winner
  • Field: 116 players, 10 alternates

ESPN lists only a 2026 season for this tournament, and the PGA Tour’s past-results page lists no earlier edition. There is no defending champion. There is also no course history at this event to read, so any rate built on past Austin Championship finishes would have no sample behind it.

The schedule moves on quickly. The RSM Classic follows on November 19-22, and the Hero World Challenge is set for December 3-6 on ESPN’s calendar.

Austin Championship odds and the market’s chances

GolferBovada priceImplied chanceNo-vig chance
Doug Ghim+14006.7%4.5%
Jackson Koivun+16005.9%4.0%
Blades Brown+18005.3%3.6%
Andrew Novak+25003.8%2.6%
Chris Kirk+28003.4%2.4%
Brian Harman+28003.4%2.4%
Jordan Smith+28003.4%2.4%
Austin Smotherman+33002.9%2.0%
Johnny Keefer+33002.9%2.0%
Pierceson Coody+33002.9%2.0%
Zach Bauchou+35002.8%1.9%
David Ford+35002.8%1.9%
Seamus Power+35002.8%1.9%
Ben Kohles+40002.4%1.7%
Eric Cole+40002.4%1.7%
Kristoffer Ventura+40002.4%1.7%

The table lists every player at +4000 or shorter: 16 of the 117 names Bovada prices. That is the top of the PGA odds this week, and everyone else on the board sits at a longer price.

The first column is the implied chance: the price read as a probability. At +1400, Ghim’s implied chance is 6.7%. Add up all 117 implied chances on Bovada’s board and the total is 146.7%, not 100%.

That excess is the book’s margin. The no-vig column removes it by dividing each implied chance by the 146.7% total. Ghim’s 6.7% becomes 4.5%. Read that way, the market prices even the favorite to lose about 95 times in 100.

One check on the board itself. Bovada also prices three names who were not on the official field list as it stood at 18:11 UTC: Beau Hossler, Ben Silverman and Tom Hoge.

2026 season figures for the favorites

GolferPriceStartsCuts madeTop 10sWinsEarnings
Doug Ghim+1400221640$2,289,696
Jackson Koivun+160010931$2,224,147
Blades Brown+1800131031$2,261,478
Andrew Novak+2500271741$2,948,800
Chris Kirk+2800231530$1,303,435
Brian Harman+2800231820$2,766,339
Jordan Smith+2800262030$2,662,632

The table covers the seven players at +2800 or shorter, using ESPN’s 2026 PGA Tour figures. Ghim, the favorite, has four top-10 finishes and no win in 22 starts. Koivun made nine cuts in 10 starts and has one win.

Brown, who won last week, has one win in 13 starts on ESPN’s 2026 count. Andrew Novak has the most earnings of the seven, at $2,948,800. Jordan Smith made the most cuts: 20 of 26.

Last week: Brown won the World Wide Technology Championship

FinishGolferRoundsTotalTo par
1 (won playoff)Blades Brown66-68-68-63265-23
2 (lost playoff)Ben James65-64-66-70265-23
3Michael Kim73-66-63-64266-22
4Kensei Hirata65-69-67-66267-21
5David Ford67-68-67-66268-20
T6Alvaro Ortiz69-66-66-68269-19
T6Denny McCarthy68-65-67-69269-19

Brown closed with a 63 at El Cardonal at Diamante in Los Cabos. He and Ben James both finished 72 holes at 23 under, 265, and Brown won the playoff. The winner’s share was $1,080,000, per pgatour.com.

Several names on this week’s board played that event. David Ford finished 5th at 20 under and is priced at +3500 on the 22:55 UTC read. Jordan Smith and Seamus Power tied for 8th at 18 under, Chris Kirk tied for 12th, and Koivun tied for 21st. Ghim, Novak and Harman did not play it.

Golf odds elsewhere this week

TourEventCoursePurseBovada favorite
LPGA TourThe ANNIKA driven by Gainbridge at PelicanPelican Golf Club, Belleair, FL$3,250,000Nelly Korda +500
DP World TourDP World Tour ChampionshipJumeirah Golf Estates (Earth Course), Dubai, United Arab Emirates$10,000,000Rory McIlroy +375
PGA Tour ChampionsCharles Schwab Cup ChampionshipPhoenix Country Club, Phoenix, AZ$3,000,000Zach Johnson +375

Three other tours play November 12-15. On the LPGA Tour, Nelly Korda leads The ANNIKA at +500, a 16.7% implied chance, with Haeran Ryu next at +850.

At the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai, Rory McIlroy is +375 and Jon Rahm +600. On PGA Tour Champions, Zach Johnson leads the Charles Schwab Cup Championship at +375, ahead of Steven Alker at +425.

A price is worth a bet only when you rate the player’s chance above what the price implies. At a 4.5% no-vig chance, the favorite still loses most weeks. For finished events, see our golf tournament results and the PGA Tour archive. Our golf betting guide covers how outright prices work. To compare sources and books, use our best handicappers list and sportsbook reviews.

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