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A double chance bet covers two of the three results in a match that can end in a draw: home win or draw (1X), away win or draw (X2), or either team to win (12). It wins if either of your two results happens, and it pays less than a straight bet on one of them because it wins more often.
It is a soccer market first. In the 2025-26 Premier League, 104 of the 380 matches ended in a draw, 27.4%, which is why a bet that removes one result matters there and barely matters in sports where draws are rare.
The three double chance bets
| Bet | Wins if | Loses if |
|---|---|---|
| 1X, home or draw | The home team wins, or it is a draw | The away team wins |
| X2, away or draw | The away team wins, or it is a draw | The home team wins |
| 12, home or away | Either team wins | It is a draw |
It is normally settled on the 90-minute result, like the three-way moneyline. Read the book’s rules before betting it on a knockout match that can go to extra time.
A worked example from the Premier League
Fulham hosted Manchester United on September 20, 2026, and the game finished 1-1. The DraftKings three-way prices in ESPN’s match data were Fulham +250, the draw +275 and Manchester United +100.
Turn each price into a chance first: +250 is 28.6%, +275 is 26.7% and +100 is 50%. Those add up to 105.2%, and the 5.2% over 100 is the book’s margin. A double chance bet covers two of them, so the chances add to 55.3% for 1X on Fulham and 76.7% for X2 on United, margin included. A double chance price shorter than that is paying you less than the two results are worth together.
| Double chance bet | What it covered | Result at 1-1 |
|---|---|---|
| 1X, Fulham or draw | 28.6% + 26.7% | Won |
| X2, draw or Manchester United | 26.7% + 50% | Won |
| 12, Fulham or Manchester United | 28.6% + 50% | Lost |
The day before, Brighton beat Arsenal 3-0 at +400. A straight Brighton bet paid the most there, but a 1X double chance on Brighton and a 12 would both have won as well.
When double chance makes sense, and when it does not
The bet trades price for coverage. It fits a match where you think one side is unlikely to lose but a draw is a real outcome, and where the straight price on that side is too short to be worth it. A 1X on a home favorite already priced at -280, as Manchester City were against Sunderland on September 20, adds little: the draw was +425, and City won 5-3 anyway.
It makes little sense where draws almost never happen. The 2025 NFL regular season had one tie in 272 games, so a “win or tie” bet on an NFL team is close to a straight moneyline at a worse price. In soccer, where more than a quarter of Premier League matches were drawn last season, the extra result is worth paying for when your read of the match says so.
Three habits help:
- Compare it with the draw no bet price. Draw no bet refunds your stake on a draw instead of paying out, so it sits between a straight win bet and double chance.
- Price the two results separately first. If a book’s 1X price implies less than the sum of your own two chances, it is worth a look.
- Watch the margin. A double chance price carries the book’s margin on both results it covers.
Our soccer predictions hold each week’s calls, and our Premier League predictions cover the league. To find books that post double chance and draw no bet, see our sportsbook reviews, and for paid soccer tipsters, our handicapper site reviews.
