Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears Picks and Predictions December 23rd 2025

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Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

The Lindenwood Lions enter 8-4 and look to extend their strong offensive form, while the Missouri State Bears aim to defend home court in this non-conference matchup at Great Southern Bank Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

Missouri State opened as a slight favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home-court edge. Current market:

  • Missouri State Spread: -3.5 (-110)
  • Lindenwood Spread: +3.5 (-113)
  • Missouri State MoneyLine: -168
  • Lindenwood MoneyLine: +135
  • Total: 145.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Lindenwood Outlook

Lindenwood averages 84.6 points per game, with Mekhi Cooper, Jadis Jones, and Anias Futrell providing scoring depth. Their rebounding (42.5 per game, 19th nationally) and ball movement (17.6 assists per game) highlight efficiency. Their 2-4 road record underscores inconsistency, though their recent 109-52 win over Harris-Stowe shows offensive dominance.

Missouri State Outlook

Missouri State averages 74.9 points per game, with Keith Palek III leading the offense. Their two-point shooting (55.9%) and free-throw production (23 attempts per game) highlight strengths. Their 5-2 home record underscores betting confidence, while defensive pressure (7.4 steals per game) adds stability.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Lindenwood’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm, while Missouri State must lean on Palek to pace the offense. If Lindenwood controls tempo and boards, their depth should create separation.

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Injuries / Availability

Lindenwood: No injury updates provided.

Missouri State: No injury updates provided.

Environment

Great Southern Bank Arena provides Missouri State with a strong home-court edge, where they are 5-2 this season. Lindenwood’s road struggles highlight the difficulty of competing in Springfield.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Lindenwood 82, Missouri State 78

  • Lindenwood +3.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and rebounding make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Over 145.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring averages point toward a combined score above the line.

Lindenwood’s depth and shooting should dictate the game. Expect the Lions to cover, while the total trends over due to Missouri State’s defensive limitations.

Handicappers and Service Plays

For bettors seeking sharper insights, our Best Handicappers highlight proven experts, while the Leaderboard tracks current streaks across multiple sports. Premium selections in Buy Picks provide detailed reasoning behind each play. These tools help identify value in spreads and totals, compare your analysis against seasoned professionals, and add confidence before locking in wagers. For a matchup like Lindenwood vs Missouri State, where pace and efficiency metrics are critical, expert breakdowns can reveal hidden opportunities beyond the surface stats.

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