Baylor Bears vs Southern Jaguars Picks and Predictions December 21st 2025

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The Baylor Bears enter 8-2 and look to extend their 50-game nonconference home winning streak, while the Southern Jaguars aim to snap a three-game skid. Bettors will weigh Baylor’s offensive firepower against Southern’s scoring efficiency in this non-conference matchup at Foster Pavilion.

Line Movement and Odds

Baylor opened as a heavy favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home-court dominance. Current market:

  • Baylor Spread: -24.5 (-115)
  • Southern Spread: +24.5 (-110)
  • Baylor MoneyLine: -10000
  • Southern MoneyLine: +2500
  • Total: 163.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Southern Outlook

Southern averages 87 points per game, with Cam Amboree and Malek Abdelgowad leading the offense. Their shooting efficiency (47.9% FG, 85th nationally) and three-point accuracy (36.9%) highlight strengths. Their 4-7 record reflects inconsistency, though their offensive pace gives them a chance to stay competitive.

Baylor Outlook

Baylor averages 91.2 points per game with Cameron Carr, Isaac Williams IV, and Michael Rataj providing scoring depth. Their shooting efficiency (49.5% FG, 40th nationally) and rebounding edge highlight balance. Their 6-0 home record and 50-game nonconference home streak underscore betting confidence.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Baylor’s ability to control tempo and maintain shooting efficiency, while Southern must lean on Amboree and Abdelgowad to pace the offense. If Baylor maintains rhythm, their depth should create separation, but Southern’s scoring ability could keep the margin tighter than expected.

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Injuries / Availability

Southern: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Baylor: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Environment

Foster Pavilion provides Baylor with a strong home-court edge, where they are 6-0 this season. Southern’s road struggles highlight the difficulty of competing in Waco.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Baylor 92, Southern 75

  • Southern +24.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and scoring efficiency make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Under 163.5 → Total play. Southern’s slower tempo points toward a combined score below the line.

Baylor’s depth and shooting should dictate the game, but Southern’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a high-scoring contest trending under the total.

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