New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions August 30th 2025

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins August 30th 2025

The Miami Marlins will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. The game is set for Saturday, August 30, 2025, at 4:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on MLBN. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with a light breeze and clear skies, making it a great day for baseball.

The Marlins come into the game with a 63-72 record and are third in the NL East. They have lost their last game and are 4-6 in their last ten games. The Mets, on the other hand, hold a 73-62 record and are second in the division. They have won their last game and are 6-4 in their last ten games. Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins, while David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets.

Marlins vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
• Betting Odds: Marlins Moneyline +157, Mets Moneyline -186, Total Over 8.0 (-104), Total Under 8.0 (-115)

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins recently played against the New York Mets and lost 19-9. Despite the loss, the Marlins showed strong offensive capabilities with 15 hits, including 6 extra-base hits and 2 home runs. Otto Lopez was a standout player, going 4 for 5 with a home run and 4 RBIs, showcasing his ability to drive in runs.

The Marlins have a solid batting average of .250, ranking 8th in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is also notable, with 221 doubles, ranking them 9th. This offensive strength can help them score runs and put pressure on opposing pitchers in the upcoming game.

Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins, bringing an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.18. Cabrera’s performance on August 25th against the Braves was impressive, where he pitched 7 innings, allowing just 1 hit and no runs. His ability to control the game from the mound can give the Marlins a strong chance to win against the Mets.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a big 19-9 win against the Miami Marlins. Brandon Nimmo led the way with two home runs and four RBIs. Tyrone Taylor also had a strong game with two doubles and four RBIs.

The Mets have solid stats that show they can win. They have a team batting average of .250, ranking 8th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .328, which is 4th best, and they have hit 184 home runs this season, placing them 7th.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets. He has an ERA of 3.18 and a record of 8-5. With solid pitching and strong hitting, the Mets have a good chance to win this game.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -186 against the Marlins at +157. The Mets have a stronger batting lineup, ranking 4th in on-base percentage and 6th in slugging. Their pitching also ranks 7th in ERA, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs, with the over at -104 and the under at -115. Given the Mets’ strong pitching and the Marlins’ lower-ranked batting stats, the game is likely to stay under. My model projects a total of 8 runs, making the under a reasonable pick.

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Mets Continue Record-Breaking Offensive Surge

The New York Mets will look to keep their bats hot on Saturday when they host the Miami Marlins in the third game of a four-game National League East series. After erupting for 19 runs in Friday’s 19-9 victory, the Mets are riding one of the most powerful stretches in franchise history.

New York scored 12 runs in the first two innings on Friday, the most in such a span in team history. The 19 runs overall were also the most the Mets have ever scored in a home game. That offensive explosion backed up the MLB debut of prized prospect Jonah Tong, who gave up four runs (one earned) across five innings.

This surge continues a scorching month for the Mets, who despite sitting at 11-15 in August, have already produced 168 runs — tied with the 2015 team for the most in franchise history for the month. Over the past 15 days, the Mets lead MLB with 106 runs while hitting .322 as a team.

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Cabrera Looks to Provide Stability for Miami

The Marlins will counter with right-hander Edward Cabrera (7-7, 3.32 ERA), who has shown flashes of ace-level performance this season. Cabrera is coming off a gem against the Atlanta Braves, where he allowed just one hit over seven scoreless innings in a 2-1 Miami win.

He has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in 15 of his 23 starts this year, displaying consistency even as the rest of the rotation has faltered. Cabrera’s challenge, however, will be to silence a Mets lineup that has given him trouble historically. In eight career starts against New York, he is 1-2 with a 5.12 ERA.

Miami’s pitching depth has been stretched thin after recent struggles from Ryan Gusto, Adam Mazur, and Eury Perez, who combined to allow 16 runs in just 8 1/3 innings over the past three games. That makes Cabrera’s ability to pitch deep into Saturday’s contest even more critical.

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Peterson Matches Up Well Against Marlins

David Peterson (8-5, 3.18 ERA) takes the mound for the Mets and brings a strong track record against Miami. He is 5-2 with a 2.82 ERA in 10 career appearances (nine starts) versus the Marlins, including a six-inning, two-run outing in a 10-4 win earlier this season on March 31.

Peterson is also coming off a solid performance against the Braves in which he gave up two runs across 5 2/3 innings, though he did not factor into the decision. His ability to limit Miami’s inconsistent offense will be key in balancing out the Mets’ heavy reliance on their bats.

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Big Picture Outlook

The Mets enter this matchup with momentum and a record-breaking offense, while the Marlins need Cabrera to provide stability after a tough stretch for their rotation. If Cabrera can replicate his recent dominance, Miami may be able to keep this game close. However, given the way New York’s lineup is producing, Peterson may not need much run support to push the Mets to another win.

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