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Stetson heads to Louisville on Thursday, February 5, 2026 for a 7:00 PM ET tip at Knights Hall against Bellarmine, with the game on ESPN+. It’s an Atlantic Sun matchup where the records look mediocre on both sides, but the venue split is what’s driving the number. Bellarmine has been a different team at home, while Stetson has struggled to carry its game on the road.
Stetson is 8-15 and just lost a tight 68-66 game to North Alabama, another result that shows they can compete, but it also shows how thin the margin is when they’re not getting extra possessions or easy points. Bellarmine is 9-13 and coming off a 78-75 win over Queens (NC), and that’s the exact type of win that reinforces why they’re favored here. Efficient offense, home comfort, and enough late execution to close.
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Stetson vs Bellarmine Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor movement leading up to tip and keep track of the latest college basketball odds as numbers update.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Hatters | +200 | +6.5 (-115) | O 150.5 |
| Bellarmine Knights | -247 | -6.5 (-105) | U 150.5 |
Stetson Hatters Betting Form
Stetson is a team that can hang around when it’s making threes and getting enough scoring from its main creators. Collin Kuhl has been the tone-setter lately, and his 23-point performance against North Alabama is the kind of output they need to stay competitive. Ethan Copeland is the other key piece because his three-point shooting opens the floor and gives Stetson a way to answer runs quickly. They make 8.6 threes per game, and that’s the single most important ingredient if you’re backing them as a road dog.
The concern is obvious. They’re 2-11 on the road. That’s not bad luck, it’s a trend that usually shows up in the first half. When Stetson starts slow and has to chase, their offense can get a little jumpy and the shot quality drops. If they’re not winning the three-point math and they’re not getting to the line, it becomes hard to keep pace with a home team that scores efficiently inside. For a quick snapshot of how Stetson has been trending game to game, Stetson stats and results can be tracked through the NCAAB teams hub.
Bellarmine Knights Betting Form
Bellarmine’s case is about efficiency and home reliability. They’re 7-3 at home and their shooting profile is elite in terms of conversion. They’re at 51.2% from the field and they finish twos at an extremely high rate, which is a clean way to punish teams that aren’t great defensively at the rim. Even when Bellarmine isn’t bombing threes, they can put points on the board because their inside offense is consistent.
Brian Waddell is the steady bucket, and Kenyon Goodin gives them a guard who can swing a close game because he shoots well and is reliable at the line. That matters when you’re laying -6.5, because you want the favorite to be able to close without chaos. Bellarmine’s home environment also tends to help their execution. They don’t need to win the game by being flashy. They can win it by being the team that gets a good shot almost every trip.
Stetson Hatters vs Bellarmine Knights Matchup Breakdown
This game is about shot type. Stetson’s best chance is winning from the perimeter. They need threes, they need spacing, and they need Kuhl and Copeland to create enough efficient possessions that Bellarmine can’t just keep walking into high-percentage twos. If Stetson is hitting threes early, it can force Bellarmine to defend higher and open lanes for secondary scoring.
Bellarmine’s edge is that they can stay efficient even if the game slows down. Both teams play at a moderate pace, and that points toward a more half-court game where execution matters. In that environment, I usually side with the team that finishes better at the rim and doesn’t rely on threes to score. That’s Bellarmine. If they’re converting inside and Stetson is trading threes for twos, Stetson can still cover. If Stetson’s threes aren’t falling, it’s hard to see them staying within two possessions for long.
This is also a spot where late-game script matters. If Bellarmine is up 8–12 late, Stetson will likely extend the game, and that can impact both the spread and total. But the bigger question is whether Stetson can keep it close enough for that backdoor to exist. That’s where a sports betting strategy guide mindset helps: bet the game state you expect, not just the raw averages.
UC Irvine Anteaters
vs
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-16.00 -110
Spread
+16.00 -110
o+145.50-110
Total
u+145.50-110
-2,000
Moneyline
+1,100
CSU Fullerton Titans
vs
UC Riverside Highlanders
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-6.50 -110
Spread
+6.50 -110
o+155.00-110
Total
u+155.00-110
-333
Moneyline
+260
Cal Baptist Lancers
vs
Tarleton State Texans
Open
vs
Feb 05, 2026 22:00 EST
–
Score
–
-9.50 -110
Spread
+9.50 -110
o+141.50-110
Total
u+141.50-110
-526
Moneyline
+385
Stetson Hatters vs Bellarmine Knights Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Bellarmine -6.5. The home split is too strong to ignore, and Bellarmine’s interior efficiency is exactly the kind of advantage that shows up consistently. Stetson can absolutely make this uncomfortable if they shoot well from deep, but asking a 2-11 road team to do that for 40 minutes is not the bet I want to make, especially against a team that doesn’t need threes to score.
On the total, I lean Under 150.5. The pace points down, and Bellarmine’s best offense can be methodical rather than fast. Stetson can create points with threes, but if Bellarmine is controlling the game inside and limiting transition, the scoring can land in the low-to-mid 140s without anything strange happening.
Best Bet: Bellarmine Knights -6.5 (-105).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference games often look simple until you bet them. The best teams don’t always cover, road variance is real, and totals can swing on a five-minute shooting stretch. That’s why I like narrowing the slate to matchups where the price lines up with a repeatable edge, like home efficiency or a clear shot profile advantage.
If you’re building a Thursday card, start by scanning today’s college basketball picks and comparing leans across the slate. It’s a practical way to stay selective and find spots where the number is still offering value instead of just reflecting the obvious.
