Atlanta Dream vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Predictions September 5th 2025

Dream vs. Sparks Prediction: Atlanta Eyes 2-Seed, LA Fighting for Playoff Life

The Atlanta Dream continue their late-season surge Friday as they host the Los Angeles Sparks at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, GA. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET.

Atlanta (27-14) has been one of the league’s hottest teams, winning three straight and 12 of its last 15. The Dream sit a half-game ahead of Las Vegas and Phoenix for the No. 2 seed, with Brionna Jones (16 points, 13 rebounds) and Allisha Gray (18.6 PPG) leading the charge.

Los Angeles (19-21) has just four games left to chase down the Fever for the final playoff berth. The Sparks have alternated wins and losses in their last 12 games, with Dearica Hamby (21 points Wednesday, 18.3 PPG overall) and Kelsey Plum (19.9 PPG) shouldering the scoring load.

Matchup Overview

• Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
• Date: Friday, Sept. 5, 2025 – 7:30 PM ET
• Probable Status: Standard rotations (no major new injuries reported)
• Betting Odds: Dream ML -310, Sparks ML +245, Spread ATL -9.0, O/U 165.5

The Dream Can Win If…

Atlanta continues to play composed basketball, as shown in Wednesday’s 86-75 victory over the Sparks. The Dream used a dominant second quarter to erase an early deficit, highlighting their ability to adjust in-game.

Allisha Gray (18.6 PPG) and Rhyne Howard (16.9 PPG) headline the offense, while Brionna Jones provides interior dominance. With momentum and home-court advantage, Atlanta is well-positioned to keep building toward the No. 2 seed.

Check expert breakdowns on our WNBA Picks page for deeper betting analysis.

The Sparks Can Win If…

Los Angeles must start faster and avoid digging early holes. Despite Hamby’s 21 points and Plum’s 18 on Wednesday, the Sparks fell behind by double digits and couldn’t recover.

With only four games left, urgency is high. Hamby’s rebounding and Plum’s perimeter scoring give LA a chance, but defensive consistency will be critical if the Sparks hope to extend their playoff push.

Stay on top of spreads and totals with the WNBA Scores and Odds board before tip-off.

Betting Outlook

The Dream are -310 favorites, and my model projects an 88-76 Atlanta win. Atlanta’s balance and playoff motivation make them the clear side.

At a total of 165.5, the under is a lean. While both teams can score, LA’s tendency to go cold offensively combined with Atlanta’s defensive edge could keep the pace below the number.

For late-season strategies, visit the NBA/ WNBA Expert Betting Guide to refine your card.

Handicapper Spotlight

Our WNBA handicappers are dialed in as the playoff picture takes shape. Check the leaderboard below to see who’s on fire with their picks and who they’re backing in Dream vs. Sparks.