Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions August 23rd 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds August 23rd 2025

The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The game will start at 8:10 PM and can be watched on FDSOH. The Reds come into this game with a record of 67-61, sitting third in the NL Central. They have won six of their last ten games but lost their most recent one.

The Diamondbacks, also third in their division, hold a 62-66 record. They have a two-game winning streak and are 5-5 in their last ten games. Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, boasting an ERA of 2.28, while Nabil Crismatt will pitch for the Diamondbacks with an ERA of 1.80. Weather conditions are expected to be very hot with a light breeze, but the retractable roof at Chase Field may minimize its impact.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
• Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
• Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
• Betting Odds: Reds Moneyline -128, Diamondbacks Moneyline +109, Total Over 9.0 (-109), Total Under 9.0 (-111)

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a narrow 2-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels. In that game, Nick Martinez pitched well, allowing just one run and striking out seven over six innings. Ke’Bryan Hayes was a standout at the plate, going 2-for-3 with two doubles.

One reason the Reds can win is their strong pitching. Andrew Abbott will start, and he has an impressive ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.08. The Reds’ pitching staff ranks 8th in ERA and 4th in batting average against, making it tough for opponents to score.

The Reds have shown they can hit, too. They have a team batting average of .248, which ranks 11th in the league. Noelvi Marte has been hot, with a .306 average and ten home runs, providing a spark in the lineup.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks won their most recent game against the Cleveland Guardians, 3-2. Brandon Pfaadt pitched well, allowing only two runs over seven innings. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. contributed with a home run and two RBIs, helping the team secure the win.

Arizona’s offense ranks high in several categories. They are 3rd in slugging percentage at .439 and 5th in home runs with 178. These stats show their ability to produce runs and hit for power, which can be key in winning games.

Nabil Crismatt will start for the Diamondbacks, bringing a strong ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.80. His solid pitching can limit the opposing team’s scoring opportunities. With their recent performances and strong stats, the Diamondbacks have a good chance to win their upcoming game.

The Lean

The Reds are favored with a moneyline of -128. They have a strong pitching staff with an ERA ranked 8th in the league. The Diamondbacks have a higher slugging percentage, ranked 3rd, but their pitching is weaker with an ERA ranked 25th. My model projects the Reds to win with a score of 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Reds to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Reds have a solid pitching staff, while the Diamondbacks have a potent offense. My model projects a total score of 9. The close alignment with the set total suggests a cautious approach. The recommendation is to pick the over, considering the Diamondbacks’ offensive capabilities.

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Abbott’s Impact on Reds’ Playoff Push

Cincinnati left-hander Andrew Abbott began the 2025 season on a cautious note after a shoulder strain cut short his 2024 campaign. That patience has proven worthwhile, as Abbott has emerged as one of the National League’s most reliable starters while helping the Reds stay in the thick of the playoff race. Cincinnati enters the weekend just 1.5 games out of the final NL wild-card spot, and Abbott will look to keep that push alive on Saturday.

For bettors tracking Cincinnati’s progress, check the latest MLB picks and follow the Reds’ postseason chase closely.

Abbott’s Standout Season

Abbott has been dominant across his 22 starts, compiling an 8-3 record and a 2.28 ERA, which ranks second in the National League behind Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes. He also sits among the league leaders in WHIP (1.08) and batting average against (.218). His performance earned him a spot in the All-Star Game in July, cementing his rise as a frontline arm.

The 26-year-old lefty is coming off one of his best outings of the year, throwing seven scoreless innings with seven strikeouts against Milwaukee to help snap the Brewers’ 14-game winning streak. While Abbott left with a no-decision, Cincinnati eventually won 3-2 in 10 innings, underscoring how valuable his starts are down the stretch. For more insight into matchups like these, visit the full MLB previews

Cincinnati vs. Arizona Matchup

Abbott has faced the Diamondbacks once before, allowing one run over seven innings in a May 2024 no-decision. He’ll be looking for his first career victory against Arizona this time around.

On the other side, right-hander Nabil Crismatt will make just his second start of the season for the Diamondbacks. After spending much of the year in Triple-A, Crismatt has been called upon to stabilize the rotation. In his last outing, he retired the first 11 batters against Colorado before finishing with one run allowed over 4 2/3 innings.

Crismatt relies on command and pitch manipulation more than velocity, something Arizona manager Torey Lovullo believes can keep the Reds’ bats off balance. For fans evaluating this matchup from a betting angle, the expert betting guide offers tools to spot potential value.

Reds’ Supporting Cast

Beyond Abbott’s strong numbers, the Reds continue to benefit from veteran leadership. Abbott credited catcher Alex Trevino with guiding the pitching staff and providing stability behind the plate. Trevino’s ability to manage games and maintain clubhouse chemistry has been a key element in Cincinnati’s late-season push.

With every game mattering in the playoff hunt, bettors and fans alike can check the latest MLB results to stay on top of how the standings are shaping up.

Betting and Handicapping Insights

Abbott’s consistency, paired with Cincinnati’s urgency, makes this matchup one to watch for bettors. Crismatt remains an unknown as a starter, which could tilt the edge toward the Reds if Abbott delivers another efficient outing.

For those looking to capitalize on Saturday’s action, you can explore premium buy picks or see how today’s top performers are stacking up on the leaderboard