UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Odds and Predictions

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Logan Rogers

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UFC

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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal brings a ranked featherweight main event to Meta APEX on April 25, 2026. Aljamain Sterling is the No. 5 featherweight and a former UFC bantamweight champion, while Youssef Zalal enters as the No. 7 featherweight with a five-fight UFC winning streak since returning to the promotion.

The provided card lists 13 fights, with six Main Card bouts and seven preliminary card fights. As always with UFC event-week cards, matchups and order can change late, so bettors should track the latest UFC betting coverage before placing anything.

The moneyline board has a mix of heavy favorites, short favorites, and a few missing prices, so this is a card where bettors need to separate price from path before making UFC picks. With that in mind, let’s dive in.

Where To Watch UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal?

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal will stream on Paramount+. That is the only broadcast/streaming input provided.

What Time Does UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal start?

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal starts with the Prelims at 5:00 PM ET, followed by the Main Card at 8:00 PM ET.

Where Is UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal?

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal takes place at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Main Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal odds for the Main Card. Odds were captured Apr. 24, 2026, 12:42 PM ET, and odds are subject to change.

UFC FavoriteUFC UnderdogUFC Prediction
Youssef Zalal (-125)Aljamain Sterling (+105)Youssef Zalal (-125)
Norma Dumont (-238)Joselyne Edwards (+195)Norma Dumont (-238)
Alexander Hernandez (-130)Rafa Garcia (+110)Alexander Hernandez (-130)
Davey Grant (-135)Adrian Luna Martinetti (UNKNOWN)Davey Grant (-135)
Montel Jackson (-175)Raoni Barcelos (+145)Montel Jackson (-175)
Marcus Buchecha (-155)Ryan Spann (+130)Marcus Buchecha (-155)

The Main Card board is not built around one overwhelming favorite. Dumont is the biggest favorite at -238, while Zalal-Sterling, Hernandez-Garcia, Grant-Martinetti, and Buchecha-Spann all sit in more playable moneyline ranges based on the provided prices.

Keep reading for the Main Card predictions, and compare these picks with expert UFC betting guidance before finalizing a card.

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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Predictions For The Main Card

The Main Card starts at 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

Youssef Zalal (-125) vs. Aljamain Sterling (+105)

  • Total: Over 4.5 rounds (-180)/Under 4.5 rounds (+140)
  • Division: Featherweight

Sterling is 25-5, the No. 5 featherweight, and a former UFC bantamweight champion. Zalal is 18-5-1, the No. 7 featherweight, and comes in with a five-fight UFC winning streak since returning to the promotion.

This is the tightest kind of main-event moneyline for bettors. Sterling has the championship-level profile, but Zalal is the slight favorite and is priced as the fighter with the cleaner current form.

The total leans heavily toward a longer fight, with Over 4.5 rounds at -180. That supports a measured read rather than a quick-finish angle. rather than force an underdog stab just because the plus money is available.

Bet: Youssef Zalal (-125), Over 4.5 rounds (-180)

Norma Dumont (-238) vs. Joselyne Edwards (+195)

  • Total: Over 2.5 rounds (-500)/Under 2.5 rounds (+340)
  • Division: Women’s Bantamweight

Dumont is 13-2, ranked No. 3 at women’s bantamweight, and enters on a six-fight winning streak. Edwards is 17-6, ranked No. 11, and has a four-fight stoppage streak.

The market has Dumont as a clear favorite. That price reflects her ranking edge and the steadier form profile provided in the inputs.

The total is heavily shaded to Over 2.5 rounds at -500, so the cleaner betting lane is Dumont’s moneyline rather than paying a steep total price.

Bet: Norma Dumont (-238)

Alexander Hernandez (-130) vs. Rafa Garcia (+110)

  • Division: Lightweight

Hernandez is 18-8 and is currently set to face Rafa Garcia after a recent UFC 324 bout was canceled due to betting concerns. Garcia is 18-4.

This is a narrow lightweight line. Hernandez is only a modest favorite at -130, while Garcia sits in live underdog range at +110.

With no total provided, the read stays on the side. Hernandez gets the edge because the market makes him the favorite in an otherwise tight matchup.

Bet: Alexander Hernandez (-130)

Davey Grant (-135) vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (UNKNOWN)

  • Division: Bantamweight

Grant is 17-8 and is listed as a veteran bantamweight. Martinetti is 17-1 and is identified as a UFC newcomer / promotional newcomer.

This is a tricky betting spot because Martinetti’s verified moneyline was not provided. Grant’s -135 number is playable on its own, but the missing underdog price limits full market comparison.

The pick is Grant, with the experience note as the key provided edge. Without a verified total, this stays as a straight moneyline play.

Bet: Davey Grant (-135)

Montel Jackson (-175) vs. Raoni Barcelos (+145)

  • Division: Bantamweight

Jackson is 15-3 and is scheduled against Barcelos on April 25. Barcelos is 21-5, with a 10-4 UFC record reported in the provided inputs.

This is a strong veteran test for Jackson, but the market has him in control at -175. Barcelos’ UFC experience keeps the underdog side relevant, but the price still points to Jackson as the preferred side.

With no total provided, the pick comes down to the moneyline. Jackson is the cleaner betting position.

Bet: Montel Jackson (-175)

Marcus Buchecha (-155) vs. Ryan Spann (+130)

  • Total: Over 1.5 rounds (+135)/Under 1.5 rounds (-175)
  • Division: Heavyweight

Marcus Buchecha is 5-2-1 and is also listed as Marcus Almeida / “Buchecha.” Spann is 23-11.

This heavyweight line is interesting because Buchecha is the favorite despite Spann having the longer MMA record. The total is shaded to Under 1.5 rounds at -175, which signals a market expectation for early volatility.

Buchecha is the side, but the Under is also aligned with the provided total market. At this price point, pairing the side with the fight’s shorter-window angle makes sense.

Bet: Marcus Buchecha (-155), Under 1.5 rounds (-175)

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Preliminary Card Odds

Here are the UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal preliminary card odds. Odds were captured Apr. 24, 2026, 12:42 PM ET, and odds are subject to change.

UFC FavoriteUFC UnderdogUFC Prediction
Rodolfo Vieira (-275)Eric McConico (+255)Rodolfo Vieira (-275)
Jackson McVey (UNKNOWN)Sedriques Dumas (UNKNOWN)No Bet (UNKNOWN)
Michelle Montague (-400)Mayra Bueno Silva (+340)Michelle Montague (-400)
Jafel Filho (-549)Cody Durden (+700)Jafel Filho (-549)
Francis Marshall (UNKNOWN)Lucas Brennan (UNKNOWN)No Bet (UNKNOWN)
Victor Valenzuela (-148)Max Griffin (+124)Victor Valenzuela (-148)
Julia Polastri (-250)Talita Alencar (+205)Julia Polastri (-250)

The prelim board has several lopsided prices. Montague, Filho, Vieira, and Polastri are all clear favorites, while Valenzuela-Griffin is the tightest verified moneyline on the preliminary card.

Two prelim fights have missing moneyline values. Those are better treated carefully from a betting perspective because there is not enough verified pricing to compare both sides. Bettors should also compare available books through trusted sportsbook reviews before chasing a price.

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The preliminary card starts at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

Rodolfo Vieira (-275) vs. Eric McConico (+255)

  • Division: Middleweight

Vieira is 11-4 and is described as a grappling/BJJ-focused fighter. McConico is 10-4-1.

The market is firmly behind Vieira at -275. That is a wide price, but it also matches the clear skill-note edge provided in the inputs.

McConico is priced as a sizable underdog. The pick is Vieira, though the price is already inflated.

Bet: Rodolfo Vieira (-275)

Jackson McVey (UNKNOWN) vs. Sedriques Dumas (UNKNOWN)

  • Division: Middleweight

McVey is 6-2. Dumas is 10-4.

No verified moneylines were provided for either fighter. That makes this a pass from a betting standpoint.

With no total line and no verified price, there is not enough betting information to force a side.

Bet: No Bet (UNKNOWN)

Michelle Montague (-400) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (+340)

  • Total: Over 2.5 rounds (-215)/Under 2.5 rounds (UNKNOWN)
  • Division: Women’s Bantamweight

Montague is 7-0 and stayed undefeated with a decision win over Luana Carolina in her promotional debut. Bueno Silva is 10-6-1 and is winless since the Raquel Pennington title-fight loss, per the provided inputs.

Montague is the largest non-Filho favorite on the prelim board. The -400 price is steep, but the market is clearly aligned with her undefeated profile.

The Over 2.5 rounds is available at -215, while the Under price is unknown. Montague is still the cleaner listed pick because both moneyline sides are verified.

Bet: Michelle Montague (-400)

Jafel Filho (-549) vs. Cody Durden (+700)

  • Division: Bantamweight

Filho is 17-4, submitted Clayton Carpenter in October 2025, and is 3-2 in the UFC. Durden is 17-10-1, stepped in on six days’ notice, and is on a four-fight losing streak.

This is the widest verified moneyline on the full card. Filho is priced like the dominant side at -549, while Durden is a major underdog at +700.

The price is not friendly, but the pick is straightforward based on the supplied odds and context. Filho is the selection.

Bet: Jafel Filho (-549)
  • Division: Lightweight

Marshall is 9-3. Brennan is 11-2 and is listed as a short-notice addition against Marshall.

No verified moneylines were provided for this fight. That removes the main betting reference point.

The short-notice note matters, but without a price, the right call is to avoid forcing a pick.

Bet: No Bet (UNKNOWN)

Victor Valenzuela (-148) vs. Max Griffin (+124)

  • Total: Under 2.5 rounds (-120)/Over 2.5 rounds (UNKNOWN)
  • Division: Welterweight

Valenzuela is 13-4, a UFC newcomer, and lost a Contender Series fight in October. Griffin is 20-12, is on a two-fight losing skid, and last fought in July before UFC Vegas 116.

This is one of the better-priced prelim fights because both moneylines are available and neither side is overly expensive. Griffin has the deeper record, but Valenzuela is the favorite at -148.

The Under 2.5 rounds is listed at -120, but the Over price is unknown. Valenzuela is the side pick.

Bet: Victor Valenzuela (-148)

Julia Polastri (-250) vs. Talita Alencar (+205)

  • Total: Over 2.5 rounds (-330)/Under 2.5 rounds (+240)
  • Division: Women’s Strawweight

Polastri is 14-5, owns a 2-2 UFC record, and is coming off a third-round TKO/head-kick win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Alencar is 7-1-1 and has won two straight entering UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal.

The market prefers Polastri at -250. Alencar’s recent form keeps the fight competitive on paper, but the price and Polastri’s provided finish note point to the favorite.

The total is shaded to Over 2.5 rounds at -330. The better straight pick is Polastri’s moneyline.

Bet: Julia Polastri (-250)

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The Best UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Picks

The following is our best UFC picks for this weekend’s event:

  • Youssef Zalal (-125)
  • Sterling vs. Zalal Over 4.5 rounds (-180)
  • Norma Dumont (-238)
  • Montel Jackson (-175)
  • Marcus Buchecha (-155)
  • Julia Polastri (-250)

These picks lean into verified prices that still have a clear path from the supplied board. Zalal is a short favorite in the main event, Dumont and Polastri bring stronger market support, Jackson sits in a playable favorite range, and Buchecha matches the heavyweight pricing angle. For another layer of comparison, review how the best betting handicappers are approaching the card.

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Card

Check out the updated UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal fight card:

UFC FavoriteUFC UnderdogUFC Prediction
Youssef Zalal (-125)Aljamain Sterling (+105)Youssef Zalal (-125)
Norma Dumont (-238)Joselyne Edwards (+195)Norma Dumont (-238)
Alexander Hernandez (-130)Rafa Garcia (+110)Alexander Hernandez (-130)
Davey Grant (-135)Adrian Luna Martinetti (UNKNOWN)Davey Grant (-135)
Montel Jackson (-175)Raoni Barcelos (+145)Montel Jackson (-175)
Marcus Buchecha (-155)Ryan Spann (+130)Marcus Buchecha (-155)
Rodolfo Vieira (-275)Eric McConico (+255)Rodolfo Vieira (-275)
Jackson McVey (UNKNOWN)Sedriques Dumas (UNKNOWN)No Bet (UNKNOWN)
Michelle Montague (-400)Mayra Bueno Silva (+340)Michelle Montague (-400)
Jafel Filho (-549)Cody Durden (+700)Jafel Filho (-549)
Francis Marshall (UNKNOWN)Lucas Brennan (UNKNOWN)No Bet (UNKNOWN)
Victor Valenzuela (-148)Max Griffin (+124)Victor Valenzuela (-148)
Julia Polastri (-250)Talita Alencar (+205)Julia Polastri (-250)

After the fights are complete, bettors can track the full results and betting takeaways in the latest UFC fight results recap.