New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Predictions May 11th 2025

Cubs vs Mets: A Battle of Rising Aces in Sunday’s Series Finale

Two early-season contenders, the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets, wrap up a thrilling three-game set on Sunday. After splitting the first two games, both clubs will turn to top-tier starting pitchers in a rubber match that could signal more than just a series win—it could foreshadow postseason possibilities.

The Cubs evened the series with a gritty 6-5 win on Saturday, snapping a three-game skid and showcasing a suddenly clutch offense. Meanwhile, the Mets will try to shake off Saturday’s missed chances and avoid dropping their second consecutive home series—something that hasn’t happened often in Queens.

Cade Horton Impresses in MLB Debut

Saturday’s game marked a special milestone for the Cubs: the debut of 2022 first-round pick Cade Horton. The right-hander delivered a respectable line—four innings, four hits, three earned runs, and five strikeouts. While not dominant, Horton showed poise and pitch efficiency, throwing 77 pitches (49 strikes) and keeping the Cubs in the game.

His fastball touched 97 mph, his slider was sharp, and perhaps most importantly, he walked no one.

“He did a nice job,” manager Craig Counsell said. “He got 12 outs, and the bullpen made some huge pitches. Miguel Amaya handled the whole thing beautifully. That’s not easy.”

It wasn’t just a debut—it was a signal of what could be a bright future for the Cubs rotation.

Cubs’ Offense Shows Signs of Life

Coming into Saturday, Chicago was ice cold with runners in scoring position—just 4-for-23 over the last three games. But something clicked. Seiya Suzuki led the charge with an RBI single and later scored, Michael Busch followed up with his second multi-hit game in a row, and Dansby Swanson went yard for the fourth time in 11 games.

Catcher Miguel Amaya added a two-run single that helped pad the Cubs’ early lead. In total, Chicago went 4-for-8 with RISP—enough to back Horton’s effort and a bullpen that held the line late.

Now, the question is whether the Cubs can carry this clutch hitting into Sunday against one of the Mets’ hottest arms.

Want more Cubs stats and updates? Visit our MLB Team Page.

Mets’ Missed Opportunities Loom Large

After hammering the Cubs 7-2 on Friday with four homers, New York’s offense went cold in the clutch on Saturday. Despite having their opportunities, they went just 3-for-17 with runners in scoring position.

Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo combined for a disappointing 3-for-17 and six strikeouts.

“I’ll take my chances every night,” said manager Carlos Mendoza. “As long as we keep putting guys on, those hitters will come through more often than not.”

Still, the Mets need to shake off the offensive hangover, especially at home, where they’re 14-4 but looking to avoid back-to-back series losses.

For live odds on Mets games, check the MLB Odds Page.

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Matthew Boyd Eyes Milestone Win

On the hill for the Cubs is veteran lefty Matthew Boyd (3-2, 2.75 ERA), who’s been steady and dependable. Boyd has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his starts this season. He enters Sunday’s contest coming off a six-inning gem in which he struck out seven and limited the Giants to two runs.

He’ll be aiming for his 50th career win and hoping the Cubs’ bats stay hot long enough to hand the ball to closer Ryan Pressly, who was rested Saturday.

Boyd’s only previous start against the Mets came way back in 2016, but he’ll face a lineup eager to avenge Saturday’s letdown.

Griffin Canning Has Been Quietly Dominant

The Mets will counter with right-hander Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.50 ERA), who’s quietly turning into one of the NL’s most effective starters. With a five-game winning streak and a 2.39 ERA over those starts, Canning is a force. His last outing? One run over five innings in Arizona, good enough to improve to 5-1 on the year.

He’s just two wins away from tying his career high and one shy of his 2024 total with the Angels. Now with the Mets, he’s fitting in perfectly and has been a big part of their early success.

However, his lone start against the Cubs wasn’t great—he gave up four runs over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Wrigley. He’ll look to reverse that narrative in front of a home crowd.

Want expert insights and picks? Read our MLB Expert Betting Guide.

What to Watch for in Sunday’s Finale

• Can Boyd hit his 50th career win?
• Will Canning extend his win streak to six games?
• Which team will step up with runners in scoring position?
• Can the Cubs offense stay hot for a second straight game?

This game feels like more than just a series rubber match—it’s a statement opportunity for both squads. With each team leaning on in-form starters and hoping their bats can come alive, Sunday could be a low-scoring, high-drama afternoon in Queens.

Final Thought: These Teams Are Built to Contend

Both the Cubs and Mets have the makings of playoff teams. If the Cubs’ young talent continues to develop and their veterans like Boyd stay sharp, they’ll be a tough out. Meanwhile, the Mets have the pitching depth and star power to go toe-to-toe with anyone—if their bats show up when it matters.

Sunday’s clash should be a great one. Don’t blink.