Complete Open Championship Betting Guide
The Open Championship presents a unique set of challenges and opportunities for experienced bettors. Characterized by its unpredictable weather, formidable links courses, and a deep field of world-class talent, the tournament demands a nuanced approach to wagering.
Our Open Championship betting guide delves into the intricacies of the tournament, offering insights into potential strategies, market dynamics, and statistics to keep an eye on.
Open Championship Betting Odds
Understanding the Open Championship (British Open)
The Open Championship, often referred to as just The Open or the British Open, is one of golf’s four major championships. It’s considered the oldest of the four, with a rich history dating back to 1860.
Here are some key details you should know about the tournament to help you make more informed wagers:
Where: The Open rotates between different links courses in the United Kingdom, Scotland, and Ireland. These courses are renowned for their challenging conditions, including wind, firm fairways, and undulating greens.
When: The Open is traditionally held in July, typically starting on the Thursday before the third Friday of the month.
The Tournament: The Open is a four-day stroke play event, which includes four rounds of 18 holes each. After 36 holes, the field is cut to the top 70 players and ties. If there is a tie after 72 holes, a four-hole aggregate playoff is held. If still tied after four holes, a sudden-death playoff begins on the 18th hole. The golfer with the lowest total score over 72 holes is the champion.
The Players: The Open field typically consists of 156 players. The world’s top-ranked golfers automatically qualify, and former Open winners also get a direct entry. The other players can earn a spot through various qualifying events.
Challenges: Courses for the Open typically have a combination of the following challenges.
- Wind: A constant factor, wind can significantly impact shot-making.
- Firm and Fast Conditions: The courses are often drier and firmer than typical golf courses, leading to lower-flying shots and faster greens.
- Bunkers: Pot bunkers, large and deep, are a common hazard.
- Rough: The rough can be thick and penal, making accurate driving essential.
Open Championship Best Bets
The wagers available for the Open Championship are similar to the kinds of wagers you’ll find on other major golf tournaments, like the Masters or the US Open. Here’s a quick look at the most popular wagers placed on the Open.
- Outright Winner: This is the classic bet where you pick the golfer you believe will win the tournament.
- Top Finish: Instead of picking the winner, you predict a golfer’s finishing position within a certain range (e.g., top 10, top 20).
- Matchups: You compare two golfers and pick who will have the better score.
- Group Betting: A group of golfers is created, and you bet on which golfer from that group will finish highest.
- First Round Leader: Bet on which golfer will have the lowest score after the first round.
- Player Props: These are bets on specific player performances, such as making a certain number of birdies or eagles.
- Tournament Props: Bets on tournament-related outcomes, like the total number of players under par.
Outright Winner
This is the classic bet where you pick the golfer you believe will win the tournament.
Seeding
Once the 68 teams are selected for the tournament, they are split into four regions that each contain 16 teams. The regions are the East, West, South, and Midwest.
Within each region, the teams are ranked 1 through 16. Teams ranked number 1 are the top seed in their region, as where the teams ranked 16 are considered the weakest team.
Matchups
The selection process follows specific guidelines in an attempt to create fair and balanced brackets. However, once the teams are selected, the matchups pair up the top-ranked seeds against the bottom-ranked seeds. For example:
- #1 seed vs #16 seed
- #2 seed vs #15 seed
- #3 seed vs #14 seed
- #4 seed vs #13 seed
- #5 seed vs #12 seed
- #6 seed vs #11 seed
- #7 seed vs #10 seed
- #8 seed vs #9 seed
Each round of the tournament eliminates half of the remaining teams. This begins with the first round, followed by the second round, then the sweet 16, elite eight, final four, and national championship respectively.
Player Statistics for Open Championship Betting
As you’re combing through the available wagers on the Open Championship, keep these core player statistics in mind:
Strokes Gained: Putting (SG: Putt)
Strokes Gained: Putting (SG: Putt) is a crucial statistic to consider when betting on The Open.
Links courses are often characterized by firm, undulating greens. This can make putting significantly more challenging than on typical courses. A player with a strong putting game can excel in these conditions.
While long drives and accurate approach shots are essential, converting birdie opportunities on the green is often the difference between winning and losing at The Open. Avoiding three-putt bogeys is equally vital. A player with strong putting can minimize these costly mistakes.
By analyzing a player’s SG: Putt statistic, especially on similar course conditions, you can gain valuable insights into their potential performance at The Open. However, it’s essential to consider other factors like driving accuracy, approach play, and course history when making your betting decisions.
Strokes Gained: Around the Green (SG: Around the Green)
Strokes Gained: Around the Green (SG: ARG) is another crucial statistic to consider when betting on The Open’s links courses.
The undulating terrain and firm conditions make chip shots and pitches more challenging. Players will inevitably find themselves in difficult positions around the green. The ability to salvage par from these situations can significantly impact a player’s score.
A player with a strong SG: ARG statistic is more likely to save par when they miss the green, which can be a significant advantage in a major championship like The Open.
Links courses are also renowned for their pot bunkers. A player’s skill in escaping these hazards can be a major advantage.
Driving Accuracy
While length off the tee is desirable, it’s often accuracy that separates the contenders from the also-rans at The Open. Because of the thick, penal rough, missing fairways can lost balls or difficult recovery shots.
Players who can accurately drive off the tee to the green, even if it takes an extra shot, will have an advantage at the British Open. Accurate drives often lead to better approach shots and scoring opportunities.
Look for players who tend to have a strong accuracy. If Player B’s accuracy is better than Player A’s, but Player A has a farther shot, opt for sticking with Player B. Long-shots can be risky, especially in windy conditions.
Course Statistics
The Open Championship is played on a different course each year, but they are all chosen from a pool of courses across England, Scotland, and Ireland. The 2024 Open Championship took place at the Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland, and the 2025 event will take place in Royal Portrush in Ireland.
Understanding the nuances of a British Open course is crucial for successful betting. Here’s a breakdown of key factors to consider:
- Links Land: Assess the degree of undulation, firm and fast conditions, and potential for ball run-out.
- Wind Exposure: Evaluate how exposed the course is to prevailing winds and how this might affect shot-making and scoring.
- Bunker Influence: Consider the number, depth, and placement of bunkers, as well as their impact on strategy.
- Green Complexities: Analyze the size, shape, and undulation of greens, and the role they play in scoring.
Open Championship Betting Tips
Many golf bettors will tell you things like “Don’t make emotional bets” or “Set a budget and stick to it”. Those tips are valid, but also pretty overused. Everyone knows those things.
Here are a few tips you might not have heard, and they can keep you on top of the betting grind:
Avoid Thinking Like an American Golfer
While American golfers are undeniably talented, the Open Championship presents a unique set of challenges that often diverge from the conditions and strategies employed on typical American courses.
The Open is notorious for its unpredictable and often severe wind conditions. American courses, while sometimes windy, rarely experience the sustained, gusty conditions found in the UK. Additionally, the firm, undulating fairways and fast, often bumpy greens are a stark contrast to the typically lush, well-manicured American courses.
Where an American golfer might be tempted to use power and distance to get to the hole, it’s often control and planning that takes the cake at the Open Championship. Keep these things in mind as you’re considering players to wager on.
Consider Performance on Links Courses
Another important factor to consider is a player’s previous performance on, and familiarity of, links courses.
Links courses are renowned for their deep, penal bunkers. Some pro golfers might be accustomed to avoiding hazards, but a successful Open Championship strategy often involves accepting risk and playing out of bunkers.
Links golf often demands creative shot-making, such as bump-and-runs and flop shots, which might be less common on classic American courses.
Sign Up for Picks and Predictions
If you’re uncertain about the best wagers to make, or simply want a second opinion, we’d recommend signing up for a professional handicapping service.
Receiving pro picks and predictions is invaluable to a profit-minded bettor. The implied probability and notation of possible returns on most picks make them easy to understand at a glance. And for more data-minded individuals, you can look deeper into the picks to see what trends might be good to follow in your betting habits.
Overall, getting professional picks from experienced handicappers can help boost anyone’s betting game, no matter if you’re a long-time punter or a novice.
How to Make Better Open Championship Betting Decisions
Betting on the Open Championship isn’t like betting on American tournaments. The weather, atmosphere, and links courses make the tournament challenging for amateur golfers. As you’re researching who to bet on at the Open, remember to consider statistics like Strokes Gained: Putting and driving accuracy for a better look at a player’s potential performance.
To take your Open betting to the next level, sign up for our picks and predictions today. Our pro handicappers are always researching the best opportunities for wagering on golf, and you can benefit greatly from their data.