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Louisiana-Monroe heads to Jonesboro on Wednesday night for a Sun Belt matchup with Arkansas State at First National Bank Arena. The market is expecting a one-sided result, pricing Arkansas State as a massive home favorite, and that makes this preview about margin and game script more than straight-up win probability. Louisiana-Monroe has struggled all season, especially away from home, but the Warhawks do have enough shot-making at the top of the roster to stay competitive for stretches if they’re getting to the line and converting. Arkansas State’s profile fits the way big favorites cover. They score, they rebound, and they can turn a few defensive stops into quick separation. Louisiana-Monroe’s path to cashing a ticket is tied to efficiency and

UTSA heads to Minges Coliseum in Greenville for a Wednesday, February 11, 2026 matchup with East Carolina, and the market is treating it like a clear home-team advantage spot. East Carolina is laying a big number at home, and the total is posted in the high 140s, which suggests a game with enough possessions and shot volume to create separation if one side wins the efficiency battle. From a betting standpoint, this is the kind of line that forces you to choose your story. If you believe East Carolina can control tempo, win the turnover margin, and turn defense into easy points, then laying double digits is reasonable because UTSA will have a hard time keeping pace for 40 minutes.

The Chattanooga Mocs hit the road to face the East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, TN on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. This one sets up as a classic Southern Conference mismatch by the market, with ETSU priced as the heavy favorite and Chattanooga catching a big number. ETSU has looked like a top-tier SoCon team for most of the season, while Chattanooga has spent a lot of time trying to stabilize on both ends. That gap is reflected in the moneyline and the spread. The question for bettors is not who wins most often. It’s whether this number has already baked in the matchup edge, or if ETSU still has enough separation to cover

The Toledo Rockets head to University Arena (MI) in Kalamazoo, MI to face the Western Michigan Broncos on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market is treating Toledo as the clearly better side, but this is still a conference road game in February, where execution and pace control often decide whether a favorite covers. Toledo is laying 6.5 points, which tells you two things right away: oddsmakers respect the Rockets’ offensive ceiling, and they’re not giving Western Michigan much credit for home-court advantage. That doesn’t automatically mean Toledo is the right side, but it does frame the handicap. If Western Michigan can slow the tempo and make this a half-court game, +6.5 becomes much more attractive. If