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Wisconsin Badgers vs Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers host the Northwestern Wildcats at the Kohl Center in Wednesday Big Ten action. Both teams enter conference play with 5-2 records after recent Power 5 losses. Bettors must weigh Wisconsin’s home-court advantage against Northwestern’s efficient shooting led by Nick Martinelli.
Line Movement and Odds
- Wisconsin Badgers Spread: -9.5 (-114)
- Northwestern Wildcats Spread: +9.5 (-109)
- Wisconsin Badgers MoneyLine: -470
- Northwestern Wildcats MoneyLine: +343
- Total: 155.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Wisconsin opened as strong favorites at home. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Northwestern Wildcats Outlook
Northwestern fell 86-81 to Oklahoma State despite Nick Martinelli’s 28 points and 10 rebounds. Martinelli averages 20.6 points per game on 56.7% shooting, while Arrinten Page adds 15.0 points and 7.0 boards. The Wildcats average 82.1 points per game and shoot 51.5% from the field, but rebounding remains a weakness after being outrebounded by 46 over their last four games.
Wisconsin Badgers Outlook
Wisconsin lost 74-63 to TCU despite John Blackwell’s 30 points. Nick Boyd leads with 21.0 points per game, while Blackwell adds 19.0 points and 5.4 rebounds. The Badgers average 87.1 points per game and rank 25th nationally in three-pointers made (11 per game). Their free throw percentage (78.8%) ranks 15th, providing late-game reliability. Wisconsin holds a 4-1 home record and has won nine of the last 11 against Northwestern.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Northwestern’s efficient shooting vs Wisconsin’s perimeter-heavy offense. The Wildcats must improve rebounding to stay competitive, while the Badgers need Boyd and Blackwell to continue scoring at a high clip. Home court advantage favors Wisconsin.
Injuries / Availability
Northwestern relies heavily on Martinelli and Page, with no major injury updates reported.
Wisconsin lists its roster healthy, with Boyd and Blackwell leading the backcourt.
Betting Trends
- Northwestern has hit the over in five straight games.
- Northwestern has won 71.4% of games straight up this season.
- Wisconsin is 5-1 straight up as favorites.
- Wisconsin has won nine of the last 11 meetings vs Northwestern.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Wisconsin 85, Northwestern 78
- Northwestern +9.5 (-109) → Best Bet. Wildcats’ efficient shooting suggests they can keep the game close.
- Over 155.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 163 points, leaning over given both teams’ offensive profiles.
Wisconsin’s home edge should secure the win, but Northwestern’s scoring efficiency makes them a strong play to cover. Expect a high-scoring contest trending over the total.
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